The young voters are not being properly represented in the polls.

[sysoprock]

I think that the polls are skewed in Bush's favor and that means good news for Kerry come Nov. 2nd.

Most young people don't use a landline anymore for their telephone service, they use only a cell phone. Pollsters generally do not call cell phones when polling people, they call listed landline telephone numbers.

So there is a huge population of untapped young voters that have not been polled. Young voters tend to vote Democrat.

I think this is what is going to make the difference in this election.

Can you guys think of anything else that the polls might not be taking into account?

[aden_nak]

1. "Likely Voters"

Some (not all, I said SOME) polls have a requirement on whether the data they collect comes from "likely voters". Part of the criteria to determine a likely voter is to ask how many elections (Presidential and otherwise) the person has voted in. I don't know how they calculate it if the person being polled wasn't old enough to vote previously, or if they have considered the record number of voter registrations this year are adding many "likely voters" to the pool, most of them 18-25) with little to no voting history.

[Nordic]

2. I agree with you 100%

but then again I thought Ah-nold was gonna lose in the CA governor's election, so ......

And I live in a very liberal community where there is almost zero support for Bushco ......

But yes, they are certainly not counting the newly registered voters, most of whom at the very least have caller i.d. and aren't gonna answer the fucking phone.

Who do the pollsters call? I'll bet it's mostly people over 50.

[nostamj]

3. there are many other factors

which skew polls.

if your main phone is a cell phone, you won't be polled.

NONE of the newly registered voters will be polled as 'likely' voters because they've never voted before.

and, national polls are meaningless. popular vote? ask Gore about winning the popular vote nationwide...

this is about pounding the theme of CLOSE RACE, because only a CLOSE RACE can be manipulated by BBV and other schemes.

MASSIVE TURNOUT NATIONWIDE = KERRY LANDSLIDE

[SoCalDem]

4. Traditionally, they do not vote..That's why they are "undervalued"

They MIGHT turn out this time :fingers crossed: