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CBS: Uncommited Voters Give Kerry Nod

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CitizenRob Donating Member (834 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-01-04 11:30 AM
Original message
CBS: Uncommited Voters Give Kerry Nod
Edited on Fri Oct-01-04 11:30 AM by CitizenRob
Despite CBS having reported in another article that the debate was a draw, take a look at this more honest piece:

Source: http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2004/10/01/opinion/polls/main646712.shtml

Uncommitted Voters Give Kerry Nod
NEW YORK, Sept. 30, 2004



Uncommitted voters who watched Thursday night’s presidential debate said John Kerry won the debate against President Bush, and most of those voters improved their opinion about the Democratic candidate because of the debate, according to a CBS News poll.

Forty-three percent of the uncommitted debate-watchers picked Kerry as the winner, while 28 percent chose Mr. Bush. Another 29 percent said it was a tie.

Kerry also made significant inroads on ratings for his potential to handle Iraq and on likeability, two areas where he had been trailing Mr. Bush.

Immediately after the debate, CBS News interviewed a nationally representative sample of more than 200 debate watchers assembled by Knowledge Networks who were "uncommitted voters" – voters who are either undecided about who to vote for or who have a preference but say they could still change their minds.

WHO WON THE DEBATE
(Uncommitted Voters Who Watched Debate)

Kerry
43%


Bush
28%

Tie
29%

More than half of the uncommitted voters said that their image of Kerry had changed for the better as a result. Just 14 percent said their opinion of Kerry had gotten worse, and one-third did not change their opinion.

THE DEBATE’S EFFECT ON OPINIONS OF THE CANDIDATES
(Uncommitted Voters Who Watched Debate)

BETTER

Kerry
53%

Bush
22%

WORSE
Kerry
14%
Bush
20%

NO CHANGE
Kerry
34%
Bush
58%

Mr. Bush, on the other hand, saw very little improvement in his image. Twenty-two percent have improved their image of Mr. Bush as a result of the debate **Sidebar: are these people retarded??**, but just as many said their views of the president are now worse than before.

On the issue of ability to handle Iraq, Kerry was the clear winner. He had a 38-point jump by this measure. A majority of the uncommitted viewers, 52 percent, said after the debate that Kerry had a clear plan for Iraq. Thirty-nine percent said this about Mr. Bush. Before the debate, few thought either had a clear plan for dealing with Iraq.

HAS A CLEAR PLAN FOR DEALING WITH SITUATION IN IRAQ:
(Uncommitted Voters Who Watched Debate)

KERRY

Yes

Pre-Debate
14%
Post-Debate
52%

No
Pre-Debate
82%
Post-Debate
46%

BUSH

Yes

Pre-Debate
24%
Post-Debate
39%

No
Pre-Debate
75%
Post-Debate
60%

The panel of uncommitted debate watchers evaluated the debate in real-time, marking favorable or unfavorable opinions of what they heard moment by moment.

Kerry's evaluations rose as he assailed the Bush administration's planning for the war and for asserting that the administration allowed 90 percent of the costs of the war to fall on the U.S. Kerry did especially well with women when he said that Mr. Bush had cut police at home while sending money to Iraq.

Both candidates made progress on the issue of protecting the U.S. from terrorist attacks. Sixty-one percent of these voters now trust Kerry; 64 percent trust Bush. Before the debate, these voters trusted Bush over Kerry on this issue by 51 percent to 46percent.

TRUST CANDIDATE TO PROTECT U.S. FROM TERRORISM:
(Uncommitted Voters Who Watched Debate)

KERRY

Yes

Pre-Debate
46%
Post-Debate
61%

No
Pre-Debate
51%
Post-Debate
37%

BUSH

Yes

Pre-Debate
51%
Post-Debate
64%

No
Pre-Debate
49%
Post-Debate
36%

Women responded positively in the real-time evaluation when Kerry talked about strengthening U.S. ties with allies and the policy of pre-emption. When Kerry talked about finding al Qaeda and Osama bin Laden, both men and women responded positively.

