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Kerry won (will eventually win) Ohio ?

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nine30 Donating Member (593 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 02:55 PM
Original message
Kerry won (will eventually win) Ohio ?
Most voters in Ohio thought they were voting for Kerry. CNN's exit poll showed Kerry beating Bush among Ohio women by 53 percent to 47 percent. Kerry also defeated Bush among Ohio's male voters 51 percent to 49 percent. Unless a third gender voted in Ohio, Kerry took the state.

So what's going on here? Answer: the exit polls are accurate. Pollsters ask, "Who did you vote for?" Unfortunately, they don't ask the crucial, question, "Was your vote counted?" The voters don't know.


http://www.tompaine.com/articles/kerry_won_.php

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andyhappy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 02:57 PM
Response to Original message
1. heres a thought
maybe the left got out to the polls earlier in the day because we knew there were going to be long lines and were more motivated to get out early ...but as the day went on, more repugs showed up...
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lovedems Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 03:01 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. Historically the opposite is true.
Democrats, being the working class, tend to show up and vote after work.

If the numbers were good in the middle of the day, they would tend to get better.

I saw that reported on election day so if it came from the media it could be false but that is what "they" said.
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InvisibleTouch Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 05:21 PM
Response to Reply #3
31. That was my experience too.
Of all the voters I talked to and reminded them to come out and vote, only two said they'd be there bright and early at 6:30. Everyone else couldn't make it until after work. And the lines by then were huge.
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w13rd0 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 03:12 PM
Response to Reply #1
8. Are you trying to tell us...
...that those long lines of voters waiting 9 hrs all held their place in line purely by the power of Bush/Jesus? Sorry, Bush is not, nor will he ever be, my President. I have NO representation in Washington DC.

NO TAXATION WITHOUT REPRESENTATION!

Presently, though we are a full and, in most cases, more informed, part of the electorate, we have been relegated back to 3/5s status by the chickanery of the BushCo team and the corptocracy.

FUCK THAT!
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Eric J in MN Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-05-04 12:41 AM
Response to Reply #1
61. Why can't the 92,000 discarded votes be hand-counted like in
Florida in 2000?
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pf99 Donating Member (251 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 03:01 PM
Response to Original message
2. Any chance of an OH voter bringing a lawsuit?
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shraby Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 03:07 PM
Response to Reply #2
6. Send this to the media
In Franklin Co. Ohio, there were 4000 extra votes for Bush..not that many people in that precinct.

<http://www.franklincountyohio.gov/boe/04UnofficialResults/Unofficial%20Abstract%20of%20Votes%20General%202004.pdf>
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byronm Donating Member (376 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 03:15 PM
Response to Reply #6
10. thats nuts
more votes than people and they actually counted?
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Czolgosz Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 03:17 PM
Response to Reply #6
11. Which precincts?
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zoeybug Donating Member (63 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 03:22 PM
Response to Reply #6
14. how do you figure
There are over a million people in franklin county (Columbus).

Which numbers in this document are you referring to?
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trotsky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 03:40 PM
Response to Reply #14
16. Go to page 23.
Go down to Gahanna 1-B precinct.

Bush: 4258
Kerry: 260

Voinovich: 422
Fingerhut: 180

FOUR THOUSAND MAGIC VOTES. Unless you want us to believe that roughly 4000 people who not only live *somewhere* in that small precinct decided that they wanted to vote for Bush but not for either Senate or Representative candidate.
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bigtree Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 03:53 PM
Response to Reply #16
18. kick
:kick:
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berni_mccoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 03:58 PM
Response to Reply #16
19. Holy Toledo!
Excellent Find!

We have found similar discrepencies in FL data as well...

They were so arrogant, they must have thought, "no *one* would look at these numbers!"

They hid it nicely in an area that Kerry won too (Franklin County). I'm going to start combing numbers for odd blips like these.
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vet 65 69 Donating Member (51 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-05-04 12:09 AM
Response to Reply #19
57. volusia co fl someone double check this
i started at the bottom volusia co
they had 309,930 reg voters 209.052 turn out 67.5% but you add the senate race martines rep. had 103,714 castor dem. 114,745 why would 218,459 vote senate. that more than the turn out someone check my figures old eye maybe wrong

http://enight.dos.state.fl.us/
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berni_mccoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 04:05 PM
Response to Reply #16
22. Hey Check out Page 34
Edited on Thu Nov-04-04 04:07 PM by berni_mccoy
The Absentee1 and Absentee2 Entries... totally bogus!

10158 for Bush, 10025 for Kerry... FOR BOTH! WTF?!?

