Kerry pulling away--Electoral Vote Predictor 2004: Kerry 322 Bush 205

[59millionmorons]

Lots of news today. Polls are in for 18 states and all of them are post Edwards. Was there an Edwards bounce? Yes. Kerry picked up 30 electoral votes since yesterday and now leads by 117 EV. Of the new state polls, Kerry is ahead in 12, Bush is ahead in 4, and one is an exact tie. Since all of these are battleground states, this is good news for Kerry. He is ahead in Ohio, Florida, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Missouri. There is no conceivable scenario in which Bush can lose the majority of these states and win the election. But before Kerry supporters start popping the champagne corks, note that the vice-presidential bounce is usually short lived. Two weeks from now we will find out how much real change there is, if any.

http://www.electoral-vote.com/

[yellowcanine]

1. Tennesee appears to be tipping to Kerry. Another surprise is South

Carolina - Weak Bush.

[GreenGreenLimaBean]

2. wait until the voters in the midwest get a look at

the new overtime rules bush* is putting in place. lots of
manufacturing jobs pay overtime instead of adding workers.

pissed off workers vote!

[kayell]

3. OMG! I love this. SC is now down to only "weak Bush support"

HAHAHAHA Damn, amazing what a serious unemployment problem coupled with having your children shipped overseas for a pointless war will do.

He's toast, burnt toast. His only possible hope is to stop the elections.

[TahitiNut]

4. I put it at Kerry 291, Bush 194, Tied 53

I take their spreadsheet and set breakpoints at multiples of the MoE (3%) .... i.e. >9%, >6%, >3%, and tied.

With these breakpoints, the spread is ...
145 98 48 53 22 22 150