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DRAFT Timeline -- (must read) Shows how Bush plans June 15, 2005 LOTTERY

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Dems Will Win Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-21-04 10:44 PM
Original message
DRAFT Timeline -- (must read) Shows how Bush plans June 15, 2005 LOTTERY
The following timeline gives you the main events indicating the resumption of the military draft. According to this, the draft will be needed to maintain troop levels in Iraq past March 2005, barring double deployments. $28 million is allocated by the Selective Service to reduce activation time from the current 8 months to 75 days by March 31, 2005. If Bush asks Congress on April 1, 2005 to reinstate conscription, the first Draft Lottery could be June 15, 2005. A Medical Draft and a new Special Skills Draft would also be activated automatically. BTW, Kerry has stated he is opposed to the draft and has detailed how he would avoid having to reinstate it.

BUSH '04 = DRAFT '05

Impending Draft Timeline

1994 – The Grand Chessboard by Zbignew Brzezinski compares Central Asia to a chess game with Russia and China--which must eventually result in an American “win”. Control of the world’s oil supply and dominance in the 21st Century is at stake, as cheap oil ends in the 2010s. Noting that the Central Asian Republics are infinitely more important than any other region--save the Mideast--because “an enormous concentration of natural gas and oil reserves is located in the region, in addition to important minerals, including gold… Any successful American policy must focus on Eurasia as a whole and be guided by a Geostrategic design…That puts a premium on maneuver and manipulation in order to prevent the emergence of a hostile coalition that could eventually seek to challenge America's primacy…"

http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/tg/detail/-/0465027261/102-5321285-9...

1990s – “Project For A New American Century” and other right-wing organizations develop strategy for a “uni-polar world” ruled by the United States with many US bases in the Mideast and Central Asia. Invading Iraq and controlling the world’s oil supply becomes the Neo-Con manifesto.

http://abcnews.go.com/sections/nightline/DailyNews/pnac_030310.html

http://www.presentdanger.org/pdf/frontier/1031neocon.pdf

Article by Will Pitt: http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article1665.htm

http://www.newamericancentury.org/RebuildingAmericasDefenses.pdf

September 11, 2001 – The 9-11 Attack. A “War on Terror” is begun by Bush with the agreement of the Congress. In the mission of the Selective Service, it is stated that the Volunteer Army is only intended for peacetime. In case of war, the nation may turn to the Selective Service. That is why it must always be kept as an option, even if dormant.

January 8, 2002 - On January 8, 2002, President Bush signed the No Child Left Behind Act, supposedly to provide accountability education policies. Yet hidden within the 670-page piece of legislation is Section 9528: “…each local educational agency receiving assistance under this Act shall provide, on a request made by military recruiters or an institution of higher education, access to secondary school students names, addresses, and telephone listings.” All schools must comply with this unfunded mandate or they lose their federal funding. This amounts to legislated blackmail for student names. The act also says: “A secondary school student or the parent of the student may request that the student’s name, address, and telephone listing … not be released without prior written parental consent, and the local educational agency or private school shall notify parents of the option to make a request and shall comply with any request.”

http://www.ed.gov/policy/elsec/leg/esea02/index.html

Early 2003 - Iraq War, 250,000 out of 480,000 active-duty troops deployed, conquer Iraq within a few weeks. Yet the U.S. has no plan ready for reconstruction or democracy and Iraqis, happy at liberation from Saddam, grow sour at the slow pace, the continued lack of electricity and fuel and the isolated civil control of the CPA. Garner soon replaced by Bremer who is no better at speeding up Reconstruction, and the resistance grows with disaffected Iraqis, old regrouped Baathists and new foreign fighters. Except for the British, substantial foreign troops are impossible, given Bush’s desire to keep total control of Iraq. The lack of diplomacy, planning and incompetence adds years to the time high US troop levels will be needed to maintain control of Iraq and rebuild and exploit its oilfields.

Summer 2003 – Philadelphia Draft Board members “unexpectedly” told to recruit new members for Board vacancies during Summer training. (from Nov. 3 Salon article)

http://archive.salon.com/news/feature/2003/11/03/draft/index_np.html

July 25, 2003 – World Net Daily article on plans for the medical draft (HCPDS). System could draft up to 80,000 doctors, nurses and specialists, men and women.

http://wnd.com/news/article.asp?ARTICLE_ID=33754

September 3, 2003 – The Congressional Budget Office warns that “the Army lacks sufficient active-duty forces to maintain its current level of nearly 150,000 troops in Iraq beyond next spring (march 2004). "The Army does not have enough active-duty component forces to simultaneously maintain the occupation at its current size, limit deployments to one year, and sustain all of its other commitments" http://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/wp-dyn/A16689-2003Sep2?language=prin...