And notice this gives bush a magic 3000 votes like in Gahanna-1 (or 6000 since both Abs-1 and Abs-2 are counted).
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zoeybug Donating Member (63 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 04:27 PM
Response to Reply #16
28. Wow!
4000 votes here, 4000 votes there, pretty soon you're talking about some real numbers.
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vet 65 69 Donating Member (51 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 10:22 PM
Response to Reply #16
53. they are trying to find more info on jk forum
someone needs to find this poster jk forum is trying to find more info

here is the post thanks kilowat1946

Today, 09:02 PM Post #1


Advanced Member


Group: Members
Posts: 503
Joined: 6-April 04
From: New Hampshire
Member No.: 17790




This is in regards to a discovery made just today:

http://forum.johnkerry.com/index.php?showt...97&#entry721197

We need the following from you:

WE NEED FROM THE PRECINCTS:

1. polling tapes printed out of the optical scan machines.

2. pictures of them as they are hanging up in the precincts, preferably with a video camera

3. the statement of votes cast from poll closing time generally the first printout is printed 1 hour after the poll closes. We need them all from 8:00 pm-1:30 am.

This request comes directly from God_Bush_N_Cheny over at DU who is the right-hand-man at www.blackboxvoting.org .

He said we HAVE A REAL CHANCE HERE PEOPLE!!!! The inaccuracies in that County ALONE would be enough legal reason to give the election to Kerry!!! LET'S MOVE ON THIS!!!
http://forum.johnkerry.com/index.php?showtopic=112616&pid=723008&st=0&#entry723008
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mbee Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 04:22 PM
Response to Reply #6
27. The media will cover it up just like they
did the Gore win. They buried it in every article and showed headlines of a Bush win (Big Lie)!
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Doug Decker Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 03:05 PM
Response to Original message
4. I was only mildly depressed before this article...
now I'm suicidal. Thanks for the post, though, I'd rather know the truth than not.

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InvisibleTouch Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 05:24 PM
Response to Reply #4
32. I'm not depressed. I'm furious!
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meti57b Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 03:06 PM
Response to Original message
5. I heard on the radio this am that they included provisional ballots in ...
the exit polls. The provisional ballots were never counted. People voting on provisional ballots thought they voted but in fact, they had not.

The person speaking said the republicans were responsible for making certain that a lot of the ballots were provisional.

KPFK Los Angeles
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zoeybug Donating Member (63 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 03:19 PM
Response to Reply #5
13. The provisional ballots will be counted, supposedly
They will start counting them 10 days after the election. I saw one person vote by provisional ballot, but don't know how many there are statewide. Quite a few, evidently.

Why wait 10 days to count? Hell if I know. :shrug:
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9119495 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 03:09 PM
Response to Original message
7. OK, but how come someone like Zogby doesn't do a poll
after the election to corroborate exit polls or the vote count?
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genius Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 03:15 PM
Response to Original message
9. We won't have a recount because of Kerry's concession.
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Lefta Dissenter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 03:19 PM
Response to Reply #9
12. not a recount
but counting the provisional ballots. Oh, and taking away the 4000 extra bush votes as posted above... and how many MORE extra bush votes are lurking???
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burythehatchet Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 03:52 PM
Response to Reply #12
17. I think you're right
a re-count is not the goal. Its fraud. If they can prove that the whole system is fraudulent, then it becomes a matter of the appropriate legal remedy.
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ClassWarrior Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 05:50 PM
Response to Reply #12
38. Not a recount - but A FULL AND ACCURATE COUNT.
It's what John Edwards promised in his concession speech.

And a concession speech is not legally binding.

NGU.


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txindy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 03:59 PM
Response to Reply #9
20. Isn't there an automatic recount if the difference in the ballots
for each candidate is within a certain percentage of the total ballots cast? :shrug: Concession or not, a recount could be triggered. I consider it more likely for Florida than for Ohio, however.
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Philostopher Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 09:29 PM
Response to Reply #20
49. Yeah, but I think it has to be something like ...
1% or 1.5% before the recount is triggered. If it's over 2%, forget it.

