http://www.buzzflash.com/contributors/04/11/con04517.htmlIt appears there will be a recount in Ohio. However, a recount probably won't do much good in three counties that have suspicious numbers -- Franklin, Mahoning, and Warren. I'll deal with Franklin and Mahoning first, then Warren later. Here are some simple facts about the election in Ohio:
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All of these facts together suggest that Franklin and Mahoning Counties actually had much higher turnout than was reported. I believe that a large number of Franklin and Mahoning County votes were "lost" by the touch screen machines. Look at these figures, which were obtained from the Secretary of State's official website:
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If Franklin and Mahoning experienced the same 13-14% increase in turnout rate as the other blue states, how many votes would be added? Let's do some math. The Mahoning turnout rate would be 74.12%. The Franklin turnout rate would be 69.76%. In terms of raw votes, that would be over 12,000 more votes for Mahoning and over 95,000 more votes for Franklin. Together that's about 108,000 votes. That's a large amount of votes that just didn't materialize. I think we need to try to figure out where those votes went.
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There is one more point to be examined here. The idea promoted by the media is that Bush won because "red" voters showed up in greater quantities than "blue" voters. But looking at Ohio, we see that the opposite is actually true. Blue counties in Ohio had a larger increase in turnout rate than red counties. Even dividing counties up into smaller and smaller groups does not change this: Strongly blue counties have better turnout rate increases than moderately blue counties. Moderately red counties have better turnout rate increases than strongly red counties. Where did all those votes for Bush come from? The election in Ohio stinks. Badly.
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