Still, more women think Mr. Bush can be trusted to protect the country from a terrorist attack than Kerry, by 62-52 percent. Seventy-one percent of men said Kerry could be trusted to protect the country, while 66 percent said the same about Mr. Bush.

Overall, The President did not do as well as Kerry in the real-time evaluations of uncommitted voters watching the debate. But Bush did score in the pulse ratings when he said that when the U.S. gives its word it must keep its word. The President also gained high ratings when he discussed Russia and his relationship with President Vladimir Putin.

Kerry also significantly improved his likeability. Six in 10 members of the sample now say Kerry is someone whom they would like personally, up from 45 percent before the debate. Fifty-six percent would like Bush personally. More women said they liked Kerry than Mr. Bush – while men were equally likely to say each candidate was someone they would like.

VIEWS OF THE CANDIDATES
(Uncommitted Voters Who Watched Debate)

Is someone you would like personally

KERRY
Yes
61%
No
39%

BUSH
Yes
56%
No
43%

Has attacked his opponent unfairly

KERRY
Yes
22%
No
77%

BUSH
Yes
14%
No
85%

In the horse race, Kerry now leads Mr. Bush among uncommitted debate watchers by 38-28 percent as their choice for president in November. But nearly a third remain undecided.

PRESIDENTIAL PREFERENCE AMONG DEBATE WATCHERS
(Uncommitted Voters Who Watched Debate)

KERRY
Pre-Debate
28%
Post-Debate
38%

BUSH
Pre-Debate
19%
Post-Debate
31%

Someone else
Pre-Debate
6%
Post-Debate
5%

Depends
Pre-Debate
46%
Post-Debate
26%
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Moderator DU Moderator Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-01-04 11:52 AM
Response to Original message
1. CitizenRob--per DU copyright rules
Please limit quotations to 4 paragraphs and a link. Thank you
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SoCalDemocrat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Oct-01-04 03:22 PM
Response to Original message
2. CBS "Draw" is slanted journalism
We need to DU CBS News. They're completely bending over for the right after being beaten down over the National Guard memo's. Even the far right leaning National Review Online called this a lopsided win for John Kerry. I wonder if the author simply cherry picked his interview spots to get all neutral opinions? Why are there no opinions stated one way or the other? Why is there no content from the actual debates or analysis?


http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2004/10/01/politics/main...


Don't let them get away with this yellow journalism. Write the editor!

CBSnews.com, Dick Meyer (Editorial Director), grain@cbsnews.com


CBS cited the following "experts" in their non-article. Note reading this piece it could of been written a month ago:

(CBS) By David Paul Kuhn,
CBSNews.com Chief Political Writer


"It’s more relevant to talk about the winner in terms of expectations. Given the fact that this was President Bush’s home turf -- national security and terrorism -- he should have dominated. He didn’t. It’s a positive outcome for Kerry."
-- Shanto Iyengar, a professor of American politics at Stanford University.


"Anyone who declares a winner in this debate is a predictable partisan. They both did beautiful. I don't view this as a tie," he continued. "I view this as a superb dual presentation that presented the American people with a clear choice and that's really all you can expect from these television extravaganza."
-- Larry Sabato, director of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia.


"I thought both guys did extremely well. But that means its good news for Kerry. Kerry’s over the bar and he’s in the game."
-- Norman Ornstein, political analyst American Enterprise Institute.


"My impression is that very few Americans are going to change their vote. They made their positions clear. They in a sense cancelled each other out."
-- Stephen Hess, presidential historian at the Brookings Institution.


"Tactically, I think both men performed strongly. I would not say that there was a strong performance and a weak performance. In that sense you can say there not a clear winner. On the strategic level, going into the debate the flow of the debate was in President Bush’s direction. Kerry goal was to disrupt and reverse that flow. I’m not sure he accomplished this."
-- Professor William Galston, University of Maryland political scientist.
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