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So the new unemployment numbers come out tomorrow...

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zoidberg Donating Member (508 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-04-03 01:08 PM
Original message
So the new unemployment numbers come out tomorrow...
Anybody want to make a prediction? News stories and anecdotal information seem to be mixed over the past month. GDP has been growing faster than expected, the markets are up, and the dollar is stronger based on perseptions of economic strength compared to Europe and Japan. But there seems to be no sign of change with the exodus of manufacturing jobs and nothing new seems to be popping up to take their place. I'd predict the unemployment rate to remain the same, with a slight increase in both the labor force and the number of employed people.
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CMT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-04-03 01:09 PM
Response to Original message
1. jobless claims have been up the past two weeks
as more people are now looking for work (becuz of the "upbeat" economic news) I think there will be no change--still 6.2%.
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HFishbine Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-04-03 01:19 PM
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2. Huge layoffs in textiles
6.6%
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MUAD_DIB Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-04-03 01:19 PM
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3. I'll put a dollar on it

going back up.
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phillybri Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-04-03 01:21 PM
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4. It will tick up....
...to 6.4% or 6.5%. Bank on it. I'm a financial advisor w/ Morgan Stanley and everything I've read is pointing toward a slight uptick.
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LittleApple81 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-04-03 01:46 PM
Response to Original message
5. If you listened to Franken in Fresh Air yesterday
He said that if you put Bush senior's and Bush*'s presidencies back to back, they had the record or NOT producing one NET job gain (not even one job!). He then had a wonderful line: If the had been presidents since the beginning of the country, no American would be working now.
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