Please help--Can you give me a list of the "swing states?"

[Jackpine Radical]

The Am. Council of Churches placed an anti-Bush ad in the NYT attacking the "Clean Air" policy. I suggested that they would be better off placing ads like that is swing states rather than in NY, which is likely to be strongly Kerry, & my wife wanted to send an email suggesting this to them. I need a list of the states seen as close and crigical in the 2004 election for her to include in her email, and I'm sure somebody here would have it. Please help.

[Eric J in MN]

1. MN, WI, IA, SD, FL, OH (nt)

nt

[tritsofme]

6. Add PA to that list,

I think its going to be close, and shouldn't be taken for granted.

[physioex]

2. He didn't mention NM it was the closest last election...EOM

[Jackpine Radical]

4. Ihad already added NM & threw in PA, which seems

like at least a possibility in 2004. How about MO?

[nothingshocksmeanymore]

3. Yeah they're all listed here

http://swingstateproject.typepad.com/about.html#methodology

[BillZBubb]

5. Ohio is the MOST important state in this election!

Kerry wins if he gets Ohio, Michigan and Pennsylvania. He doesn't need Florida, but it would be a back breaker to Bush* if Kerry wins there.

[Jackpine Radical]

7. Thanks so much everyone. Your responses are most helpful,

and will be put to good use.

[Snazzy]

8. Really depends on where you draw the line

The candidates are spending money in 17 or 18 states, which is close to states that were within 6% in 2000.

But the really important states are the ones that were even closer balanced with how many electoral votes they have.

I/we have a page here with thinking about that, and some facts/maps.

[usregimechange]

10. MO a swing state, very much so. n/t

[Snazzy]

11. For sure. Within 4%

Ad buys from Natl Journal (subscription)

(would like to see more recent, but I keep reading 17 states, plus CA for Ahhhrnold).

AD SPENDING, 3/3-14
BUSH-CHENEY
Estimated spending: $8,197,514+
Spots aired: 8,071
States: AR, AZ, CA, FL, IA, ME, MI, MN, MO, NH, NM, NV, OH, OR, PA, WA, WI, WV, nat'l cable

KERRY
Estimated spending: $310,137+
Spots aired: 415
States: AR, AZ, FL, IA, ME, MI, MN, MO, NH, NM, NV, OH, OR, PA, WI, WV

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But I think it really comes down to much fewer.

[SilasSoule]

9. I thought Michigan could go either way also.