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Desperate. The attack on Kerry's record in Vietnam is itself imploding, and using it as an attack is a result of the failure of the 98 million they have spend so far in an attempt to have Kerry fall far ehough behind in the polls for them to feel secure of a Bush win. It didnt happen. Right now the polls reflect that the public wants to get rid of Bush, but still doesnt know Kerry well enough to fully support him If the election were held today, Bush would win the popular vote accoring to most polls, but barely. The most important thing is that Kerry is behind Bush in the overall national polls, but is ahead of him in all of the 17 battleground states. Even Fox polls are finding that out. Which means that if the election was held today, Bush would win the popular vote, but Kerry would be elected president, through the electoral college. Bush is doing badly for a wartime president when you figure in the "rally around the president" phenomenon that occurs in times of crisis. Piss poor in fact. Most incuments have been much further ahead in polls against an opponent this early in the campaign.
The fact are that those who have decided who they are going to vote for at this point have pretty much made up their minds, and are not going to change it. All that is left are the undecided 7-9 percent who for the most part largely vote against the incumbent when the election comes down to the wire. Kerry's lead in the largest of the battleground states keepi increasing, and Bush is starting to lose some states he has been ahead in, Kerry polled well above Bush in New Hampsire just after the primaries, but fell far behind Bush in that state later, until this week, and now Kerry is ahead of Bush in New Hampsure again.
Kerry is running a very smart campaign, as he is first running to secure an electoral college win, focusing on the battleground states needed to get the largest number of electoral votes. Kerry has 11 states securly under his belt now giving him 186 electoral votes.
Bush has 183 electoral votes but it takes 18 states to get to this total.
All Kerry needs to do now is to focus his campaign fully on a handful of states and win them. There are twice as many Kerry ads running in Florida as there are Bush ads(Kerry has been ahead of BUsh in this states in 4 out of the last 6 polls). There is sreious worry among the Bush people that Bush will lose a number of states that went to him in 2000, like Arkansas which BUsh won handily in 2000, but where his lead on Kerry is very slim and has been diminishin with each new poll. Bush won New Hampshire in 2000, Kerry is now ahead of Bush in that state. Bush won Ohio in 2000, Kerry is running a point behind him there and Kerry is campaigning heavily in that state.
By the time the fall comes around , the public will know John Kerry better, and the more Republicans crack jokes about the opposition, the more worreid they are about that opposition. If you remember, Hillary CLinton faced similar belittling behavior from the right wing media when she was running for the New York Senate.
The one thing that is correct is that Bush is getting wide exposure, and Kerry is not as much in the news, yet he remains within a few points of Bush in every poll, and in the states that have had some of the worse economic problems, Kerry is either well ahead of Bush, or moving up close behind him.
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