terra and poll numbers - evidence found

[radfringe]

Will Terror Alert Level Show Its True Colors?
By Al Kamen
Wednesday, October 13, 2004; Page A19
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A28037-2004Oct12.html

A Cornell sociologist says he has found scientific evidence that, whenever the government issues a terrorism alert, President Bush's approval ratings go up, even on domestic issues, such as his handling of the economy.

Robb Willer, assistant director of the Sociology and Small Groups Laboratory at Cornell -- someone else runs Large Groups? -- tracked about 26 occasions since 2001, including the major Code Orange alerts by the Department of Homeland Security, when some agency -- the FBI, the State Department or someone else -- announced a potential threat to Americans.

He tracked those with 131 Gallup polls taken during that time up until May. Willer, a doctoral candidate in sociology, found that, on average, each warning prompted a 2.75 point increase in the president's approval rating the following week.

[Fridays Child]

1. Monday, November 1, 2004: Terror Alert Level Orange

Do ya think?

[radfringe]

2. if not before

been waiting for one of those

however -- it would sort of blow a hole in the scare-SCAMpaign speeches where they link a terrattack with a Kerry presidency if a orange or red alert were to suddenly appear

general attitudes from people I have talked to feel that every terralert means a failure on bush*'s part to keep us safe -- i.e. if we are soooooo safe then why the terralert?

[radfringe]

3. if not before

been waiting for one of those

however -- it would sort of blow a hole in the scare-SCAMpaign speeches where they link a terrattack with a Kerry presidency if a orange or red alert were to suddenly appear

general attitudes from people I have talked to feel that every terralert means a failure on bush*'s part to keep us safe -- i.e. if we are soooooo safe then why the terralert?

[retread]

4. Not sure what this means? Does the approval really go up? Or

does Gallup adjust the sampling in concert with the alert to make it seem so?