DoYouEverWonder
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Wed Sep-21-05 03:21 AM
Original message |
Some good news for New Orleans - Re Rita |
|
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT18/refresh/AL1805W5_sm2+gif/024155W_sm.gifSome good news for New Orleans at least. The latest projections show Hurricane Rita heading a little more to the west and now New Orleans is outside of the zone in the 5 day projections. In the meantime, it still looks like Texas is in for a big hit.
|
LittleClarkie
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Wed Sep-21-05 03:23 AM
Response to Original message |
1. I must be lousy at projections |
|
Because the moving satellite pictures look to me like the thing is skirting Cuba. I wonder why it curves up instead of heading straight west (sorry Mexico, not wishing anything on your guys.)
|
intheflow
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Wed Sep-21-05 05:02 AM
Response to Reply #1 |
10. Prevailing winds from the west. |
|
Edited on Wed Sep-21-05 05:02 AM by intheflow
I'm not an expert on weather by any stretch, but I noticed that's what made Katrina turn from a straight westerly path to a northeasterly path.
|
jody
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Wed Sep-21-05 03:26 AM
Response to Original message |
2. Disagree, Rita is turning more to the East since 2PM EDT Tuesday. n/t |
DoYouEverWonder
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Wed Sep-21-05 03:30 AM
Response to Reply #2 |
3. The map above is the latest projection |
|
and was issued at 11:00 PM Tues. Rita is now tracking further away from NO then they had projected earlier.
It's not just the hurricane itself but also the systems coming down from the north that also impact the path. Apparently there's a big high coming down from the N - NE that will push Rita further west and away from NO.
|
CascadeTide
(164 posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Wed Sep-21-05 03:38 AM
Response to Reply #3 |
4. check out this projection published at the same time |
|
not quite as rosey, gives new orleans an 11% chance of a hit, galveston only has a 13% chance http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIASPFAT3+shtml/210230.shtml
|
DoYouEverWonder
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Wed Sep-21-05 03:58 AM
Response to Reply #4 |
|
Edited on Wed Sep-21-05 04:01 AM by DoYouEverWonder
|
DoYouEverWonder
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Wed Sep-21-05 04:00 AM
Response to Reply #4 |
8. They must have just updated |
|
New Orleans is now down to 9%, which is very low compared to the rest of the chart.
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT SAT SEP 24 2005 LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E 24.7N 88.7W 41 X X X 41 PORT ARTHUR TX X X 4 9 13 25.2N 90.8W 20 8 1 X 29 GALVESTON TX X X 6 8 14 25.9N 92.8W 2 18 3 1 24 FREEPORT TX X X 6 9 15 MMSO 238N 982W X X 2 6 8 PORT O CONNOR TX X X 6 9 15 MMTM 222N 979W X X 1 4 5 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X X 5 9 14 MMTX 210N 974W X X X 2 2 BROWNSVILLE TX X X 7 7 14 MMMD 210N 897W X X 1 1 2 GULF 29N 85W X X X 2 2 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 2 2 GULF 29N 87W X 1 1 3 5 PENSACOLA FL X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 89W 2 7 3 2 14 MOBILE AL X X 1 4 5 GULF 28N 91W X 10 5 3 18 GULFPORT MS X X 1 6 7 GULF 28N 93W X 5 10 4 19 BURAS LA X 1 4 5 10 GULF 28N 95W X 1 11 5 17 NEW ORLEANS LA X X 3 6 9 GULF 27N 96W X 1 11 5 17 NEW IBERIA LA X X 4 8 12 GULF 25N 96W X 3 9 4 16
|
malaise
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Wed Sep-21-05 04:49 AM
Response to Reply #8 |
9. Rita is heading for Texas |
|
She started off moving West then swerved WNW for a while and headed back on the West track since yesterdat afternoon. NOLA will be spared this time.
|
jody
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Wed Sep-21-05 03:43 AM
Response to Reply #3 |
5. Understand but I was referring to the change from 2 pm EDT forecast. n/t |
LittleClarkie
(1000+ posts)
Send PM |
Profile |
Ignore
|
Wed Sep-21-05 03:45 AM
Response to Reply #3 |
6. The little dance it's doing around Cuba would seem to bear you out |
DU
AdBot (1000+ posts) |
Fri May 03rd 2024, 08:22 PM
Response to Original message |