By Doug Saunders
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It had already been the bloodiest week of the Iraq occupation, with the highest death tolls and the most pitched and desperate battles, when the President of the United States entered the East Room of the White House to face his nation on Tuesday night.
In the next hour, George W. Bush gave one of the strangest and most opaque performances of his presidential career. At the time, for those of us watching, it seemed that he was stubbornly, blindly sticking to his guns, refusing to change his Iraq plans by an angstrom despite terrible failures on the ground.
Since then, it has become apparent that something entirely different had happened: The speech was a complete reversal and admission of defeat.
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In speaking to the world this week, Mr. Bush must have cast his eye on two earlier dates, both in the spring, both involving presidents who had found themselves in difficult military entanglements abroad.
On April 21, 1961, John F. Kennedy stood before his public to discuss why his efforts to bring democracy to the newly totalitarian Cuba, through the badly botched Bay of Pigs invasion, had become futile. "There's an old saying that victory has a hundred feathers and defeat is an orphan," he lamented. "Further statements, detailed discussions, are not to conceal responsibility, because I am the responsible officer of the government." Cuba would not be invaded again.
On March 31, 1968, Lyndon B. Johnson delivered a speech in the White House announcing that the effort to bring democracy to Vietnam had gone horribly wrong. "With America's sons in the fields far away . . . with our hopes and the world's hopes for peace in the balance every day, I do not believe that I should devote an hour or a day of my time to any personal partisan causes. Accordingly, I shall not seek, and I will not accept, the nomination of my party for another term as your president."
On April 13, 2004, George W. Bush said nothing of the sort. His speech and press conference were mostly notable for their utter lack of contrition or apology, and he certainly did not offer to step down. Nevertheless, those who best understand the politics of Iraq -- and the politics of American elections -- realized that Mr. Bush's words fit squarely into that tradition. He had conceded failure, not on the battlefield but in the political arena, at home and abroad.
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