Dick Morris tells Hannity that re-election is looking grim for Bush

[PA-DEM]

Today on the radio Morris tells Hannity Bush is in real trouble. I am not sure if this is good news for Kerry or bad news, since ussually what Morris say's is wrong.

[freetobegay]

1. Dick Morris is the poorest excuse for a human being

that there is. What a scum bag!

[Timefortruth]

2. That is without a doubt the worst news of the day.

The CNN poll looks good in comparison.

Morris is consistent, he never gets it right.

[David Dunham]

5. CNN erred; 40% Repugs in poll, only 34% Dems

[atre]

20. That is a shocking disparity

considering there are more Democrats than Republicans, and there are more likely Democratic voters than likely Republican voters. Things like that are supposed to be controlled.

[Zynx]

21. What the heck?

That's stupid beyond belief that they would actually publish a poll with those sorts of numbers.

[samsingh]

28. mistake no - it was a lie they were trying to perpetuate.

[TahitiNut]

30. And some of the "Dems" are really Repugs

... engaging in poll-busting. :shrug:

[elperromagico]

3. No, Dick! Say things are going well for Bush! It helps us!

Or better yet, go back to sucking a hooker's toes.

[patriotvoice]

4. Yes, it's official.

Kerry will now lose. Morris is anathema for positive prognostication.

[KittyWampus]

18. Funny, Just A WEEK Ago, Morris Said Bush Victory Margin Could Surprise

Morris: Bush Victory Margin Could Surprise

The presidential race may look close now,
but key trends suggest that President Bush
may win the election by a surprising
margin.

That's the word from one-time White House
strategist Dick Morris, who notes in his
New York Post column today that Bush has
moved up in the latest Rasmussen poll
despite a two-week media blitzkrieg echoing
charges by terrorism czar Richard Clarke
that he was asleep at the wheel on
al-Qaida.

Morris credits the Bush campaign's decision
to unleash a torrent of negative ads, and
notes that Karl Rove has plenty of material
to work with from here on out.

• Gas Prices: Morris says Kerry is on the
spot because he backs a higher gas tax.
"Voters know that the president can't
control oil prices, but they sure know he
can raise or lower taxes."

• The Economy: The recent economic-growth
and job-creation data are pulling the rug
out from under Kerry inch by inch, says
Morris. "A few more months like March, and
his entire campaign theme will be made
moot."

• Tax Increases: The notion that Kerry is a
tax-and-spend liberal is beginning to take
hold. Says Morris, "His promises to confine
tax hikes to the rich are about as credible
as an alcoholic's pledge only to drink at
night."

• National Security: Kerry's attempt to
invoke Vietnam to paper over his horrendous
national security record has fallen flat.
"It is evident that Kerry has no effective
answer for Bush's charge that he would
undermine homeland security," says Morris.
"With the national focus shifting more and
more to terrorism and away from the fading
recession, Bush's lead becomes ever more
daunting."

• Kerry's Light Work Habits: The one-time
Clinton strategist says that because Kerry
followed his two-week skiing vacation with
shoulder surgery, he sidelined himself when
he most needed to defend against Bush's
attacks.

[MallRat]

29. Pot, calling Mr. Kettle... Mr. Kettle?

"Morris credits the Bush campaign's decision
to unleash a torrent of negative ads, and
notes that Karl Rove has plenty of material
to work with from here on out."

"• Kerry's Light Work Habits: The one-time
Clinton strategist says that because Kerry
followed his two-week skiing vacation with
shoulder surgery, he sidelined himself when
he most needed to defend against Bush's
attacks."


You're telling me that BUSH is going to make an issue of "Kerry's Light Work Habits?"

:puke:

[smirkymonkey]

6. The look on Hannity's face

must have been priceless! Did he wet himself?

[Ilsa]

7. ABC News told me tonight that

Americans prefer the Fuckwad in 10 out of 11 issues, and that he still has a 51% approval rating.

I think they must be doing hospital lobotomy ward exit polls.

[papau]

11. ABC News poll shows power of negative ads - or is "wrong"

Fieldwork by TNS of Horsham, PA.

Do you think things in this country are generally going in the right direction or do you feel things have gotten pretty seriously off on the wrong track?

Right direction 42%
Wrong track 57%
DK/No opinion 1%

1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?

---------Approve--------- --------Disapprove------- No
NET Strongly Somewhat NET Somewhat Strongly opin.
4/18/04 51 33 18 47 13 34 1
3/7/04 50 32 18 48 12 36 2
2/11/04 50 30 21 47 14 34 2

3. How closely are you following the 2004 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely, or not closely at all?

