Why Kerry WILL Win...

[friesianrider]

By Susan Page, USA Today


Likely voters who cast a ballot in 2000 lean toward Bush, 50%-46%, according to USA TODAY/CNN/Gallup surveys during the past four months. But likely voters who didn't go to the polls four years ago are overwhelmingly for Kerry, 59%-40% .

These get-off-the-bench voters could be a decisive factor in the election, and they introduce an unpredictable element in a close race. There probably will be more of them than usual: Fifty-two percent of those who didn't vote in 2000 say they are almost certain to go to the polls this year - though only half of them meet the survey criteria to be identified as "likely voters." (Related link:Take the likely voter quiz)


Janis Jones, 46, of Prichard, Ala., can't recall why she didn't vote four years ago. "Maybe it was raining that day," she suggests. But she is determined to vote this time, rain or shine.


"I feel like the economy is worse than the last time there was an election," she says. "Maybe a change might make things better. It can't make things worse."

<snip>

Iraq has persuaded Kay Takahashi, 57, a retired small-business owner from Seattle, to vote against Bush. "Because of the war, or so-called un-war, that's what's prompting me to vote," she says.


The death this month of actor Christopher Reeve, who criticized Bush's limits on funding for stem cell research, could be a reason, too. "With Superman - Christopher Reeve - passing away, it hits a lot of people who weren't planning to vote," Takahashi says.
<snip>

Seriously, do you know ANYONE who doesn't have an opinion about this election and doesn't want to vote? I'm sure * will pick up a few new voters, but I'd bet money that anti-* sentiment will garner at least twice as many for Kerry.

These new voters aren't reflected AT ALL in these polls we keep seeing (such as Gallup), although the majority of polls only have * up by 1 or 2 points.

We got this, guys. All we have to do is make sure we GOTV on Tuesday!

[friesianrider]

1. AND...(more info)

- Among those identified as likely voters, 94% were people who voted in 2000, 5% were new voters. Regular voters supported Bush by 4 percentage points. New voters supported Kerry by 19 points.

- Among a separate group of voters who identified themselves as highly motivated to go to the polls, the proportion of new voters tripled. In this group, 84% were regular voters; they supported Bush by a narrow 51%-46%. The new voters made up 15%; they supported Kerry by a wide 55%-42%.

[Abelman]

2. Maybe

Kerry will win because people will finally realize * is a total douchebag.

Seriously, if the US was a High School, he'd have been stuffed into a trash can every single day.

[Arugula Latte]

5. Yeah,

and given many swirlies, too!

[Sarrek420]

3. VOTE NO ON BUSH!!

I've felt the same way -plus- its been my opinion that all these NEW voter registrations going on around the country would be more from people motivated to get rid of a horrible President, than to try and keep one.

But we HAVE to get-out the VOTE.. And I mean drag someone you know to the polls if you have to. I know on election day I'll be phone banking and joining in on driving people who don't have a ride to the polls.

In my honest opinion, after the things this Dip S#$& has done to people and the integrity of our country. We don't just need to fire him out of office; I would like to see an embarrassing defeat for Bush. One that sends a loud and clear message to the Repubs, rejecting any notion they may have in their laze faire minds about "job out-sourcing" - "preemptive accuses to kill people" & "war profiteering"

[Massacure]

4. Plus the Packers will beat the Redskins

This predicted all the presidents since 1936 :P