It's not just Gallop, new ABC/Washington Post Poll - Bush 48 Kerry 43

[ringmastery]

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A25138-2004Apr19.html

In a matchup, Bush holds a 48 percent to 43 percent lead over Kerry among registered voters, with independent Ralph Nader at 6 percent. In early March, shortly after he effectively wrapped up the Democratic nomination, Kerry led Bush 48 percent to 44 percent.

[Soup Bean]

1. LOL...Bush is ahead in one day after Woodward splash!

I don't believe anything anyone tells me anymore. Especially polls...screw them all.

I know a LOT of people who don't like Bush, even here in the Republican South! I don't think there's much support for Bush outside of the church crowd, which is a definite minority, regardless of what people think. I know they vote, but I even know a bunch of them that don't like Bush.

Social Security, Medicare and WAR trump most concerns. Most folks don't want to fight a war, and they want their medical bills paid. A lot of people are afraid to criticize Bush, but they'll vote against them and say "what happened" after it's over. It's kind of like saying you don't believe everything in the Bible...it's just not polite conversation down here.

I think Kerry gets 56% of the vote in the general.

[TruthIsAll]

10. Total Bushit! Kerry led Bush 53-44 in March. Check polling report.com

12 -POLL AVERAGE
Kerry Bush Spread
Jan 40.50 51.25 -10.75
Feb 47.50 45.13 2.38
Mar 46.82 45.09 1.73
Apr 47.00 45.00 2.00


1 IBD
Jan na na
Feb 44 41 3
Mar 40 45 -5
Apr 45 43 2

2 ABC
Jan na na
Feb 52 43 9
Mar 53 44 9
Apr 43 48 -5 Bushit!

3 AP
Jan 37 54 -17
Feb na na
Mar 45 46 -1
Apr 44 45 -1

4 NWK
Jan 41 52 -11
Feb 50 45 5
Mar 48 45 3
Apr 50 43 7

5 ARG
Jan 47 46 1
Feb 48 46 2
Mar 50 43 7
Apr 50 44 6

6 NBC
Jan 35 54 -19
Feb na na
Mar 45 47 -2
Apr na na

7 FOX
Jan 32 54 -22
Feb 43 47 -4
Mar 44 44 0
Apr 48 43 5

8 CBS
Jan 48 43 5
Feb 47 46 1
Mar 43 46 -3
Apr 48 43 5

9 CNN
Jan 43 55 -12
Feb 48 49 -1
Mar 52 44 8
Apr 46 51 -5 Bushit!

10 PEW
Jan 41 52 -11
Feb 48 44 4
Mar 47 46 1
Apr na na

11 LA Times
Jan na na
Feb na na
Mar na na
Apr 49 46 3

12 Zogby
Jan na na
Feb na na
Mar 48 46 2
Apr 47 44 3

[TruthIsAll]

12. Circumstantial evidence Diebold stole it in 2002: A probability analysis

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=104&topic_id=1213532

[gristy]

2. This result just doesn't make sense when you put in

the context of two dozen polls in the last month.
I'm willing to put my non-partisan, objective hat on and I still say :wtf:? I mean, pray tell, just what did * do in the last week or two to cause him to jump 10 points in the polls?

http://www.radiofreemonkey.com:8080/charts/img_bush_kerry_spread.gif

[babzilla]

3. tell me again how many ballots Nader is on so far?

I believe the answer is none. Its gonna be tough getting 6% that way.

[LoZoccolo]

5. It kind of doesn't matter.

Anyone who's determined to vote Nader after all this would probably write his name in or not vote anyways.

[lancdem]

6. Polls of registered voters with Nader in them

are highly misleading. His support is extremely soft.

[Name removed]

7. Deleted message

Message removed by moderator. Click here to review the message board rules.

[SalParadise]

4. Forget the freakin' polls already!

There's a long way to november.

Whoever's that worried about these meaningless numbers - write an UNEMOTIONAL letter to your local paper outlining some facts on bush's failures - that will do a lot more to right these numbers than whining about them here.

[BabsSong]

8. There's more in this and we better wake up

I just posted something a few minutes ago after going to the ABC website. They have a long run down. We have blown it in about every category. We were leading Bush in all areas just weeks ago and now we lead him by only 6 points in one area-healthcare. So while you purse your lips and spit on polls, wake up and see how badly we are losing ground on all areas. Let the pigs suffocate in their shit as far as I'm concerned. I'm truly believing that certain classes of people in this society really need to fall to peon status since that is the level of their minds.

[hedda_foil]

9. Hang on .... why is ABC/WaPo doing registered instead of likely voters?

[ElementaryPenguin]

11. UTTER BULLSHIT! Chimpy is now hated everywhere & will lose in a landslide

Provided we don't get Diebolded! And then we must dismantle our facist mainstrean press who has gotten us into this mess by shamelessly and relentlessly manipulating our lazy, childlike, closeminded, rascist, IGNORANT sheeple!!

:puke:

[AP]

13. With the primary battle over, and with Kerry focussing on fundraising ...

...rather than high profile campaign events, of course Bush -- whom the media adores -- will go up in the polls now.

Kerry was riding constant coverage of the primaries to those high numbers.

He won't get press like that again for months. Just be happy that he was beating Bush when he did have press like that.

And think logically: when the press gets back to covering him and Bush at the same time, who's going to do better?

I think you have to give the nod to Kerry.