TV media is completely wrong to classify Kerry as an underdog...

[phattyt]

I absolutely despise the mainstream television media. After watching Kerry mop the floor with Bush tonight I was looking to see what kind of a response would come from the TV media. What I found was that most agreed that Kerry had a good showing but would likely only pick up minimal points in the polls (which we know are mostly bullcrap) and still has a long ways to go before he can be truly competitive. What drives me insane though is that they never take into account that:

1) Polls are not conducted via cell phone users (land line only) and there are upwards to around 190 million cell phones in America, many of which come from the youth, who are usually democratic voters, especially in this election

2) Newly registered voters are not contacted and recent studies have shown upwards to 250% increases from the year 2000 in democratic registration in key swing states compared to only 25% for Republicans. A single liberal activist group in Ohio claims to have registered over 300,000 new voters and you can bet money that they will overwhelmingly vote for Kerry

3) The most widely used poll, the Gallup, recently had a 12% GOP bias in its polling method. Essentially they polled 12% more Republicans than Democrats in their research and they claimed it to be a fairly accurate depiction of the race (before tonights debate and still only showing about a 7% lead for Bush, even with all of that bias)

4) Kerry leads in just about every issue with the exception of national/domestic security. Tonight he took the fight to Dubya and completely massacred his faulty intelligence and rhetoric. All data done tonight suggested that undecided voters were overwhelmingly leaning toward Kerry after his strong showing and Bush's lackluster performance.

5) Several respected polls, including Zogby, had the race at a dead-heat and that was before this debate! Zogby just wrote an article suggesting that this election is completely Kerry's to lose, meaning that he has the current advantage. Essentially this is just to illustrate the selectiveness in the polls that the TV media uses.


When November 2nd comes around I am going to laugh in the face of every TV media station when they have to declare John Kerry the new President of the United States. Only one more month left until we deflate these corporate windbags and show them that is democrats aren't screwing around when we claim that we wanted our country back!

[phattyt]

1. Feedback...

Hey guys, I'd appreciate some feedback on my analysis. If I am completely off base or spot on in your opinion I would love to know. I currently have several friends who don't want to vote because they think Bush will win regardless and I would like to have my thoughts straight when I talk to them about why that just plain isn't true. Thanks in advance folks!

[phattyt]

2. Please guys...

any contructive comments would help. Thanks a ton!

[Dude_CalmDown]

3. They are wrong - but you couldn't pay me to listen to them

Who cares what the TV media says? Anyone who watched the debate last night knows won and who is best for this country. I agree with a lot of what you said but I don't think that the media sees Kerry as the underdog - they present him as the underdog. They don't actually think that he's barely above water - they present him to be that way. There isn't one person on this earth who is actually dumb enough to think that the chimp was not spanked last night but I can also safely say that there isn't one person in the TV media who will say that.

I my opinion the whores are only screaming that Kerry is an underdog to give legitimacy to the chimp's victory when the computers tell us that he's the winner.