September 23, 2003 – Draft Board Recruitment ad appears on Defense.Link site. First public ad for Draft Boards in decades. Page scrubbed within a few days of being noticed by some media in early November. Spokesman says there is “no plan” to reinstate draft, which must be authorized by Congress. http://www.defendamerica.mil/articles/sss092203.html

http://www.thememoryhole.org/mil/draft-boards.htm

October 16, 2003 – Donald Rumsfeld memo leaks, saying Iraq “will be a long, hard slog”. www.usatoday.com/news/washington/ executive/rumsfeld-memo.htm

Nov. 4, 2003 – NY Times article on Army Honor Guard Company B being sent to MidEast, revealing how thin troops are being stretched to cover the 2004-2005 rotation.

http://villagenews.weblogger.com/stories/storyReader$10007

Nov. 5, 2003 – Toronto Star article quotes Ned Lebow “This (draft board ad) is significant”, Lebow, a presidential scholar at Dartmouth College in New Hampshire and former professor of strategy at the National War College in Washington, adds, "What the department of defence is doing is creating the infrastructure to make the draft a viable option should the administration wish to go this route." http://www.thestar.com/NASApp/cs/ContentServer?pagename=thestar/Layout...

Nov. 5, 2003 – Guardian article on Draft Board ad. SSS spokesman Amon said 80% of 11,000 Draft Board slots are vacant. (2,000 local boards, over 8,000 empty seats) http://www.guardian.co.uk/usa/story/0,12271,1077906,00.html

Nov. 12, 2003 – “If President Bush is re-elected, it is likely that he will reinstate the draft. The war on terrorism will not end in Iraq, but instead will proceed into countries like Syria and Iran," said Daniel Ellsberg, of Pentagon Papers fame. http://www.seacoastonline.com/news/11122003/news/60246.htm

November, 2003 – Selective Service 2004 “Performance Plan” summarizes how $28 million will be allocated in 2004 to reduce draft activation time from current 8 months to just 75 days. Nation-wide Readiness Exercises, testing the Draft Lottery and examination system, as well as gearing up the Medical Draft (3.4 million doctors and nurses, men and women age 20-44 are eligible). Ominously, the Alternative Service delivery system for Conscientious Objectors is readied for the first time in decades, with the SSS being funded to compile lists of available Alternative Service jobs for those who win non-military CO status. All systems will be pushed to reach 95% readiness during 2004.

http://www.sss.gov/perfplan_fy2004.html

Nov. 23, 2003 – Boston Globe article: “Army Reserve battling an exodus
War is seen as drain on ranks. The US Army Reserve fell short of its reenlistment goals this fiscal year, underscoring Pentagon fears that the protracted conflict in Iraq could cause a crippling exodus from the armed services.”
http://www.boston.com/news/nation/washington/articles/2003/11/23/army_... /

Nov. 24, 2003 – NY Times: Army plans for 100,000 troops until 2006 in Iraq.

http://www.iht.com/articles/118775.html

Nov. 26, 2003 – Ron Paul (R-TX) says “Draft likely to be reinstated”. http://www.lewrockwell.com/paul/paul144.html

December, 2003 - Draft Board Recruitment ad re-appears on the Selective Service Home Page with 2 new sentences stressing the ad has “NO connection” to Iraq. http://www.sss.gov

Dec. 4, 2003 – Ted Rall predicts Bush will “have to bring back the draft.” Notes 8,000 empty Draft Board seats to be filled by Spring 2005. Wonders about a “February (2005) Surprise” if Bush is re-elected. http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&cid=127&ncid=742&e=7&u=/uc...

December 22, 2003 – In an article entitled “Beware of Attempts to Revive Military Draft,” Newsday reports that “the Center on Conscience and War… executive director, J. E. McNeil… has heard of rumblings, from the Republican side of the aisle in Congress, about a draft after the election”. The opinion piece worries whether a revived draft “would give this war-without-end presidency an endless source of warm bodies to pursue its cowboy foreign policy.” Author Keeler also wonders about a “February (2005) Surprise”.

http://www.newsday.com/news/opinion/ny-vpkee223594883dec22,0,6735184.s...

December, 2003 – Dennis Kucinich releases and airs ad on draft: “Listen up, young America… you could be facing a Compulsory Draft!” http://resources.kucinich.us/video/video/listen_up/listen_up_real_broa...

