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Do we dare dream...a 50-state sweep?

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Wednesdays Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-29-04 09:25 PM
Original message
Do we dare dream...a 50-state sweep?
Could it be...EVERY previously red state will now be a swing state?
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Doctor_J Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-29-04 09:26 PM
Response to Original message
1. oh, come on
texas, wyoming, idaho, alabama?
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LiberalTechie1337 Donating Member (359 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-29-04 09:29 PM
Response to Reply #1
8. Don't forget me
representing the red state of the Heartland...INDIANA
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LiberalFighter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-29-04 09:50 PM
Response to Reply #8
21. I think Kip Tew suggested...
that Indiana might
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Gildor Inglorion Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-29-04 09:34 PM
Response to Reply #1
11. Mississippi, Georgia, Oklahoma...
hopeless, and what a shame.
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RummyTheDummy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-29-04 09:49 PM
Response to Reply #11
18. Don't leave out
Edited on Thu Jul-29-04 09:50 PM by RummyTheDummy
Wyoming, Idaho, Montana, North Dakota, Indiana, South Dakota, Nebraska and Utah. Lets be fair. It's not just the southern states.

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RadiDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-29-04 09:27 PM
Response to Original message
2. That's a pipe dream
some states are beyond hope
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Lucky Luciano Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-29-04 09:27 PM
Response to Original message
3. unfortunately, that will never happen....
I have seen some other msg boards where people are firmly entrenched with b*sh and his cohorts.
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K-W Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-29-04 09:27 PM
Response to Original message
4. Foolish optimism abounds.
I think we are still the underdogs.
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Nevernose Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-29-04 09:49 PM
Response to Reply #4
19. We are underdogs, but optimism is never foolish
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mellowinman Donating Member (540 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-29-04 09:27 PM
Response to Original message
5. I'll take 270 Electoral Votes
personally.

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trof Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-29-04 09:27 PM
Response to Original message
6. Dare to dream, but no.
If wishes were horses...
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EstimatedProphet Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-29-04 09:29 PM
Response to Original message
7. No, sorry
there's still too many people that are hypnotized, and too many freepers.
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CaTeacher Donating Member (983 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-29-04 09:31 PM
Original message
yes but--just dream
wouldn't it be cool to take all 50 states!
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EstimatedProphet Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-29-04 09:39 PM
Response to Original message
13. No argument there
but I won't get my hopes up too much
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Wednesdays Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-29-04 09:41 PM
Response to Original message
14. Yeah, we don't need to win over everybody...
Just a plurality in each state. And this can be done by reaching the independent voters.

I was encouraged when someone here pointed out that Luntz' focus group showed a 50% drop in support for *. Shoot, forget about a 50% drop...let's take a 10% drop and look at the numbers. If all the Gore voters vote for Kerry, and just 1 out of 10 * voters stay home (they don't even have to switch voting, just stay home), then Kerry wins a landslide, 338-200 electoral votes. And that doesn't take into consideration any new Dem voters or voters who switch from Repug to Democratic!
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nini Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-29-04 09:31 PM
Response to Original message
9. keep hope alive
Edited on Thu Jul-29-04 09:31 PM by nini
doubtful - but your optimism is wonderful... when's the last time we were really optimisitic?!?!?!

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LiberalTechie1337 Donating Member (359 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-29-04 09:32 PM
Response to Original message
10. More feasible, yet still optimistic goal
65% Popular vote

Still very hard, but possible
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belle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-29-04 10:44 PM
Response to Reply #10
33. Yah, I'd settle for that.
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Blue-Jay Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-29-04 09:35 PM
Response to Original message
12. Get real.
That will never happen as long as any of us are alive.
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wellstone_democrat Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-29-04 09:43 PM
Response to Original message
15. You and I can wish for Texas but it ain't gonna happen
sorry, but sorrier that I'm surrounded by hysterics this week who are predicting "end times" if Kerry is elected.

They ain't gonna be persuaded by any speech or even any action. They will continue to vote against their own best interests so that they can feel like "a winner" (read: privileged millionaire).
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Eurobabe Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-29-04 09:46 PM
Response to Original message
16. We can dream but it ain't gonna happen
sorry n/t
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Wednesdays Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-29-04 09:48 PM
Response to Original message
17. I agree with you all in one sense...
It is unwise to get overconfident.

But I know one thing: I sure as hell will campaign hard here in Oklahoma as though it were up for grabs!

Who's with me?
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RebelYell Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-29-04 09:50 PM
Response to Original message
20. I see a landslide coming
It would go a long way to show the rest of the World that we do NOT approve of *Bush.

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never_get_over_it Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-29-04 09:51 PM
Response to Original message
22. FREAKING LANDSLIDE
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Lori Price CLG Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-29-04 09:51 PM
Response to Original message
23. Yes, if not for Diebold or Bush attacking us first...
Edited on Thu Jul-29-04 09:52 PM by Lori Price CLG
or an October Osama trout-out.

Lori Price
http://www.legitgov.org/
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LiberalFighter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-29-04 09:53 PM
Response to Original message
24. If those people that vote based on who they think will win...
it could happen that way.

