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If Bush* job rating freefall is halted in the next set of polls...

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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-17-04 04:34 PM
Original message
If Bush* job rating freefall is halted in the next set of polls...
Edited on Sat Apr-17-04 04:36 PM by TruthIsAll
The next set of polls should tell us a lot. He was exposed as a dunce as never before in the "speech" and press conference. We all know this, but more and more people are learning every day that they've been had. So Bush should continue to fall, perhaps under 47%.

If on the other hand, he rebounds or stays at his current 48.25% average rating, we will know that the media won't let him fall any further and is propping him up for the Diebold theft.

Remember, his poll numbers have fallen in 29 out of 31 months since 9/11. They rose just twice: when he invaded Iraq and when Saddam was captured. With no poll rigging, he is on his way down to 40%.



1Newswk 2Fox 3CNN 4Pew 5Harris 6CBS 7ABC 8Time 9NBC 10AP 11Zogby Average

ymm 1...2...3...4...5...6..7..8...9..10..11...AVG
102 52 55 57 53 na 53 55 52 na na 57 54.25
103 55 56 63 56 56 53 58 55 57 na 53 56.20
104 57 63 59 53 49 60 63 na 56 na 52 56.89
105 57 59 53 50 59 56 55 52 na na 52 54.78
106 na 59 55 51 50 57 na na 50 na 51 53.29
107 na 56 52 52 56 53 59 55 na na 47 53.75
108 na 55 51 50 52 50 55 na na na 50 51.86
109 86 81 87 80 na na 86 84 82 na 82 83.50
110 84 80 na 84 88 89 92 89 na na 78 85.50
111 85 84 87 84 86 87 89 87 88 na na 86.33
112 82 86 86 na 82 85 89 82 85 na 81 84.22
201 na 83 84 80 79 86 86 77 82 77 80 81.40
202 83 81 82 78 79 84 83 na na na 74 80.50
203 74 80 81 na 77 82 82 75 na 75 74 77.78
204 71 79 76 74 75 78 79 75 74 72 69 74.73
205 73 72 77 na 74 76 78 72 75 71 70 73.80
206 70 74 70 70 70 71 77 70 69 na 69 71.00
207 68 70 76 67 62 70 72 70 67 67 62 68.27
208 61 69 68 60 63 65 69 na na 65 na 65.00
209 70 66 66 63 68 66 69 65 64 65 na 66.20
210 61 65 67 na 64 66 67 61 63 63 63 64.00
211 60 68 63 61 65 63 67 64 na na na 63.88
212 na 65 64 61 64 61 66 55 na 64 64 62.67
301 56 63 63 58 na 65 59 53 62 64 na 60.33
302 61 57 61 54 52 59 64 62 54 58 63 58.64
303 53 60 57 55 na 56 62 54 61 57 62 57.70
304 71 71 70 67 70 68 71 62 62 51 54 65.18
305 65 65 69 65 na 67 71 63 71 64 61 66.10
306 61 66 64 60 61 67 68 na 62 na 58 63.00
307 55 60 62 58 na 66 59 55 na 60 53 58.67
308 53 59 60 56 57 60 59 na 56 58 52 57.00
309 52 58 52 55 na 55 56 52 na 52 45 53.00
310 51 52 55 50 59 52 54 na 49 51 49 52.20
311 52 52 54 50 na 54 56 52 51 52 48 52.10
312 54 52 63 57 50 60 59 54 58 59 53 56.27
401 50 58 60 56 na 50 58 54 54 56 49 54.50
402 48 48 51 48 51 50 50 54 na 47 na 49.67
403 48 48 49 46 na 51 50 na 50 48 46 48.44
404 49 49 52 43 na 49 na 49 na 48 47 48.25
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yardwork Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-17-04 04:37 PM
Response to Original message
1. The press could be propping him up for another reason....
which is that they want a close horse-race right through Election night. You know the press, those whores, they don't care about anything except market share and ratings.
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napi21 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-17-04 04:47 PM
Response to Reply #1
2. Actually that could be true.
The Press NOR anyone else really wants the next 6+ months to be boring. I do think it's possible that the media is proping the poll numbers just to maintain interest in the campaign.

I don't remember how Bob Dole's numbers looked prior to the 96 election. Do you?
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papau Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-17-04 07:29 PM
Response to Reply #2
6. 96 and 84 polls for the loser showed a loser. This time round I am into
right wing GOP media is preparing us for Diebold vote theft.
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ugarte Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-17-04 04:52 PM
Response to Original message
3. Only Osama can save him now
eom
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wtmusic Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-17-04 05:02 PM
Response to Original message
4. Thanks for the graph
Very revealing. If I were Karl Rove I'd start lining up my lecture gigs for '05...
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orwell Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-17-04 06:06 PM
Response to Original message
5. Tech Trends
As a student of charting and technical analysis, the recent low is a break of previous lows and implies further downside, even if there are temporary upticks along the way.

Looks bad for GeorgeCorp.

O
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liarliartieonfire Donating Member (448 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-17-04 07:44 PM
Response to Original message
7. Changing my 37% prediction date
Few weeks ago I predicted George's approval rating would be 37% by Sept.
By the looks of the slippery slope, I wish to formally move this date up to June 1, 2004.
Thank You
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TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sat Apr-17-04 08:15 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. I disagree. He is falling about 1-2% per month. At that rate...
he will be 2-4% lower than he is now, or 44-46%.

If he is at 37% on June 1, I expect he either will resign or be impeached.

Or Armaggeddon is imminent.

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