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The election has yet to be certified in any state, so how can any results have been overturned yet?
I think we are talking about apples and oranges (or apples and aircraft parts) here...
Errors are a part of life in running elections -- people are human, and there is far more of the human factor in elections that in other project-based government endeavors. The reason there is a canvassing period after an election is to give officials enough time to correct errors that are found, and to ensure accurate results are certified.
And again, just for clarity, I'm an election expert that Bev consults with to ensure that she has the facts correct on election administration, procedures and law. I am not speaking officially for Black Box Voting.
Bev's message is Bev's message, my words are my words. I just simply talk to her daily, so if there's a good, clear suggestion from someone out there about how to best communicate this complicated topic -- without making claims that cannot be supported -- than what is happening now, I'm in a better position to communicate it quickly to her than random postings on DU are.
Back to the matter at hand:
I know of three widely publicized instances from the November election where there have been tabulation problems due to previously KNOWN functionality errors in the equipment being used. In all cases, the manufacturer knew of the flaws, but did not notify the county using the equipment (in one case, inadvertently, as the manufacturer had the wrong model number logged as the equipment for that county)
The two types of situations that I am aware of are both design flaws that affect the function of the apparatus when a specific number of total votes cast is reached. In one situation, the device begins counting backwards one it reaches a certain number of votes cast in a single contest, in another, after a certain number of voters have cast ballots, no more ballots can be stored on the memory of the device.
All of these instances were caught by election officials and corrected before certification.
Are these instances good reasons to lobby for voter verified paper ballots and not all electronic systems? Very much so. Are either of these indicators of fraud? NO. And to present either of these examples as "fraud" is very likely to harm the credibility of the person or organization using them as such.
As far as exit polling:
Exit polling is not a gift horse if it is an inaccurate measure on which to base a claim. Nothing will hamper Bev's, or anyone's, credibility faster than basing a claim upon data that simply isn't reliable the way that it is collected in America. Keep in mind, we are talking about finding 1% and 2% discrepancies - not discrepancies of double digit percentage points. 3% is the minimum margin of error in any poll, so again it is not a reliable piece of evidence on which to base a claim in a close contest.
I have heard the "third world exit polling" claim multiple times, and as someone who has actually observed elections outside the US, I can tell you that there is a gross misunderstanding of what the observation and monitoring procedures are. But that's a long topic for another whole thread.
However, using an exit polling comparison in the US to show election problems is just like shouting "we wuz robbed!" -- it makes for sexy copy, but there's no there there -- it simply can't be supported as a factual basis for a claim.
People who run elections for a living, lawmakers, judges, and policy makers are the people that are going to have to be swayed to help this situation immediately, before the electoral college convenes. And those folks will see right through specious claims because they have the expert staff or their own experience to be able to assess the validity of these claims.
Would it be good to have a massive groundswell of public support? Yes. But is it more important to get this information into the hands to those people who can actually remedy the situation before it is too late? Of course. And those people are not going to be swayed by flawed claims, no matter how compelling the backstory may be. And anyone who has made a specious claim in the course of trying to make the issue easier for public consumption is going to be ignored when it really matters.
What the BBV people are doing right now is collecting public documents and information from election offices all across the country with heavy emphasis on key states and counties. They are finding information within those documents that can "hang them on their own petard", so to speak. This is concrete information, but it's still in the analysis stage.
Without discussing the real issues, not unsubstantiated ones, how can the message be made more mainstream? Really. I'm asking. Maybe I don't see it because I'm too close to the situation.
I hope we are not making the mistake of assuming that the general public is stupid. I certainly don't think so, and I don't think most Democrats think so. Why do we think they can't process a complex issue?
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