And between now and the election... if the polls show that Kerry is going to have a major win... we might see many jump ship just so they can say they voted for the winner.
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Wednesdays Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-29-04 10:01 PM
Response to Reply #24
25. Makes sense.
eom
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RebelYell Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-29-04 10:04 PM
Response to Original message
26. Sneak peek into the GOP polls
http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=104&topic_id=2100630

Bush-Cheney Campaign Headquarters:
What They Don't Want You To Know

by
Wayne Madsen

JULY 27, 2004: 1000 PDT (FTW) -- Amid a towering cluster of office buildings in northern Virginia stands a 10-story red brick and glass edifice. One of many new office buildings rising along Arlington County's growing Rosslyn-Ballston business corridor, the structure nestled at the end of a cul-de-sac at 2107 Wilson Boulevard has a special mission this year: to ensure that the Bush-Cheney administration is guaranteed another term in office.

~~~~~~~~

Yet the Bush-Cheney operation, with all of its security cameras and guards, does not fully appreciate the importance of operational security. While recently walking past the building on a well-traveled pedestrian sidewalk that leads to the Court House Metro station, I noticed that on the first floor, in clear view of anyone who wanted to look, were two 25-inch plasma computer screens. Both had color-coded maps of the United States. Stopping to marvel at the data being represented on the screens, I realized that one of the screens represented GOP tracking polls. In many cases, such internal political party polls - which are always highly classified - represent truer numbers than what is being reported by the national media organizations.

Quickly scanning the map, I saw that the GOP numbers are a matter of serious concern. Using blue for its safe states (possibly the GOP feels that using red is too socialistic for its tastes), the Bush campaign sees itself in a commanding position in most of the wheat belt Prairie states, the upper Rockies, and the Bible belt South. Using yellow for toss-up states, the GOP pollsters seem particularly concerned about Louisiana, Arizona, Nevada, Florida, Arkansas, Colorado, and North Carolina. Solid red states (in this case they are Kerry states) include the same states Al Gore won in 2000 with the addition of Ohio, West Virginia, and New Hampshire. If that is how the GOP is reading the political tea leaves, it is very bad news for Bush-Cheney.

~~~~~~~~

The Associated Press is reporting that its analysis of statewide polling shows Bush in the lead for electoral votes. If the computer screen at Bush-Cheney 04 headquarters is any indication, the AP is way off the mark. One can only wonder how many other "public" polls are similarly skewed.

~~~~~~~~

http://www.fromthewilderness.com/free/ww3/072704_bush_headquarters.shtml
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slutticus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-29-04 10:17 PM
Response to Original message
27. Now way.
Edited on Thu Jul-29-04 10:17 PM by slutticus
The people who are avid * fans have their fingers in their ears, their eyes shut, and are singing "LA LA LA LA LA!!!". They will vote for shrub no matter what. There is no way any of them are even watching this convention. These people vote based on faith...not truth...not facts...not even common sense. I'm sorry to say....it will never happen.


The dipshits at the other site are monitoring this thread by the way...Hi Dipshits!!!!!! :hi: My condolences for November!!!!!!!
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Wednesdays Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-29-04 10:23 PM
Response to Reply #27
30. I wonder how many of them
we could coax into a showing of F911? :)
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Moonbeam_Starlight Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-29-04 10:20 PM
Response to Original message
28. eh
I'm enjoying the enthusiasm, but er, no.

However, I do think Kerry is going to win and not just by a little bit, either.

How's that?
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kwolf68 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-29-04 10:22 PM
Response to Original message
29. Oh no


Idaho? Come on. Bush at least gets that one.

Other than that....I must say thats not realistic, but his brilliance is obvious.
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NYCGirl Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-29-04 10:26 PM
Response to Original message
31. I hate to be a wet blanket, but there's a long way to go.
Cautious optimism is best.

A fine speech is a great start, but there's a long way, and it's all uphill. I've been through enough of these — hell, I even thought Mondale and Dukakis were going to win, and I was sure Al Gore was a shoo-in.

Hard work and constant vigilance is the order of the day.
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69KV Donating Member (444 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-29-04 10:43 PM
Response to Original message
32. well we have our work cut out for us
We have a long way to go in a lot of states yet.

But anyone who has some time check out the USA Election Atlas:

http://www.uselectionatlas.org/USPRESIDENT/

There were near landslide years on both sides. 1984, 1972, 1964, 1944, 1940, 1936, 1932...

Do some drilling down into year by year and state by state results.

Even states like Idaho have turned around and voted Dem given the right circumstances. And before anyone writes off Georgia, Montana, Kentucky or Colorado this year, remember that all four went for Clinton in 1992.

Also interesting is comparing state by state results from 1928 and 1932. Quite a turnaround. I can't say if most voters think the Bush regime being in power is the same level of crisis as the Great Depression was, but *I* sure think it is.
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Jack Rabbit Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Jul-29-04 10:44 PM
Response to Original message
34. No. There's always Utah
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