Kalifornia

[marshmellow]

Two real possibilities that might pan out.

1. The recall effort is about having a confused election count that will help promote black box voting machines for use in Nov 2004.

2. It is a real possibility that Arnold is a Trojan Horse allowing democrats to fall asleep and not vote because they think he will win anyway. If Bustamonte gets under 25% of the total, Arnold might get 25% and McClintock can win with a strong showing of conservatives with 30% of the total. Real conservatives will not vote for Arnold and they will vote.

[Hanuman]

1. Not sure this analysis will pan out...

Bustamonte is in a good position as the only democrat. Personally, I think Arnold is in an uphill race with two other stragglers (McClintock and Ueberoth) nipping at his heels and stealing precious votes.

The electorate appears to be VERY fired up by this election and it promises to be a very large turnout. Bustamonte will probably get no less than 40% of the total votes.

If the hard right makes the same mistake they did with Simon vs. Riordan, then Bustamonte is going to bust-a-move into the Governor's chair.

[Bandit]

2. If you are right and there is a large turnout then I would guess

It all will be moot because the recall will fail.

[Clete]

3. Your theory on Arnold is interesting.

I couldn't logically figure out why the Republicans were so behind him. At first I thought, well maybe they think he might get a lot of the liberal vote. You know us "goofy" Californians.:silly: But that didn't add up. Liberal Californians that I know, as well as myself, are really unimpressed with movie stars. I mean there is no groupie vote here, unless they are tourists and they shouldn't be voting anyway. So, that left me pondering, and the Trojan horse makes sense. It is part of the Repuke strategy to be disingenuous to discourage voter turn out in the opposition.