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Dean is leading Kerry in the two most recent Massachusetts polls

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pruner Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-23-03 06:31 AM
Original message
Dean is leading Kerry in the two most recent Massachusetts polls
Edited on Sun Nov-23-03 06:33 AM by pruner
Boston Globe/WBZ poll:

Dean 27
Kerry 24
Clark 6

While Kerry runs ahead of Dean among registered Democrats -- 28 percent to 22 percent -- the senator trails by a wide margin -- 36 percent to 14 percent -- among independents, according to the Globe/WBZ polls.

Nov 19-22. n=400. MOE ±5.

UMass poll:

Dean 29
Kerry 23

Dean v Bush 58-34
Kerry v Bush 56-38

week prior to BG/WBZ poll. n=400

http://www.boston.com/news/nation/articles/2003/11/23/dean_bid_showing_strength_in_mass/
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CMT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-23-03 06:33 AM
Response to Original message
1. added statistics
among men in the Globe poll Dean is ahead 27-20 and among women Dean and Kerry are tied 26-26.

Among Independents Dean leads 36-14 and with Dem voters Kerry is ahead 28-22.

Last week a Connecticut poll showed Dean only six-points behind Lieberman in his homestate.
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mebadgett Donating Member (55 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-23-03 06:36 AM
Response to Original message
2. Bumper Stickers
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newyawker99 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-23-03 02:27 PM
Response to Reply #2
13. Hi mebadgett!!
Welcome to DU!! :toast:
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sandnsea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-23-03 06:54 AM
Response to Original message
3. Independents for Dean
Dean attacts independents by moving the party to the right. Wohoo!
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ClintonTyree Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-23-03 08:27 AM
Response to Reply #3
5. You're correct.............
Four more years of Bush is better than Dean. :eyes: Who needs those Independents anyway? They're just a "focus group". I'd much rather have a candidate that DOES attract Independents, if we're to expunge the Bush administration we'll have to appeal to them. A straight Democratic vote is NOT enough.
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sandnsea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-23-03 08:36 AM
Response to Reply #5
6. Go further and further right
I thought Dean was fighting to get back the Democratic Party. That means convincing the middle that you're right, not abandoning your values to get their votes. That's what we've been doing for years and what everybody is so pissed off about. How is this some kind of new visionary plan?
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quaker bill Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-23-03 08:44 AM
Response to Reply #5
7. Independents?
As a right-winger, Dean leaves alot to be desired. His positions are well left of center, his recent statements on re-regulation for instance, are apparently well left of some other candidates.

I do not think Dean attracts independents by being farther right than some other candidates (Kucinich for instance), I think he attracts them by being blunt, a bit angry, populist in his rhetoric, outspoken against the war, and prepared to 'eat the rich' a bit.

I simply do not believe that a candidates position on the right - left spectrum will have all that significant a role in deciding this contest, at least as long as the candidate is not viewed as an extremist in this dimension.

Bush* is increasingly being viewed as an extremist by the independent voter. Dean has called him out on it and is profiting.
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sandnsea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-23-03 08:53 AM
Response to Reply #7
8. Always the worst positions
Reregulation, raising taxes and anti-war. Those are his left positions. Even his health care plan, taxes went up in Vermont and the health plan is still running massive deficits. These are going to be slammed so easily next year.

Everything else is well in the center, especially if people bothered to see what he really did in Vermont. His stand against legal aid, his business compromises, implementing co-pays, deductibles and premiums in Medicaid, class based affirmative action, he's well to the right of center.

What are we fighting for? A Democrat who centrists will reject once his views are challenged, and who doesn't even stand up for traditional Democratic values either. This is a no-win.
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KaraokeKarlton Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-23-03 02:47 PM
Response to Reply #8
15. If Dean is so against legal aid
I wonder why I have gotten help from VT legal aid 3 sepearate times?

Gotta love when people outside of my state think they are authorities on what happens in Vermont. :eyes:
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sandnsea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-23-03 02:59 PM
Response to Reply #15
16. For criminal defendants
I'm tending to think you needed some other kind of help. There's plenty of articles about what goes on in Vermont and how Dean wasn't supportive of legal aid for criminal defendants. Like I said, it's great that you support your homestate guy and all, but I've learned from the sales tax increase that you don't always know what's going on in your state. Besides, your view is only one view, it's likely others from Vermont would disagree with your views based on their own experiences in Vermont.
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dsc Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-23-03 04:36 PM
Response to Reply #16
20. What sales tax increase?
It was 5% when he got there and 5% when he left. If you are going to claim he cut income taxes but not leaving them at the higher level he got them at then you can't call his refusal to let the sales tax fall an increase in the tax.
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Scott Lee Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-23-03 02:34 PM
Response to Reply #3
14. wow, it's rightwing to oppose the war?
I wonder when this philosophical seachange occured...can you let us in on it?

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CMT Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-23-03 03:08 PM
Response to Reply #3
17. isn't it amazing that if Dean is so conservative
that he was regularly re-elected in Vermont and is leading John Kerry in Massachusetts--two of the most liberal states in this country.
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MercutioATC Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-23-03 04:32 PM
Response to Reply #17
19. The Republicans voted him in...don't you listen to the Dean-bashers here?
I've seen numerous times that the Repubs voted Dean in because he's such a Republican (hmmmm..I wonder what that makes the REPUBLICAN who ran against him?).

Take this tripe with a grain of salt. The opposition is just slinging poo(I'd use the "s" word, but I think swearing has been banned in GD)and hoping some of it sticks. Is Dean radically liberal? No. He's liberal enough to want change and pragmatic enough to make it happen.
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pruner Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-23-03 08:24 AM
Response to Original message
4. kick for Kerry fans just waking up
:kick:
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virtualobserver Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-23-03 09:18 AM
Response to Reply #4
9. a kick (in the head) you mean, and Unspinnable
Edited on Sun Nov-23-03 09:35 AM by virtualobserver
This is incredibly damaging for Kerry.

edit typo
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pruner Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-23-03 09:24 AM
Response to Reply #9
10. watch sandnsea try to spin these numbers in a P&C thread…
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sandnsea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-23-03 09:26 AM
Response to Reply #10
11. Been saying this for months
Now the proof is in the numbers. Democrats angry at cockroach compromising DC centrists are supporting a candidate that appeals to compromising centrists. Not so hard to figure out.
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Zynx Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-23-03 09:40 AM
Response to Original message
12. Kerry must be really pissed.
I can just imagine him waking up in the middle of the night in a massive cold sweat shouting "DEAN! NO!". Then he goes around the house saying "Dean, Dean, Dean, Dean, Dean" for hours before his wife manages to put him back to sleep with a massive stack of money to cuddle with.
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JaneQPublic Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Sun Nov-23-03 04:08 PM
Response to Original message
18. Although Dean and Kerry are within the MOE...
...Kerry should be ahead by miles.

This is very surprising. I thought Kerry was immensely popular in his home state.
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