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CONTACT ALL MEDIA NOW: Here is how the rigged this election

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AnIndependentTexan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-07-04 02:44 AM
Original message
CONTACT ALL MEDIA NOW: Here is how the rigged this election
Edited on Sun Nov-07-04 03:36 AM by AIndependentTexan
CONTACT EVERYONE NOW!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

POSTED AT DEMOCRATIC UNDERGROUND

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_topic&forum=104&topic_id=2625708#2626012

BASED ON EXIT POLLS, THE PROBABILITY KERRY WOULD LOSE OH AND FL = 0.15%

That's less than 1/6 of one percent!

To put it another way, the chances are 1 out of 667 that Bush would win BOTH states.

Assuming a 2% MoE for the exit polls (they are much more accurate than standard polls), the probabilities are:

Ohio Exit Poll:
Kerry 52 - Bush 48
Prob (Kerry wins OH)= 97.7%

Florida Exit Poll:
Kerry 51 - Bush 48
Prob (Kerry wins FL)= 93.5%

Then
Prob (Kerry loses FL and OH) =0.15% = (1-.977)*(1-.935)

Prob(Kerry wins OH or FL or Both)= 99.85% = 1 -.15%

How did I calculate the probs?
Simple. Feed the data into the Excel Normal Distribution function:

Since the MoE = .02, the Standard Deviation is .02/1.96 = .01

Prob (Kerry wins OH)= NORMDIST(0.52,0.5,0.01,TRUE) = 97.7%

Prob (Kerry wins FL)= NORMDIST(51/99,0.5,0.01,TRUE) = 93.5%
-----------------------------------------------------
Here is the reason why they covered up the exist polls

http://www.truthout.org/docs_03/voting.shtml#part1

The story you are about to read is in this writer's view the biggest political scandal in American history, if not global history. And it is being broken today here in New Zealand.
--------------------------------------------------
This explains the need for election to be close

http://www.commongroundcommonsense.org/index.php?showtopic=53
Explanation of rigging an election

As John Hopkins University and Bev Harris have pointed out repeatedly in their first field studies; I have seen the duplicitous nature of just how easy it is to rig elections using the G.E.M.S system.

GEMS central tabulator is nothing more than an ATM machine on your home computer, with all the escape routes and backdoors. There are two columns for votes, one for the plus side and one for the negative. You can freely change the opposite column at any time you like, using MS Access. Doing this means you can add or subtract however many votes you want, within the GEMS system's rules.

What this means is that the opposing rule of positive, must turn out negative. If you take away 5000 votes from one side, reversing his percentage that exact same number will be applied to the other guy's total. It can not work any other way.

In order for the fraud to be workable, it must always come within the same vote total score GEMS tabulates. So yes, it does count every vote there is always. They never lied here. But, in order to keep the total accurate, they can freely remove or add the same number of votes, making it seem like nothing happened, to the other side. Thus the other candidate always wins. Ta daa.
------------------------

The actual voting results of paper ballot versus electronic, off by huge incremental margins of votes







Posted here at DU

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=132&topic_id=1333866&mesg_id=1333866&page=
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AnIndependentTexan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-07-04 03:10 AM
Response to Original message
1. PLEASE AT LEAST KEEP BUMPED
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gardenista Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-07-04 03:20 AM
Response to Original message
2. Those bar charts are stunning. And not in a "good" way.
Great work!
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Q3JR4 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-07-04 03:22 AM
Response to Original message
3. Kick...
Still I have to ask, and I may sound like a broken record, where did the data used to create the graphs come from?

Anyone know?
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AnIndependentTexan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-07-04 03:27 AM
Response to Reply #3
4. READ through every post made there
http://www.commongroundcommonsense.org/index.php?showtopic=53

It is a forum like DU'er that used to be the Kerry/Edwards online forum. Many have been focused in on this. While DU'ers kept playing the blame game we've been working away at trying to solve it. A lot of Du'ers here have been creating information as well. I believe though the graphs came from here http://blog.democrats.com/
It is also on DU frontpage.

There are many groups out there researching it as we speak.
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itzamirakul Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-07-04 04:01 AM
Response to Original message
5. Have you shared this information with BBV?
Bev Harris and a gentleman named Andy are currently working on the fraud means and methods at www.blackboxvoting.org.

I am more than willing to help contact media with information, but I think we should have a coordinated effort with as much data as possible. If we send it in in bits and pieces they will find a way to just pooh-pooh it away.
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itzamirakul Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-07-04 10:35 AM
Response to Reply #5
8. Please sign petition for Dean to Chair DNC - link posted here
This is a petiton favoring Dr, Dean to become Chairman of the DNC. I do not have enough stars to initiate a thread yet, so if anyone finds this important enough to start a thread, please do so. Thanks.

http://www.petitionspot.com/petitions/deanfordnc
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SammyWinstonJack Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-07-04 11:18 AM
Response to Reply #8
13. done
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Piperay Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-07-04 05:01 AM
Response to Original message
6. Kick
:kick:
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DeepModem Mom Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-07-04 07:20 AM
Response to Original message
7. kick
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ElsewheresDaughter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-07-04 10:53 AM
Response to Original message
9. BEV HARRIS ALERT!
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Doctor_J Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-07-04 10:56 AM
Response to Original message
10. Yeah, Faux News will run with this
and CNN, and MSRNC. :eyes:
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goclark Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-07-04 11:00 AM
Response to Reply #10
11. They will if Keith does it!

Or Jon Stewart.
We must get someone to run it , Move On, someone.

I agree, it must be a complete package.
Did I miss TRUTHIS ALL's magnificent visual of Exit Polls vs. Vote Count?
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alfredo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-07-04 11:09 AM
Response to Original message
12. We have to get this out
to everyone.
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