but the neocons are scary people... It is really too bad to have to rely on the non-mainstream press.
And the stuff about Iran reads pretty true -- provided that our "leadership" is of questionable judgment.
I would point out that an invasion of Iran has to take place from somewhere, and Iraq is a good candidate. So troop "withdrawal" perhaps should be replaced by "disengagement". But this "slip" would be consistent with the sort of loose talking that takes places in circles unfamiliar with military affairs (like our "leadership" -- or the "press"). (Or it could be deliberate disinformation, as in: when the troops aren't withdrawn, everybody "relaxes" -- who knows.)
It is hard to judge the seriousness of the mentioned joint US-Israeli strikes. There appears to have been some concern about this pre-election (at least) overseas... and the Iranian military "exercises" that supposedly have taken place (or are in progress) may not be an entire coincidence (but useful information is at a premium these days).
However, with the expected difficulties that an invasion of Iran will bring about with Iraq's Shia population, one can imagine that a more secure supply route than the present one will be desired -- at least in some circles within the military. There is also the vulnerability of the current supply route to Iranian interdiction to consider.
The question is how a less vulnerable supply route can be created. The best route would appear to be through through Turkey and the relatively secure Kurdish areas in Northern Iraq. There are diplomatic obstacles to this currently, but these might be mitigated somewhat by another "incident". Of course Syria might be invaded first, but there are difficulties to be expected in clearing any such route -- and maintaining its security.
Midyear 2005 as a date to start massing for an attack on Iran does seem reasonable -- this would allow for an attack when the weather cools, say late 2005 or early 2006.
There is also the question of how all this might be "sold" to the American people -- which brings us to the latter part of the article. Some people have hypothesized that after another "terrorist" attack, particularly a serious one, almost anything could be sold to the American people -- and many of our "allies".
And smallpox is certainly a weapon of great terror -- reading a little history will tell of the horror with which our ancestors perceived this (then at least) very real threat... But a much smaller "incident" (than that discussed) might "rouse" the American people to support any attack against the "perpetrators" identified as the source of the "incident".
As to the "spy investigation", I believe that the current investigation about the alleged "spying" (for Israel) is going nowhere -- except, perhaps, to try to nail some scapegoat (entirely innocent or otherwise -- remember Hatfill) -- along with all the other "ongoing investigations". And while I hate referencing the "moonie times", the following article states that: "a confessed Pentagon spy has stopped cooperating with federal law enforcement officials" -- which is an interesting claim. Note that the article also claims that the investigation "has intensified".
http://www.washtimes.com/upi-breaking/20041208-045115-7516r.htmWhether or not the originally referenced article is (overall) psy-war or disinformation (really just a form of psy-war) is hard to say. There are elements that sound very real -- but this is standard "ops" stuff -- as is "stretching" the claims, either to discredit the valid parts, or to make the actual happenings seem less terrible. -- The problem is that without "good data" it is very difficult to sort out the "wheat" from the "chaff".
It is worth noting that the neocons "cut their teeth" on the cold war and many still harbor black feelings towards the Soviet inheritor, Russia. -- One does hear the occassional rumbling from Russia about outside meddling.
The pro-Israeli predisposition (perhaps "fanaticism" is more accurate) of many neocons is also worth noting.
And there is North Korea to consider.