December, 2003 - The Selective Service Register magazine talks about the new Special Skill Draft, a top priority for Director Lewis Brodsky. Like the Medical Draft, the Special Skills Draft will induct men and women up to age 44 if they have needed DoD skills like computer expertise, engineering or they are a linguist. As with the health care draftees, no medical deferments are allowed except for total disability. Anyone with these skills will have to register with the SSS if Bush is re-elected and asks Congress for this. Moving quickly!

http://www.sss.gov/PDFs/NovDec2003-Register.pdf (go to P. 6) – from sss,gov home page

December 29, 2003 - WP article: “Army Stops Many Soldiers From Quitting, Orders Extend Enlistments to Curtail Troop Shortages” 40,000 soldiers and Guard put on Stop-Loss. A “Draft Per Se” already exists! With the new stop-loss orders the Armed Forces actually goes 20,000 past 480,000 active troops, the maximum Congress has approved.

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A36979-2003Dec28.HTML

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bluestateguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-21-04 10:51 PM
Response to Original message
1. It would probably be reenacted in Feb. or March.
They have to establish maximum distance between the next election. It won't be the Rangel bill either. It will be a Republican draft: no women (can't offend the Dr. Laura crowd) and there will be exemptions for rich frat boys. Some DLC Democrats will vote yes, and Republicans in marginal states/districts facing tough fights in 2006 will be "allowed" to vote No.
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bluestateguy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-22-04 12:33 AM
Response to Reply #1
9. kick
Edited on Mon Mar-22-04 12:33 AM by bluestateguy
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robertpaulsen Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-21-04 10:56 PM
Response to Original message
2. Great timeline, Dems Will Win!
Haven't read all the links, but everything so far confirms what I already suspected. I'm bookmarking this for future reference.
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Yemp4734 Donating Member (63 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-21-04 11:03 PM
Response to Original message
3. I only have one question
WHY haven't dems in the media spoken about this yet? I wish someone would just blurt it out on a live CNN/FAUX/MSNBC/whatever show. This could be done so easily. Just have a sen/rep ask for an interview on CNN, and say it. It should be said by everyone at any chance they get.

If it gets in the publics mind bush is planning a draft just THAT could give us the election.
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seabeyond Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-21-04 11:09 PM
Response to Original message
4. without any thought, i just counted 4 bush voters going to kerry
one already told me he was going to vote kerry this time, he has an 18 year old son, another was being stupid and total tlaking point on bush and regardless what i said about bush, said the stupiest things. wonder how quickly she will change her vote if she thought her two sones 18 and 21 could be drafted

this seems the winner to me
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Babel_17 Donating Member (948 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-21-04 11:11 PM
Response to Original message
5. I suspect it will be a very selective service
By only drafting people to fill support positions three goals could be achieved.

One: Giving the military fresh support personell (computer techs, medics, linguists, mechanical types, etc.) would free up the existing people for combat positions.

Two: The draftees would not be seen as being placed in great danger and thus it would be more sellable. (obviously wrong in the case of medics and drivers among many other specialities)

Three: While unspoken it would obviously avoid the drafting of the children of the elite.

I see it also being sold as being very cost effective. (Quicker deployment/less need for training)

The administration might also be deluded enough to think that drafting from only among the unemployed could be a selling point but that's a stretch. I think. ;)
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Media_Lies_Daily Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-22-04 01:31 AM
Response to Reply #5
10. So, you believe that nonsense about a "selective draft"?...
The military has been pushed into two wars, and the NeoCons also want to invade Iran and Syria...and they don't have the manpower to hold the ground once they take it.

The draft will be all-inclusive, with no deferments.
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Babel_17 Donating Member (948 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-22-04 09:28 AM
Response to Reply #10
15. Well, it's just a guess
but I don't see the children of the elite getting drafted.

I don't know how the administration would manage that but I think they'll try.

I could be totally wrong. The national mood might prevent it.

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Virginian Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-21-04 11:12 PM
Response to Original message
6. Thanks for posting this.
My apolitical cousin has a son who is a senior in High School. I pasted the whole post into an email to her. This info should help her to choose what side she is on and convince her it is important for her to get out and vote this year.
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Dems Will Win Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-21-04 11:17 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. Everyone should print this up and hand it out at college campuses
and rock concerts!

