Look at these state polls.

[coloradodem2005]

On here.

battleground states:

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/bush_vs_kerry_sbys.html


For other states:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/bush_vs_kerry_sbys2.html

[slappypan]

1. Ohio is the new Florida.

I think they will try to steal the election in Ohio this time.

[alexwcovington]

2. Polling ahead in New Hampshire

Always a good sign. But we need to do better in West Virginia, Missouri, and Ohio for sure.

[radfringe]

3. whooo-hooo

made my weekend after a "cheny"-crappy day at work

[WolverineDG]

4. R'uh R'oh

something's up in texas.....i think the numbers are going to be closer in november & i'm still lighting candles that we'll "kerry" texas too.... :)

Poll | Date Sample MoE Bush Kerry Nader Spread 2000 Vote
Rasmussen | 6/1-6/30 n/a 3.0% 55% 37% - Bush +18 Bush +21
Rasmussen | 5/1-31 n/a 3.0% 55% 38% - Bush +17 Bush +21
Texas Poll | 5/3-15 1,000 R 3.0% 58% 29% - Bush +29 -

dg

[Ediacara]

5. According to those numbers

Ignoring MOE (which I know, isn't a great idea...), Kerry has 322 ECVs, with the possibility of adding Tennessee's 11 (Tennessee is a tie in their latest polls) for 333 ECVs. There are a lot of close states, and if Kerry continues this trend, he, IMHO, could snag as many as 405 ECVs (adding: AZ, AR, CO, LA, NV, NC, TN, VA, and WV).

I have a feeling these polls will be back in this range in Early October, as the July Dem convention should boost Kerry another 10 points, and the September GOP convention will have the opposite effect boosting Bush 10 points or so.

[Literate Tar Heel]

6. I like how they have all the polls in one place like that

and also gives the dates and who conducted them ... as a Tar Heel Democrat, I have to complain about North Carolina not being listed among the battleground states though when the latest poll taken here is within the margin of error and our senior senator is on the Democratic ticket ... the Gallup poll that had Bush up by 15 points was deeply flawed for any of a number of reasons and it also included Nader who isn't even on the ballot here ... Badnarik, the Libertarian candidate will garner more votes in N.C. than Nader, presumably drawing more from Bush than Kerry