Using the Russert formula, best two out of three PA, OH and FL will win

[Samantha]

http://www.zogby.com/news/ReadNews.dbm?ID=906

So what do you think of today's Zogby's poll?

[WLKjr]

1. It's Obvious that Kerry will Close the Lead by the end of the week

Look at the numbers, they are going up for Kerry and down for bush in EVERY STATE IT SEEMS.

[Samantha]

2. I went there particularly to look at Florida

and that was what I noticed immediately. Bush down 1, Kerry up 1 from yesterday. Can't wait until tomorrow.

[delhurgo]

3. A new poll by Survey USA shows Kerry up by 2 in Florida, fwiw.

http://www.surveyusa.com/currentelectionpolls.html

[WLKjr]

5. let's give it 1 - 2 days to check our theory mkay

for good measure. But I am telling you right now, the trend is up Kerry and Bush is down.

[Brucey]

4. I don't think so

I don't believe Kerry can win Florida, because Jeb is in charge there and even if everyone voted for Kerry the totals would show Bush the winner. I'm totally cynical about Florida. Now, suppose that Kerry wins PA and OH. That still won't be enough. The problem now is MN, WI, and IA. He needs two of those at least, along with PA and OH. It looks tough to me, but perhaps the trend is in our favor. The electoral college is the biggest problem.