This essay was in the
Perspective section of the
Chicago Tribune. The author believes that Howard Dean cannot win the general election. The biggest problem I have with this essay is that it doesn't offer an alternative candidate who can beat Bush without being co-opted into the Republican agenda.
By Don Rose, a Democrat who has worked for Republicans, is a political consultant and food writer.
November 23, 2003<<snip>>
Virtually every poll that shows Bush to be beatable also shows Dean losing to Bush worse than any of the serious contenders--even before being put through Rove's meat grinder. Republicans are salivating at the prospect of facing Dean next year. Columnists such as William Safire say so publicly, and GOP pros say so to each other. It is not, as one friend put it to me, simply a tricky ploy by Safire.
Dean's problem is that the campaign that has so captivated and energized the partisan base is one most likely to turn off the middle-ground constituencies required to win a general election. Presidential elections are won between the 40-yard lines, and Dean is playing as if his 35-yard line is the end zone.
<<snip>>
But along with his critique of the war in Iraq, he talks about rescinding all of Bush's tax-cut package--which means rescinding the middle-class or middle-income cuts forced into the package by Democrats. Rescinding those cuts amounts to a tax increase on the middle class, and every commercial Rove conceives will make powerful hay of that one. Dean could well suffer the fate of Walter Mondale, who promised America a tax increase and won even fewer electoral votes than McGovern.
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