In your gut who do you think will win the election?

[southernleftylady]

Do you think it will be super close? Do you feel that we can pull it off and Kerry will win?

[Gato Moteado]

1. if the american people are left to decide, then kerry will win.....

...if the decision is given to dieboldt, then all bets are off.

[troublemaker]

2. Kerry 52-45 (300+ in electoral college)

[LiberalVoice]

3. There is no doubt in my mind...

...that Kerry would win by a landslide. The media is full of shit and the people of this country are VERY SLOWLY starting to realise that and exactly what * stands for.

The only problem is that the elections in my mind are almost certainly rigged and Bush will win by a small margin. Nevertheless I will be voting in Nov.

[Seabiscuit]

60. But who

will be acting as watchdogs to insure that Diebold doesn't steal the election from us???

[LiberalVoice]

63. Unfortunatly no one but the corrupt people we have now.

:(

[JuniperLea]

4. too soon to tell

and too many variables. my concern is that bushie will win by some underhanded tactic... AGAIN! but will the US or the world stand for that? the right is already defeding cheney's choice of words to the senate, i think they can rationalize anything to themselves.

these are scary times:(

[IronLionZion]

5. huge and decisive Kerry win

unless Bush steals it. It won't be close. If Bush steals it again and the Democrats don't fight it, then...:grr: :nuke:

We should go to Washington, find Tom Daschle, and give him the beating of his life. And that goes for other enablers as well.

Have you seen F911? Seeing all those Democrats sitting there instead of contesting the results, and seeing the look on poor Al's face when he had to preside over it was just heartbreaking.

[southernleftylady]

11. Oh yeah I went to it and that part really upset me!

[JuniperLea]

13. scary

how the dems sat silently on their backsides. are the majority of politicians so owned??

i always said that if i ever had the opportunity to meet gore again (met him before the election) i would shake his hand and say, 'hello, mr. president'.

[IronLionZion]

16. The motion needed only one Senator to sign it

and nobody stepped up.

[JuniperLea]

20. then the question would be

why? how could it possibly be in their best interest to sit and do nothing? how did they benefit? i don't know, i'm asking...

[IronLionZion]

30. fear of repurcussions?

they didn't want to look wild-eyed? their constituents wanted to move on? they were paid off? I have no idea. If a Democrat had stolen the election, the Republicans would not let that stand. Hell, if a Democrat does anything they won't let it stand.

[cally]

49. There was no hope of a different outcome at that point

If a Senator had joined in, then the selection would have gone to Congress and * would still take office. The CBC, of course, knew that but had to express their outrage anyway. Dems chose to minimize the turmoil in the mistaken belief that politicians want whats best for all of us. I doubt they would do it again. My $.02

[question everything]

6. I have more confidence in Kerry's win than I had with Gore

I was actually surprised that he did so well. As soon as Bush's name was floated in 1998, I think, I thought that that was over. Just because of the name.

Kerry reminds me of Gore. An intellectual who is having hard time getting down to the trenches and speak to the masses at a sixth-grade level. Expressing an idea in simple words that the dittoheads could follow. To show that he can be everyman. But I think that he and his campaign have learned from Gore's mistakes - at least, I hope they do - and with so much antipathy toward Bush - the election is his to lose.

[MUSTANG_2004]

25. Really?

I'm not sure why you thought Bush would win just because of his name, as his dad was tossed out of office for being a lousy president. Obviously the Bush name wasn't worth much in 1992. Nor in 1994 when Jeb lost his race for governor.

But then, I thought Gore was a sure thing. For Kerry, I have no idea, but it's still too many months away for me to start paying attention to the campaigning.

[question everything]

41. Because by then Clinton was badly wounded

and the pubs could smell blood. By then they wanted their revenge on the loss of 1992. In 1994 Jeb Bush was an unknown while Dubya was already a twice-elected governor of a large state.

And, as we all know. Gore chose to distance himself from Clinton and today, in the good ol' hindsight, many say this was a mistake; I don't know. I think that in 2000 he was damned if he did and damned if he did not. Which brings me to another favorite concept of mine: that sitting VPs do not win the White House - papa Bush an exception, for just one term. After four or eight years of sitting in someone's shadow they all of a sudden have to show leadership and innovation. And they are tainted by their administration's scandal - each has one. This is why I would rather Edwards not be in the ticket but run on his own. In 2012 he will be younger than today's Kerry.

