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ACT Does Does OH Post-Election Poll & Analysis, Busts Myths

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jamboi Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Dec-12-04 11:59 PM
Original message
ACT Does Does OH Post-Election Poll & Analysis, Busts Myths
Edited on Sun Dec-12-04 11:59 PM by jamboi
Though I didn't like the title and first paragraphs it improves and provides some post exit poll polls to check against.

http://www.chron.com/cs/CDA/ssistory.mpl/editorial/outlook/2942242

OK, we lost Ohio — but why?
Separating myth from the reality
By STEVE ROSENTHAL

When it came to getting out the Democratic vote in Ohio during the presidential election, we hit our target numbers. My organization, America Coming Together, along with our 32 America Votes partner organizations, the Democratic National Committee and the Kerry-Edwards campaign not only exceeded our turnout goals for the Buckeye State, but far exceeded anything the Democrats have done in the past.

(snip)

Since then my colleagues and I have gone back to answer a nagging question: Who were all those Bush voters? Though much has been made of the Republican grass-roots effort in Ohio and elsewhere, we did not see the sort of Republican organization that seems necessary to produce that many new votes. Where did they come from?

We've done a post-election poll of 1,400 rural and exurban voters in Ohio counties that Bush won by an average of 17 percentage points. Their answers, and a closer look at other poll data, explode a few widely held theories about what happened.

The first myth: Many more churchgoing voters flocked to the polls this year, driven by the Bush "moral values" and the gay marriage referendum.

(more myth-busting follows)
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buddysmellgood Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-13-04 12:53 AM
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1. Interesting. When did Act conduct these polls?
It says Act did polls of folks in counties that Bush won by 17 percentage points. But I don't think it ever says if the polls they conducted match the final tally. Did their polls show Bush ahead by that amount? Was that in the article and I just missed it?
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