The thing that pisses me off is that so many of the wonky voting districts were in poor neighborhoods and working class areas where lots of African Americans vote. And when I say 'pisses me off' I mean has me chewing the double-glazed panes out of my windows.
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noiretextatique Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 04:07 PM
Response to Reply #9
23. can't he still request a recount?
or is there some provision in the law for voters to do so?
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SammyWinstonJack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 03:33 PM
Response to Original message
15. I really wish I hadn't read that.
:-( Like in 2000, it will be on my mind for the next fours. Every rotten thing the chimp does, every rotten thing that happens while he squats in Kerry's WH, this will be on my mind.
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Amaya Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 04:04 PM
Response to Original message
21. .
:kick:
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ProdigalJunkMail Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 04:09 PM
Response to Original message
24. not sure where those numbers come from
Edited on Thu Nov-04-04 04:10 PM by ProdigalJunkMail
Maybe earlier in the day? The exit polling that CNN shows for Ohio (at the end of the election) does not even come close to what is in this article...is CNN changing the exit polling data?

http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pages/results/states/OH/P/00/index.html

theProdigal
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berni_mccoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 04:14 PM
Response to Reply #24
25. Go to the PDF file
from the post above.

Then go to Page 34. The Grand Total Votes for Franklin County Matches exactly the results on CNN's website.

Bush got at least 10,000 votes incorrectly according to this in FRANKLIN COUNTY ALONE!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

If there are errors like this in other Counties, then there is NO DOUBT KERRY WON OHIO.

As I mentioned above, we are starting to see similar problems in FL!
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bigtree Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 04:20 PM
Response to Reply #25
26. kick
:kick:
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berni_mccoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 04:40 PM
Response to Reply #26
29. Kicking again!
I went to Portage County Board of Elections website... they only post summary data, not precinct-by-precinct... we need this data in order to do a full analysis and spot BLIPS like these.

This is HOW WE WIN PEOPLE.

CMON! And we can do it here in Cyberspace

They burried the data hoping no one would go digging. But we FOUND some! Let's get them on this and take our country BACK!
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kittenpants Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 05:00 PM
Response to Reply #29
30. kick again and what can we do about this...
I live in Franklin county, but not the precinct in question. could I go to the board of elections w/ this? we need to get this out!
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InvisibleTouch Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 05:31 PM
Response to Reply #30
33. Franklin County here too...
...I'm with you. I'm willing to bang on some doors with you if need be. Maybe we can even get a group together, for a show of numbers. (@mail me privately if you want...)

With Columbus and Cleveland being the big Democratic bastions in the state, has anyone found discrepancies in the Cleveland results? Cincinnati and Dayton are right-wing wacko territory, but I don't doubt they'd cook the books there as well, to wring out some extra votes.

We need a summary of what's been found so far, to e-mail it to the media.....
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jackstraw45 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 06:09 PM
Response to Reply #33
42. Not to the media...AN ATTORNEY
The media will NOT take care of this. We need HIGH PROFILE attorneys.

We need LEGAL remedies.
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InvisibleTouch Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 06:41 PM
Response to Reply #42
43. Agreed...
Surely we have one within our ranks?
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sugargoose Donating Member (270 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-05-04 12:10 AM
Response to Reply #42
58. Be sure to let us know if we need to donate to a legal fund.
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berni_mccoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 08:36 PM
Response to Reply #33
45. IF ANYONE IS FROM FRANKLIN COUNTY OH
Edited on Thu Nov-04-04 08:40 PM by berni_mccoy
Here is what we need:

WE NEED FROM THE PRECINCTS (especially the Gahanna 1-B):

1. polling tapes printed out of the optical scan machines.

2. pictures of them as they are hanging up in the precincts, preferably with a video camera

3. the statement of votes cast from poll closing time generally the first printout is printed 1 hour after the poll closes. We need them all from 8:00 pm-1:30 am.


This request comes directly from God_Bush_N_Cheny who is the right-hand-man at www.blackboxvoting.org.

We HAVE A REAL CHANCE HERE PEOPLE!!!!

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InvisibleTouch Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 05:37 PM
Response to Original message
34. Another Question: Why "Unofficial Results"?
PDF file is entitled "Unofficial Abstract of Votes General." Why "Unofficial"? Is it an early tally that was changed again later?

And, anyone else having trouble saving the file to their hard drive? I hate pdf files, myself....
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berni_mccoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 05:52 PM
Response to Reply #34
39. Not sure why the title, but ...
the totals correspond directly with the results used by the media to call the election.
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theboss Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 06:07 PM
Response to Reply #34
41. Results are not official until certified by ... someone...sec of state?
I don't know Ohio's law.
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InvisibleTouch Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 06:47 PM
Response to Reply #41
44. Sounds about right...
...and our SOS is a republican thug. If we're going to act on this, we need to do it quick....