[surfermaw]

53. I think you are right

I think like you it was a mistake to distance him self from a man with such a high approval rating and the best economy... I think down the road we will find Gore was taking too much advice from his wife a nd daughter.. I think it will come out soon...You know you wouldn't slap your daughter in the face even if her advice caused you to loose and election.

[PCIntern]

7. Kerry by a landslide

and all the c**ks*****s on TV will be scratching their literally and figuratively lousy heads like they did in 1986, when the Senate went Dem.

[doni_georgia]

8. My gut says Kerry will win

Bush is still very popular here in GA (you should have seen the reception my husband and I got here in our suburban town last night wearing our Kerry gear to a restaurant - people yelled at us from other tables!), but I think the majority of Americans have far more of a clue than the mindless sheeple down here. Plus, I don't think the Bush supporters would be so nasty to us if they weren't nervous.

[devinsgram]

26. Me thinks you hit something right on the head.

If they didn't think that Kerry had a chance in winning, they would have just laughed and got made a joke of your Kerry gear. Instead they are getting angrier and angrier which tells me they are scared to death of losing. This is being shown all over the place. * is now like the Titanic and there are not enough of lifeboats in the world to save him.

Before my gut was telling me it would be a tough election, this time it's telling me that a landslide is in the making for Kerry.

[surfermaw]

55. Georgia Poster

I was born and raised in Georgia..would you beleive that in the second race between Roosevelt and Dewey in my school district there was only one family that voted for Dewey. Now that was told, didn't see the final tally...Even in the late 40 when I left the state it was a part of the solid south. From what I have read and heard, Gooldwater writhig for the Atlanta papers sort of turned the state.

[doni_georgia]

68. Johnson passing the Civil Rights Act of 1964 and enforcing integration

moved the south into the republican corner - period. I've lived in GA all my life, although I always lived in the city of Atlanta until 11 years ago. Moving out here where we live now was like going back in time. It's pretty scary - to steal a line from Sweet Home Alabama, "You need a passport to come down here." We're just holding on, though, because the climate is changing in my area, because white flight is starting. School I teach at has gone from 65% white to 45% white in two years. White bubba is moving further out - halelujah! (oh, I am white by the way - just hate the hell out of racists).

[Gildor Inglorion]

9. I'm terrified - I truly think the "fix" is in -

and that the chimp and his Orcs will do whatever it takes to retain control. I believe the machines and the "poll-watching" Repuke thugs are already in place. Frankly, I think they'd PREFER to steal the election. These monsters don't just practice evil, they love it.

[eaprez]

15. of course they will...

...this is about power...not what's best for the country, the people in it or the global community.

[dusty64]

10. Assuming a FAIR election,

Kerry hands down.

[Tierra_y_Libertad]

12. The Iraqis and Al Queda will decide the election.

The economy and all other issues are secondary, at best. The "war" (which never was a war) in Iraq is THE issue. If it continues to drag on, which it will, then Kerry has a good chance. If AQ launches another strike (highly probable IMO) inside the U.S. then Bush wins.

At best, I'd say it's a toss-up.

[JuniperLea]

17. scarier still!

it would be in bushie's best interest to wind this whole iraq deal up and show himself to be a hero in order to garner votes. the situation over there is bleak at best; that being said, how would he do it?

[LTR]

21. But would he?

If a terrorist attack happened, would the people rally around him? Or would they blame him for not protecting the homeland?

Remember, it's all in the spin.

This is highly risky ground for Bush to tread on. It could benefit him, or it could destroy him.

[Tierra_y_Libertad]

35. Can't see it.

Should AQ hit the U.S., doesn't even need to be a "major" hit, rationality goes out the window. It will all be flagwaving, hyper-patriotism, revenge, and "Bring it On". All the stuff Smirk is good at.

AQ isn't dumb. The best recruter they have is the Dummy-in-Chief. One bomb in a theater or shopping mall and they can count on an American over-reaction. If effect, they will have won the phoney "War on Terror" by controlling the U.S. election.

[surfermaw]

54. Beg to disagree

Hungry, sick babies, leads dad to vote democratic

[ThomWV]

14. 60/40 Kerry

I've been saying it since last fall, and I'll say it again. Bush will loose in a landslide.

[rock]

34. Yep

I've been predicting 60-40 Kerry for a while. As time goes on I've even considered updating my prediction to 65-35. This is going to be the worst defeat ever.

