Meet Barack Obama, the next president of the United States of America.
Unstoppable momentum is now a gale fore wind propelling Barack Obama towards the Democratic nomination. That same wind is blowing stiffly in the face of Hillary Clinton and even more so (when it comes to the presidential election) John McCain.
Grass roots will carry the banner for the first time since McGovern in 1972. Barack Obama will win the Democratic nomination and go on to beat McCain in the presidential election of 2008.
The reason, believe it or not, is an attitude change about "walking away".
This might sound strange so let's start with a recap of what I said in Moral Obligations Of Walking Away.
National Referendum On Walking Away
Most don't realize it but there is currently a national referendum on walking away that is page one news every single day. I am talking about decision 2008, the presidential election.
Will we walk away from Iraq or not?
A vote for John McCain is a vote for the status quo of wasting trillions more dollars and countless more lives in Iraq.
A Vote for Obama is a vote for exiting that hellhole and having discussions with Iran.
A vote for Hillary Clinton is a vote for wishy washiness, political expediency, and the same stubborn unwillingness to admit mistakes that we see in Bush.
For the record, I voted for none of the above in the primary. I voted for Ron Paul. But like it or not, barring some sort of miracle one of the above is going to win the presidency.
The moral obligations of walking away from Iraq
Do we have a moral obligation to spend money in Iraq after we blew it to smithereens?
Do we have a moral obligation to admit mistakes and stop wasting lives of soldiers?
Do we have a moral obligation to repair the decaying infrastructure of the US instead of attempting to be the world's policeman?
Do we have a moral obligation to the Citizens of the US to get out of the region, given that being in the region dramatically escalates the risk of terrorism against the US?
Do we have a moral obligation to stop wasting billions of dollars in jet fuel flying needless missions all over the world when crude oil prices are so high?
Is there a moral obligation to let Europe and Japan defend themselves rather than depending on US overseas bases and US taxpayer dollars to defend them?
Is there a moral obligation for the US to walks away from Europe and Japan with so many suffering here?
Where people "draw the line" on walking away is going to play a major role in determining the next president of the United States.
Fortune Magazine interviewed me last week about "Walking Away" in regards to housing. As important as walking away is to the housing market, I told them to look ahead to what "Walking Away" from Iraq means politically and economically and that it would decide the next election. Two days later I found this.
Poll: Leaving Iraq will help economy
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com/2008/02/obama-next-president-of-united-states.html