Do undecideds usually break for challanger acc. to history?

[YEM]

I thought I had heard this at one point. Anyone know what the stats are on this? Most polls show about 6-7% are still undecided. It seems they will dertermine the election.

How the hell could you be undecided on Bush at this point???

[onehandle]

1. Yes, by 2 to 1. We win. nt

[obreaslan]

2. Yes

2 to 1 is what I've heard too.

[Shopaholic]

3. And this holds true no matter what the race is

(President, Congress, Senate, Governor) or what party the incumbant is from!

[i_c_a_White_Ghost]

4. Yeah, but all depends on turn out

the bigger the turn out we win!

[uberotto]

5. check out this link, it explains the incumbent rule pretty well...

http://www.pollingreport.com/incumbent.htm

[DinahMoeHum]

6. Basically, if an incumbent is not polling at 50% or more at this time,

you can stick a fork in him - he's done.

:kick:

[pmbryant]

7. I'd put the threshhold at 49%

3rd party voters will probably take roughly 2% of the vote (1% Nader, 1% everybody else).

That means the winner of the Kerry-Bush contest needs 49%.

--Peter