[alfredo]

18. The electors will decide

If they are not corrupted, we will win.

[LTR]

19. Kerry

By November, the Bush campaign would have screwed up their chances royally.

They are neck and neck now, and I really can't see Bush doing any better, unless the Kerry camp does something to really screw things up.

Best thing for Kerry to do is play it cool. No overreacting. No controversial statements that can be rightfully used against him. He also really needs to connect with the people. We've seen glimpses of his personality and his glib humor (the one about Cheney cursing the other day was brilliant). All in all, he must maintain the high road.

This election is almost being handed to him due to the GOP's constant blunders. Bush will hang himself with his own rope.

Is my way of thinking on target here, or am I just delusional?

[JuniperLea]

23. that could be a problem

if dean was thrown out of the running by being happy and rallying his troops, the right will jump on any little thing to try and oust kerry.

i'm still puzzled how the public wants a simple person over someone with intelligence. you would think they would want someone smarter than themselves.

[Paradise]

31. You're a delightful optimist, and that's good! :) nt

[TreasonousBastard]

22. My gut doesn't tell me a thing...

because this is the strangest election I've lived though.

And I've been paying attention since Kennedy-Nixon.

A complete and total failure is still popular. Even his father, who wasn't a complete failure, managed to blow it, but this guy still has support.

I do know that perceptions are far more important than policy, positions or even actions. Fraud is pretty important, too, and we've never had a really "clean" election.

Fraud is tough to deal with, and even tougher this year, but image isn't. Policy wonks and partisans, like us and the wingnuts, are only a small part of the electorate. There are millions out there who will see the candidates through their own filters. Regardless of what happened in the past, or what the candidates say, do they feel comfortable that candidate X will be on their side with situation Y. Do they feel comfortable that candidate X will show strength in a crisis?

Face it, most people vote with their gut on warm fuzzies. And I have no idea where those guts are finding their warm fuzzies now.

[FemaleDemfromMass]

24. Kerry will win and

Bush will be in jail! :bounce:

[Paradise]

27. Bush has already told us how this will turn out.

snip
"* Expressed indifference to polls that showed him trailing Democratic Sen. John Kerry of Massachusetts, who is leading the race to be the Democratic presidential nominee. 'I'm not going to lose,' Bush said. 'I don't plan on losing.'"
snip

http://news4colorado.com/campaign2004/politicsnational_story_039131801.html

Evidently, he knows something that we do not! :think:

[LTR]

28. True, but...

...they all say that.

[Paradise]

29. True, but THIS time The Thief In Chief said it! :) nt

[bermudat]

32. My gut tells me the election has already been decided for bush.

Does anyone remember election night 2000 when Florida was initially called for Gore? Bush said the election was called too early and his people didn't agree. He was so confident and relaxed as if he already knew what had transpired earlier to insure his win in Florida. This same manner is coming through, confident and relaxed, as if he knows the computer voting ballots have already been programmed 52%-48% in favor of bush.

[Paradise]

36. P R E C I S E L Y

My take on it, E X A C T L Y !

[faithnotgreed]

47. aclu and bbv and others are fighting for fair elections - help them!

i agree that bush and co will try to do whatever they have to but we at least have a heads up this election. and organizations are trying to fight this and get some sunlight in. we must pass this information along esp to those who can work in the key states like florida and ohio that have already essentially tried to sham the voters.
support bbv or aclu or whomever is earnestly trying and can do the most good there to get a fair counting

just one thought - im sure there are many others....

[southernleftylady]

33. Just like he said he knew he was going to get florida .. scary isnt it

[Paradise]

42. it was sooo blaringly evident on 'selection' night!

he knew there was NO WAY he could possibly have lost florida!
it was brazenly obvious, and i knew it the moment he said it.
my take is that he will succeed NO MATTER WHAT IT TAKES!
please, give me one reason i should expect anything less from him, from them.
historically, exit polls are NEVER wrong but, no matter, he knew better.
from his mouth to my ears, he's oozing that arrogance, again. IMO

southernleftylady, you're right, it is scary but somehow, for me, anger beats fear. :hi:

[Paranoid_Portlander]

37. I predict Bush will tamper with the Electoral College.

How does one become an Elector, anyway? I admit I lack knowledge in this area. Let's all be alert to any suspicious changes in the Electoral College.

[Solly Mack]

38. kerry will win but the 2000 Selection showed us that the winner

is no longer assured the office.

