According to this article Bush's policies did not cause the vacccine shortage. It appears his tendency to ignose expert warings did
This year's severe flu vaccine shortage comes at the peak of the presidential campaign season, and both candidates have wasted little time in using the issue to make political points. President Bush has said the shortage underscores the need for tort reform so that vaccine manufacturers aren't pushed out of the market by liability lawsuits. Sen. John Kerry has said the shortage highlights deficiencies in the administration's health care policies. Reporter Donna Leinwand interviewed a number of experts to determine what is behind the shortage.
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Q: Do lawsuits keep companies out of the vaccine market?
A: Congress addressed the problem of lawsuits in 1986 with a law establishing the National Vaccine Injury Compensation Program.
Congress was responding to lawsuits over side effects from the diphtheria, tetanus pertussis (DPT) vaccines that were pushing vaccine manufacturers out of the market. Now people who are injured by vaccines file a claim with the fund. They can only file a lawsuit if the compensation program denies the claim.
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Q: Did Bush administration policies cause the shortage?
A: Scientists have been predicting such a shortage for years. Experts attribute it to several factors: market forces that make vaccines unprofitable, difficult regulatory hurdles to meet, and the challenge of matching the flu vaccine to that year's strain. Scientists have been discussing for a decade ways to solve the problem, says Harry Keyserling, professor of pediatrics at the Emory School of Medicine in Atlanta.
Q: What could the government do to encourage more companies to produce vaccines?
A: The government could guarantee a market for the vaccines by agreeing to buy back or cover the cost for a certain number of unsold doses, similar to how it purchased smallpox vaccine.
http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&cid=676&e=5&u=/usatoday/20041020/ts_usatoday/expertshavebeenpredictingfluvaccineshortageforyears