Oil will give economy a crude awakening
August 22, 2004
BY DAVID ROEDER SUN-TIMES COLUMNIST Advertisement
Are oil prices in a bubble? You bet, but that doesn't mean we'll be better off once it bursts.
With the price now pushing $50 a barrel, experts are saying the situation is taking a toll on the economy. The R-word, recession, is seldom bandied around, but you can draw your own conclusions from comments like this one from Joseph Quinlan, chief market strategist at Banc of America Capital Management: "Barring a near-term break in world energy costs, the global economy could enter 2005 in weaker shape than most investors expect, hardly a favorable backdrop for global earnings.''
Oil could fall by 20 percent and still be a pain. It's also just one of several pressures on the consumer. That extra amount you pay at the pump will look like a pittance once you get your winter gas bills. Health-care costs continue to rise, and are joined in the American checkbook by increasing prices for basic food items.
Consumers will have to cut back somewhere, most likely at the mall. Wall Street princes, who don't live paycheck to paycheck, have been slow to get it, but the economy is headed for recession. And that means stocks are going to have a hard time for the rest of the year.
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http://www.crgq.com/HTML/Newsarticles/Low%20Fat%20Lowdown-suntimes8-22-2004.htmOil has a huge impact on our economy and we are in deep trouble with $51/barrel oil. Greater heating costs...means less disposable income...means less shopping....means "slowdown".
I would like to hear AWOL and Kerry talk about this....any takers?