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Exit Poll Data vs. Actual Results

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theblasmo Donating Member (221 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-08-04 04:51 PM
Original message
Exit Poll Data vs. Actual Results
Has anyone performed a state by state comparison of exit poll data versus actual results? After reading Pitt's commentaries on the election at truthout.com, I would like to know if the differences indicate a clear pattern of some sort regarding paper ballots versus electronic ones.
David Murphy
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Goldmund Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-08-04 04:53 PM
Response to Original message
1. I've been trying to do a precinct-by-precinct analysis
but I've had a hard time getting all of the data. For starters, I was going to do Florida.
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BayStateBoy Donating Member (562 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-08-04 05:04 PM
Response to Original message
2. I Thought This General Analysis was Sufficient?
Since exit polls can't prove fraud and only are red flags I thought that the graphs on this link speak sufficiently loudly:

http://www.bluelemur.com/index.php?p=388"


Also the following questions which Rove can't explain:


(1) Exit polls closely correlated with vote tallies in every state except in those states using BBV machines or states like Florida that use electronic voting plus optical scanning.

(2) In every instance of exit poll and vote tally discrepancy, G.W. Bush was the recipient of the extra votes and never John Kerry. The Bush vote “bounce” ranged from +3% to +18% being +6% in Ohio and +7% in Florida.
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idiosyncratic Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Nov-08-04 05:11 PM
Response to Original message
3. Well, this is just one of the graphs . . .
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