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Jefferson23 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jun-21-10 08:55 AM
Original message
Dead On Arrival: Financial Reform Fails
June 21, 2010 at 7:04 am


By Simon Johnson

The House-Senate reconciliation process is still underway and some details will still change. But the broad contours of “financial reform” are already completely clear; there are no last minute miracles at this level of politics. The new consumer protection agency for financial products is a good idea and worth supporting – assuming someone sensible is appointed by the president to run it. Yet, at the end of the day, essentially nothing in the entire legislation will reduce the potential for massive system risk as we head into the next credit cycle.

Go, for example, through the summary of “comprehensive financial regulatory reform bills” in President Obama’s letter to the G20 last week.
The president argues for more capital in banking – and this is a fine goal, particularly as the Europeans continue to drag their feet on this issue. But how much capital does his Treasury team think is “enough”? Most indications are that they will seek tier one capital requirements in the range of 10-12 percent – which is what Lehman had right before it failed. How would that help?

“Stronger oversight of derivatives” is also on the president’s international agenda but this cannot be taken seriously, given how little Treasury and the White House have pushed for tighter control of derivatives in the US legislation. If Senator Lincoln has made any progress at all – and we shall see where her initiative ends up – it has been without the full cooperation of the administration. (The WSJ today has a more positive interpretation, but even in this narrative you have to ask – where was the administration on this issue in the nine months of intense debate and hard work prior to April? Have they really woken up so recently to the dangers here?)

“More transparency and disclosure” sounds fine but this is just empty rhetoric. Where is the application – or strengthening if necessary – of anti-trust tools so that concentrated market share in over-the-counter derivatives can be confronted. The White House is making something of a show from Jamie Dimon falling out of favor, but all the points of substance that matter, Dimon’s JP Morgan Chase has won. The Securities and Exchange Commission is beginning to push in the right direction, but the reconciliation conference looks likely to deny them the self-funding – CFTC and FDIC, for example, collect fees from the industry – that could help build as a regulator. At the same time, the conference legislation would send a large number of important questions to the SEC “for further study”. None of this makes any sense – unless the goal is to block real reform.


remainder: http://baselinescenario.com/2010/06/21/dead-on-arrival-financial-reform-fails/
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Warpy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jun-21-10 09:34 AM
Response to Original message
1. That means a second crash is assured
Thanks a whole bunch, you conservative pricks.

I suppose I'll have to talk about moving some of my stuff to cash when the money guy shows up next month, which means it's not going to earn as much income.

I hate conservatives. They could mess up wet dreams.
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Jefferson23 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jun-21-10 09:38 AM
Response to Original message
2. From Joseph Stiglitz, June 7th. " Reach equals grasp on banking bill"

The future of improved financial regulations depends largely on how the differences between the House and Senate bills are resolved.


If the strongest provisions of each are preserved, there is the prospect of hallmark regulatory reform — marking the end of an era of mindless deregulation.


But if the final bill that emerges from conference reflects the lowest common denominator, then we can only pray to be spared another financial crisis in the near future. Our economy and our Treasury can ill afford another such episode.


Underpinning reform should be a clear understanding of a financial system’s functions — and an awareness of how poorly ours filled its roles. It did a dismal job of allocating capital (providing credit to the creditworthy); managing risk, and running an efficient payments mechanism.


The argument that we should delay some desirable reforms for a few years — for more “study” or until the financial sector has been better recapitalized — is unconscionable; continued regulatory forbearance puts the economy at risk.


On several aspects of reform there is (outside the vested interests) broad consensus: A strong financial product safety commission is imperative. Regulatory structures matter, and it is essential that there be a regulator that sees its first obligation as protecting ordinary Americans against the rampant abuses pervasive in the financial industry.


As a New York Times editorial of May 21 argues, “The final bill should establish an independent agency with full rule-making and enforcement powers.”


There can be no exceptions. Why should a car dealer or a small bank be allowed to exploit a poor or uninformed consumer, any more than a big bank? Auto loans, after all, are the second most important form of lending after mortgages.


Other legislation has curbed some credit card abuses, but there is more work to be done.


Modern technology allows for an efficient electronics payment mechanism, which our uncompetitive financial sector has resisted; it imposes what is, in effect, a tax on every transaction. But this tax enriches bank coffers rather than being used, as it should be, for public purposes.


The final bill should curb these exploitative fees.


The House version is absolutely correct to impose a fiduciary responsibility on brokers that give investment advice. We need to restore trust to our financial system; and the system’s resistance to this, and other reforms intended to bring a modicum of investor protection, demonstrates why we should not give that trust.


So, too, it is important that there be a systemic regulator — one that sees the system as a whole. This cannot be the Fed — or only the Fed — because it is tied to the banking system and reflects those interests.


Successful regulatory reform must be comprehensive: There can be no place to hide. Otherwise, regulatory arbitrage poses obvious risks to our economy.


Any financial institution representing systemic risk — whether it calls itself an insurance company or an investment bank or a commercial bank, whether it writes derivatives as a form of insurance or as an instrument of speculation — must come under comprehensive regulation.


The implosion of Long-Term Capital Management taught us that one hedge fund could put the entire economy at risk. Even small to medium-sized firms engaging in similar behavior can lead to systemic risk.


The greatest challenge facing the conferees will, however, be to curb excessive risk-taking and the underlying forces that give rise to it.


Neither the House nor the Senate bill goes far enough, for example, in dealing with the problem of too-big-to-fail institutions. We need to be realistic. In the most recent crisis, government “blinked,” bailing out shareholders and bondholders when it didn’t have to. It feared that doing otherwise would lead to economic trauma.

in full: http://www.josephstiglitz.com/
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Enthusiast Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jun-21-10 10:31 AM
Response to Reply #2
3. I would not care of they
paid Joseph Stiglitz to write this entire piece of legislation. I WISH they would pay Joseph Stiglitz to direct this entire process.

Those that wish to water down and create loopholes in this regulation are enemies of my country. Why should the tax payer be on the hook for any of this wild derivatives trading and lack of transparency?
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Jefferson23 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jun-21-10 11:26 AM
Response to Reply #3
4. This administration needs to answer those questions, but who in the
WH press corp is going to ask? I emailed Johnson's OP to the Obama administration asking them to please tell me where Johnson got it wrong.

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Enthusiast Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jun-21-10 11:58 AM
Response to Reply #4
5. Like I said, if they allow this
I will consider them enemies of my country. I simply can't see it any other way. It was this very deregulation that caused the entire problem. Properly legislated reform can prevent it from ever happening again.

It is as if this entire nation has lost its fucking mind. Allowing greed to direct our every decision can't end well.
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Jefferson23 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jun-21-10 12:41 PM
Response to Reply #5
6. I understand your frustration but I was trying to communicate one reason
why the Obama administration can go about this lack of meaningful reform because who ever confronts them in the MSM Tv News?

Obama will be president for the next two years and will be re-elected, I want there to be a voice that subjects his administration to
questions. If he believes in this approach, I want to hear him defend it.

I am deeply disappointed too.
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Enthusiast Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jun-21-10 03:16 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. Thanks, Jefferson.
I understand now. Sorry. Sometimes I get in a great big hurry.
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Jefferson23 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Jun-21-10 06:51 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. No problem Enthusiast. n/t
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