Doctor_J
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Fri Jul-16-04 12:01 AM
Original message |
Not enough poll bumps for us |
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Should've got bumps from Edwards, F911, the hidden meme, bad jobs news, more death in Iraq, Afghanistan.
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LittleApple81
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Fri Jul-16-04 12:02 AM
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1. People don't read, people want to believe everything is honky-dory. |
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They really don't want to know. I hate that!
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Eric J in MN
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Fri Jul-16-04 12:02 AM
Response to Original message |
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Edited on Fri Jul-16-04 12:04 AM by Eric J in MN
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AngryLizard
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Fri Jul-16-04 12:11 AM
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3. I keep hearing/reading conflicting reports on the "bump" |
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Plus, Kerry/Edwards are on the covers of Time, Newsweek, and got two days on the Today Show. They look great, they sound great, and the press knows they're "sexy".
I think people are defintely taking notice.
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Erika
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Fri Jul-16-04 12:29 AM
Response to Reply #3 |
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Hang in there. Most Americans know they are hurting economially while Bush is saying they are better off. It will come.
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Birthmark
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Fri Jul-16-04 12:34 AM
Response to Original message |
5. If you're really concerned about that kind of thing. |
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Wait for the Convention. My advice, though, is pay no attention to the polls and act like Kerry is behind by ten percentage points.
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fearnobush
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Fri Jul-16-04 12:38 AM
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6. Polls are like predicting weather . |
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If you consider the fact that teh CHimp was leading in the polls by 2 to 4 points before the pick, and now Kerry Edwards average lead on Chimp team is about 5 pnts, that amounts to an 8 point bump. Not bad just before the Dem convention.
The repukes suggest Kerry Edwards will get a 15 pt bump, (Never happen) nation is too polarized. but we will need at least a 5pt lead just to tie in the GE considering Diebold and Jeb's Black voter scrub operations take effect.
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KharmaTrain
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Fri Jul-16-04 12:47 AM
Response to Original message |
7. Do You Leave A Football Game At Half Time? |
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Polls are nothing more than sports tickers for political junkies. They are cartoons...numbers...things to talk about, toss around...red meat. It's easily manipulated and misrepresented.
I just watch the state by state polling, and even then with suspect as a lot of "electorate" that gets polled in October are not the same people as now. In 2000, how many people really knew Joe Lieberman before Gore selected him? Hell, how many really knew Gore? By October, we were dovening with him. The polls looked a lot different than they did in July.
Last week was the All-Star game...Cubbie fans here still think their team that was 8 games out still has a chance to overtake St. Louis...and to do that by the first week of October. The election isn't until a month after that. There's gonna be a lot more stuff to come...things that the pundits will use to bump up the polls or down.
The last thing the major media corporations is a blow out...especially if they see it in their REAL polling. Who'll watch O'Hannity or Scarborough? Nothing makes a bigger thud than Repugnicans getting their asses handed to them...and we're starting to hear some of that thud...so are the media-types. Watch...Edwards will make a speech or his kids will be featured and the polls will jump up.
BTW...pay absolutely no attention to Gallup and take Rasmussen's numbers with a 2-4 point Repugnican skew. Zogby rules.
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UdoKier
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Fri Jul-16-04 12:48 AM
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8. 40% will support Bush even if he slashes a baby's throat on live TV... |
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...and drinks its blood.
They're that wacked.
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RummyTheDummy
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Fri Jul-16-04 01:06 AM
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9. Maybe he should have picked Clark? |
WI_DEM
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Fri Jul-16-04 01:16 AM
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10. the major poll bumps occur immediately following a convention |
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not prior. The bump we got with Edwards is good and we are running ahead of an incumbent president--after the convention there will be an even bigger bump. You also didn't mention that in the last month Bush got a slight bump over all the Reagan fenzy. But Bush is also going to get a bump after his convention so we will be having what everyone has always expected this to be--a close election.
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Thu Apr 25th 2024, 07:58 PM
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