Regarding population/registration numbers by precinct - voter lists were posted at each precinct at 10 and 4, with a checkmark next to the names of people who had actually been there by then. Those of us working with MoveOn could use them to check off people on our own list, to see who had come in, vs. who needed to be bugged to turn out. But I wasn't allowed to keep a copy of the list, needless to say. It exists, though. I assume these were the names of all the registered voters, not all the residents. Of course, off all the registered voters, not all of them voted, but it's a start. Can we get hold of a copy of the master list from the Franklin County board of elections? And likewise in other counties, for comparative purposes?
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Blue Gardener Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 05:38 PM
Response to Original message
35. Kick! n/t
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kittenpants Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 05:43 PM
Response to Original message
36. are there any facts/data about # of voting machines in red vs. blue areas?
I know from what I've heard, there were plenty in the suburbs and sticks, but not nearly enough to accomodate everyone in blue precints (black, urban, poorer communities). It's less technical, but if we can at least document it as suppression maybe it will help.
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InvisibleTouch Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 05:48 PM
Response to Original message
37. Population Numbers
Franklin county population numbers, according to their web site: 1,068,978

Still trying to find whether I can break it down by precinct.

This is a potential approach in any fishy-looking area, btw. Compare population numbers with the number of votes, adjust for the % of the population that actually voted, and see if it makes sense....

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berni_mccoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 06:03 PM
Response to Reply #37
40. What we really need are
Registered voters by precinct as of Nov. 2 2004.

This would give us a clear answer as to any bogus data. The Board of Elections has all the information we need, we just need access.
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Andy_Stephenson Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 08:55 PM
Response to Original message
46. Franklin County is using Diebold
optical scan machines with the GEMS version 1.18.19

This...my friends...most likely is fraud. Go to www.blackboxvoting.org look at the FOIA request we did and get this inofrmation from that county ASAP! We have sent them a FOIA but someone there on the ground may get it faster.

Andy
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melv Donating Member (506 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 09:25 PM
Response to Reply #46
48. We NEED MICHAEL MOORE!
good grief, someone send this to Michael Moore and Bev Harris!
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InvisibleTouch Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 09:30 PM
Response to Reply #46
50. What is a FOIA, exactly, and how can I help? n/t
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MassLiberal Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 10:07 PM
Response to Reply #50
52. FOIA=Freedom of Information Act
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KittyWampus Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 09:21 PM
Response to Original message
47. A Very Low Bow For The Numbers Crunchers & Investigators
God Speed!
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cthrumatrix Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 09:43 PM
Response to Reply #47
51. kick....everyone should read how awol stole the election- again !
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vet 65 69 Donating Member (51 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 10:33 PM
Response to Original message
54. but you have got to have the evidence
who posted the info? they will get rid of the evidence are spin this unless you have a witness
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Contrary1 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 11:49 PM
Response to Original message
55. It is my understanding, per what I heard on the news Election Night
that if the difference in the total number of votes between candidates is .25%, a recount is required by law in Ohio.
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Nederland Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Nov-04-04 11:58 PM
Response to Original message
56. Its amazing
I listened to people here deride all those polls on 11/1 that showed Bush up by 2 to 4 points. I heard people talk about how polls were useless and always wrong. Now everybody seems to want to believe that exit polls are flawless predictors of people's intentions.

Give it up people. This isn't 2000. We got smoked fair and square.
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KingChicken Donating Member (814 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-05-04 12:13 AM
Response to Reply #56
59. I'm just wondering why the exit polls are so skewed from the past
Exit polls are usually very accurate, this time around they were about 6 points off in Ohio, and it's coming from places with e-voting machines. It looks extremely suspicious, even if Kerry still turns up short we need to expose this for the future. No one can afford to turn their backs on this!
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vet 65 69 Donating Member (51 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-05-04 12:35 AM
Response to Reply #59
60. volusia co fl someone double check this
Edited on Fri Nov-05-04 12:38 AM by kilowat1946
i started at the bottom volusia co
they had 309,930 reg voters 209.052 turn out 67.5% but you add the senate race martines rep. had 103,714 castor dem. 114,745 why would 218,459 vote senate. that more than the turn out someone check my figures old eye maybe wrong


http://enight.dos.state.fl.us/
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cardlaw Donating Member (228 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-05-04 12:49 AM
Response to Reply #60
62. Same in Volusia for Pres.
Bush 111,544 Kerry 115,319

226863 votes counted for only 209052 turnout
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berni_mccoy Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-05-04 12:57 AM
Response to Reply #62
64. 20K of those could be absentee
There were about 20K absentee ballots, giving Bush another 6000 votes more than JK.
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Nederland Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Nov-05-04 12:56 AM
Response to Reply #59
63. They weren't 6 points off
They were 2.8 points off. Do the math and you'll see they were within the margin of error.
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