BUSH '04 = DRAFT '05
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oasis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Mar-21-04 11:50 PM
Response to Original message
8. Bush 2004 = PNAC draft 2005.
www.newamericancentury.org
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losthorizon Donating Member (2 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-22-04 01:39 AM
Response to Reply #8
11. The Draft, follow the money angle
One thing I have not seen discussed much is the money saved by a conscripted armed forces. A volunteer military has to be payed fairly well compared to a conscripted military. If you intend to occupy large areas of the middle east and central Asia under a "Pax AmericU.S." you will need Lots of soldiers, cheap soldiers. The government is broke after giving huge tax cuts to the top 1% and huge bloated no-bid third party contracts to "re-build" Iraq. Volunteers are relatively expensive and you have to treat them relatively well to get them to enlist and re-enlist.

You do not however need to pay conscripts much of anything above and beyond room and board if you don't want to. Just imagine what could be saved by diverting all those volunteer military personnel paychecks into say, third party contractors like Halliburton. Conscripts and their meager paychecks will also put enormous downward pressure on volunteer salaries. We don't need to pay the volunteers even their current payrates if we flood the services with cheap 'slave labor' conscripts. It will fit perfectly with the GOP 'union-busting mentality'. A win-win for the Bush Whitehouse and GOP who would love to get their grubby little hands on the hundreds of billions of dollars "freed up" by low payed conscripts. Remember, if their are no exemptions for college kids, you get high quality college labor for McDonald wages. It does not get much sweeter for an "Empire Builder"

P.S. (The Guard units being sent to Iraq now are 'cannon fodder', meant to stall for time, if you use to many of the regular volunteer military personnel in Iraq, they with NOT re-enlist. Period. The reserve and Guard units are being treat as one time expendable 'assets' They are NOT going to re-list in the Guard for a second 18 month tour in Iraq. Bush has burned his bridges with the Guard community.) `
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Bozita Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-22-04 01:51 AM
Response to Reply #11
12. You've earned my respect on your first post. Thanks for joining us.
Edited on Mon Mar-22-04 01:53 AM by Bozita
We've been saving a spot for you.

Good stuff.


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newyawker99 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-22-04 01:56 PM
Response to Reply #11
17. Hi losthorizon!!
Welcome to DU!! :toast:
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Dems Will Win Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-22-04 03:03 PM
Response to Reply #11
18. They can't afford to make Star Wars
unless they draft computer programmers and make them code the millions of lines needed for Star Wars tracking and support, not to mention more mundane tasks.
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losthorizon Donating Member (2 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-22-04 10:11 PM
Response to Reply #11
20. The Draft, follow the money angle
I don't have alot of free time for posting, but I'd still like to direct the draft discussion towards the Bush agenda of money making. Few people know what George W. Bush's nickname was at the ultra elite prep school 'Andover Acandemy'. (Nicknames in high school follow two patterns. On is counter intuitive where the biggest guy on the football team is called 'Tiny'. The other is where the nickname is descriptive of the real personality trait, i.e.= weasel is a really sneaky, smarmy person.)

George W. Bush's nickname in his 'formative' character building years at Andover was "Boss Tweed' because he was runnning the 'rackets' at Andover, i.e. = selling test scores, selling dope, selling getting a good 'lay'. In short, he was a 'junior' gangsta. George W. Bush is NOT a politician. He is a gangster. Consult 'Brecht the German playwright' to understand the connection between fascism and gangsters. They are the same beast. The Draft under George W. Bush is simply an ultra cynical ploy to skim more money from the military salary pool into the coffers of Bush Inc. & Cheney Inc. It's always been about money, NOT 'politic'.
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MichaelHarris Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-22-04 06:47 AM
Response to Original message
13. Wouldn't you have to be in politics to enact something like that?
By my figuring he won't be around in 05. He's gonna be growing turnips in Crawford by then.
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OneTwentyoNine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-22-04 08:24 AM
Response to Original message
14. And how many flag waving War mongers will there be on June 16th??
Pretty damn easy to support death and carnage when your ass,your kids ass or grandkids ass isn't going into battle.

Go ahead Chimp,fire up the lottery once again only this time NO exceptions for College,marriage etc. You know,the deferments that got poor kids killed and wounded in VN while Dick Cheney,Limbaugh and other chicken hawks avoided duty.

The Dems need to pound on this issue and make Bush out a liar if he starts a draft in 05 after denial in 04.

David
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Dems Will Win Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-22-04 11:39 AM
Response to Original message
16. Tens of thousands of programmers will also be drafted
to write Star Wars code and save DoD lots of $$$. Up to age 45, no deferements except "essential community service", men and women--just like the Medical DRAFT!!
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Dems Will Win Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-22-04 06:04 PM
Response to Original message
19. kick
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oasis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Mar-22-04 11:56 PM
Response to Original message
21. kick
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