Very Somewhat Not too Not closely No
closely closely closely at all opin.
4/18/04 30 45 16 9 0
3/7/04 33 42 18 7 *

Negative Ads work: He is honest and trustworthy

-------Bush--------- --------Kerry-------
Yes No No op. Yes No No op.
4/18/04 55 44 1 49 40 11
3/7/04 54 45 1 59 30 11

He understands the problems of people like you

-------Bush--------- --------Kerry-------
Yes No No op. Yes No No op.
4/18/04 41 57 2 51 40 10
3/7/04 41 57 2 58 34 8

He is a strong leader

-------Bush--------- --------Kerry-------
Yes No No op. Yes No No op.
4/18/04 64 36 1 52 38 11
3/7/04 63 36 1 61 29 10

http://csmonitor.com/2004/0419/p16s03-cogn.html

Those untaxed corporations earned $3.5 trillion of revenues - and our liberal media says nothing - so are the above results a real surprise?

[SayitAintSo]

8. That POS toe sucker is just trying to rally the pukes ....

Don't trust a thing he says ... must be the new puke talking points to rally the troops ... They did the same thing here in SC before the 2002 election - scared the shit out of all the pukes to get out their base by poor mouthing about how great the Dem get out the vote effort was going. We were crushed by the puke turn out.

[Nlighten1]

9. Impeachment should be looking really good though.

Where is the fucking Democratic party? They are AWOL on this issue.

:wtf:

[Democat]

12. What issue aren't they AWOL on?

Wimps.

[stevedeshazer]

10. Did Toe Sucker boy say why?

[jfxgillis]

13. Morris is right this time. Reasons:

1. Incumbents always start with an advantage, then hang on or not after erosion. Even Reagan's landslide was erosion from his peak. Nixon '72 is the only solid exception. That's because last minute "Undecideds" tend to break for the challenger. Bush has no room for erosion.

2. Morris has access to closely-held internals. If you don't think internals aren't 10 times higher quality than these media polls, go look at Dan Rostenkowski's '94 House race.

3. Even without access to internals, I can SEE the right track/wrong track numbers, too, and they're TERRIBLE for Bush. Really, Bush can't survive without virtually turning those into a mirror image.

4. A month ago Morris wrote that March would be the month that destroyed Kerry. Patently, it did not. Bush's ad blitz did not have the avalanche effect that it should have. Morris sees that as easily as I do.

[PA-DEM]

24. WH admitted there ads had no effect

This is why they cut back on the ads. The WH has 100,000 pollsters. The best of the best. Last week on hardball, Tweety said kerry was up 7 points and one of Bush's talking heads said no it's about 3 points. I think that was a slip of the tongue that wasnt suppsed to get out. He is likely quoting his own internal polls.

[jfxgillis]

25. Yes

The filtering and design of the internal instruments is hugely greater and more expensive.

They KNOW who the REAL "likely" voters are, they know things like caucasian vote in the Southwest, independents in the Midwest, all that stuff that's way too expensive for a media poll to bother with.

And it's funny you say 3 points because I have Kerry pegged with about a 2-point lead based on all my poll reading.

[Kitsune]

14. Minor Nitpick: You have to be elected before you can be re-elected. *nt*

[Poiuyt]

15. Didn't Morris just say that bush would win?

It seems like it was just 2 or 3 weeks ago that Morris was predicting that bush would win. I remember everyone on this board cheering because he is always wrong.

[TheWebHead]

16. a good guideline

would be how early polls showed Lieberman well in front at the beginning of the Democatic primary... Once all the candidates were introduced and everyone became fully aware of their message, the guy that had the name recognition and Joe-mentum from the 2000 election, Lieberman quickly evaporated. Let's face it, not many people know Kerry very well right now, let him spend $100M on ads and give it 6 more months of airtime, he'll lose the mystery figure status.

So Morris, the slimeball who has been flipflopping on this opinion seemingly every week, is currently correct.

[UTUSN]

17. The Problem with This Is That MORRIS Is Always Wrong

(Everybody know he's first-cousin to Roy COHN *and* Jules FEIFFER? Now THAT's a mind-blower.)

[Moloch]

19. I bet even the repugs don't believe Morris

The man is a complete whore. If it weren't for Clinton's cock, he wouldn't have a job at all.

[Killarney]

22. Morris had an editorial in that NY Rag about a month ago

which said that Bush will win in a landslide. He predicted that Kerry's numbers will slide down over the next few months drastically.

Now he's saying this.

Basically, he doesn't know shit.

[jfxgillis]

26. Don't be so dismissive

Morris is a brilliant analyst but a terrible strategist, which is why he's been a "consultant" for 30 years and not a campaign manager.

He looked at the evidence a month ago, made a prediction based on established knowledge--expecting Bush's HUGE ad blitz to have a similar effect as other such blitzes--and now he's looked at the effects and changed his mind.

[powergirl]

23. I like any news that makes Hannity nervous

Whenever Morris gives Hannity negative info about Bush,Hannity yells at him. Whenver Morris gives Hannity positive info, Hannity calls him a genius.

[theboss]

27. Now I'm scared

Morris is never, ever right in his political predictions. If he says things look good for Kerry, we are clearly screwed.