Selection 2000 is an American legacy...and having it happen once makes it easier to happen again.

[bushwakker]

39. I expect to lose big

There's no other way to approach this thing and keep your sanity.

[BillZBubb]

40. Having a cynical attitude about the average American,

I fear Bush* will actually win this time. There will be just enough economic activity to convince great numbers of dummies with no memory that things are "getting better".

BushCo will tone down all activity in Iraq for the months leading up to the election. They'll claim success and the Sheeple will buy it, because there won't be a lot of Americans dying. Bush* will also start acting like he's trying to work with others, again the dim bulbs with no memory will swallow it.

Bush* has unlimited funds to run his propaganda campaign. He'll continue to have success painting Kerry in an unfavorable light to the majority of Americans. The press will continue to do the Repugs' bidding at every turn. Voter fraud will be rampant.

Kerry will keep it close, but winning is a long shot.

[Sparkly]

43. I truly believe Kerry will win

but whether he is allowed to take office is another matter.

[Oddman]

44. Kerry will win.

I talked to one of my coworkers who has always been an ardent supporter of bush and EVEN she is calling him a dishonest man who does not have the capacity to be president.


A Pathetic Excuse for a pResident

[gpandas]

45. kerry, i'm always optimistic n/t

[hiphopnation]

46. to early to tell and so much could happen either way between

now and then.

[Mayberry Machiavelli]

48. Kerry, big. But I fear voter fraud too. But I'm definitely voting.

[Padraig18]

50. Kerry, with 300+ EVs...

I don't think it will be very close.

[napi21]

51. I think Kerry will win by a sizeable margin.

The Pubs are doing a lot of very dumb things and the media is finally asking some decent questions.....not great, but decent. NOBODY in the Admin. is answering those questions with any credibility. I really believe the bog question in Nov. will be "How did the pollsters get this so wrong? All of them predicted a VERY close election, and Kerry won by a landslide!

[surfermaw]

52. Democrats are going to win:South is going to suprise many

[burrowowl]

56. My head tells me to keep on trucking

to make the Nation turn around from the course it is on.
My gut tells me it would be easier to turn around a 200-car train going full speed ahead and it wouldn't derail.

[Nashyra]

57. Kerry can win

I think Kerry will win but I don't trust the voting machines and it absolutely amazes me how many people who don't pay attention are not worried about voter fraud. They think it is just "news junkies" that worry about the voting machines and that no one in America can be that bad. I blame that on the press for not panning in on those who were distressed by the SC decision to put this * in office, if it happens again there should be rioting in the streets. I plan to have all my finances in order so that if it happens and I turn to civil disobedience I can say "fuck you" and not worry to much while i am making a statement in a jail cell

[burrowowl]

61. Good on you!

I too am worried about BBV!

[TahitiNut]

58. For certain, it won't be the American people.

Neofascists infest Congress and the Courts - and there're plenty of folks riding the Democratic Ass that have swastikas on their underwear.

The biggest tragedy of a Kerry win will be the loss of resolve of 80% in the middle and on the left -- back to the more pressing interests of earning a living and caring for family.

[Moonbeam_Starlight]

59. Barring any dirty tricks, it'll be Kerry. Yep. In my gut, I know it.

Kerry. All the way.

[Reciprocity]

62. Kerry in a landslide!

"War is business and business is good."
Ed Wilson- CIA arms dealer

As long as this war of choice goes badly so will Bush's chances.

[mellowinman]

64. Look, People...

Bush fucked the CIA.

He is leaving.

I feel it in my gut.

That doesn't mean stop fighting.

That just means that we are going to get rid of this motherfucker.

[kodi]

65. kerry, pulling away.

.

[indigobusiness]

66. My gut has already lost the election.

But if Bush beats Kerry, Canada will probably nuke us.

[Wind Dancer]

67. We must continue to teach the uneducated,

media brainwashed repubs on a daily basis. Remember, Lila (I think that's her name) said she simply didn't know the facts. We must spoon-feed the hardcores with the truth, it's the only way we can take our country back even if Kerry is elected.

I just talked to my 70 year old aunt who was visiting for the week and she has never voted. For the first time, she is voting for Kerry, my mother hasn't voted in years, she will also be voting. We can't stop, it's not an option.

[dee33]

69. First time I've ever donated

money to a campaign. Both to Howard Dean and John Kerry. So Kerry is going to win. :)

Dee