WI_DEM
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Thu Nov-04-04 12:23 PM
Original message |
In 1980, Kerry states would have brought us 270 electoral votes |
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Here are the Kerry states with electoral vote distribution from 1980:
New York 41 Pennsylvania 27 Massachusetts 14 Rhode Island 4 Connecticut 8 New Jersey 17 Delaware 3 Maine 4 New Hampshire 4 Vermont 3 DC 3 Maryland 10 Illinois 26 Wisconsin 11 Minnesota 10 Michigan 21 California 45 Oregon 6 Washington 9 Hawaii 4
Moral of story, redistricting has screwed us in the Northern states. The Kerry states today bring us 252 electoral votes, if these states had the same electoral votes as they did in 1980 we would have had 270 electoral votes without adding Ohio, Florida, New Mexico or Iowa.
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batchdem04
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Thu Nov-04-04 12:24 PM
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lets all go back in our time machines to 1980 and say Kerry won!
sorry...:(
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July
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Thu Nov-04-04 12:26 PM
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2. We're not really up for this kind of humor right now. |
WI_DEM
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Thu Nov-04-04 12:32 PM
Response to Reply #1 |
4. it would be nice to do that |
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but unfortunately the sunbelt and south keep gaining population and electorally that tends to help the Republicans unless we can make some inroads.
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NewYorkerfromMass
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Thu Nov-04-04 12:31 PM
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3. Shift south is part of the problem, but local demographic shifts as well |
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Note that in 1988 Dukakis won Iowa, Wisconsin, and Minnesota AND WV easily. Something has changed in those states, and I can tell you what it is: Unions have been culturally divided. God and guns are now more important than the wallet. It is sad.
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WI_DEM
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Thu Nov-04-04 12:35 PM
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people used to post here that they were sure we would win "all the Gore" states. this election proved that is not necessarily the case. I consider Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania and Minnesota to be swing states.
The states we have as our base are: New York, New England states (except NH which is a swing state), Illinois, and the West Coast. Somehow we do need to make inroads elsewhere.
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pstokely
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Thu Nov-04-04 02:14 PM
Response to Reply #3 |
10. there's a shift to the west |
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Chimp had to put effort into CO, barely won NV
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davidinalameda
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Thu Nov-04-04 12:32 PM
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5. I don't understand what your point is |
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population shifts
Ohio has lost population as have the other rust belt states
California has added millions of new people in 20 plus years
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WI_DEM
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Thu Nov-04-04 12:38 PM
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7. Yes, California and the West coast has gained |
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and we benefit from that, but GOP gains from huge population gains in the South while electorally we lose ground in the East and Midwest in states which are part of our electoral base. Overall even with California, Oregon and Washington gaining electoral votes we still lose 18 electoral votes.
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DCal
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Thu Nov-04-04 12:39 PM
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8. That is an ominous sign for future elections |
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States in the northeast and midwest will continue to lose electoral votes with each reapportionment.
So, it will be harder and harder to put together 270 electoral votes by focusing only on the northeast, midwest and pacific coast states.
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Bill McBlueState
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Thu Nov-04-04 01:31 PM
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The solution, of course, is to do away with the electoral college. Then we won't have Democrats' votes disappear when they move from a swing state to a red state.
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DU
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Thu Apr 18th 2024, 10:35 AM
Response to Original message |