I think I figured out that disparity in the CNN/Time poll re: Dean

[lancdem]

That 59-39 margin for Bush over Dean is among everyone they polled (1,500-plus people). The smaller 52-40 margin is among registered voters (1,300 or so).
Thought I'd point that out!

[dsc]

1. Now that is odd

I have no idea why that would be. We usually do better amoung the general pop than likely voters.

[lancdem]

3. This is registered, not likely voters

but I believe you're correct about how Dean normally fares.

[Yavin4]

2. What Were Clinton's Poll Numbers in Nov. 1991?

I wonder?

[alexwcovington]

4. The answer

http://www.dailykos.com/user/mbw/diary

THE SURPRISING RISE OF PAUL TSONGAS
Author(s): Robert A. Jordan, Globe Staff Date:
November 3, 1991 Page: A21 Section: FOCUS

As past years have proved, New Hampshire's presidential primaries can be full of surprises -- and the current surprise among the Democratic hopefuls is the elevated political standing of former US senator Paul Tsongas.

The most recent poll, taken by Maguire Associates for the New Hampshire Democratic Party, has Tsongas leading among the growing crop of Democrats seeking the presidential nomination. Another, earlier poll suggests that this is no fluke. According to the poll, which was taken several days ago, Tsongas leads with 24 percent. US Sen. Robert Kerrey of Nebraska follows with 19 percent. US Sen. Thomas Harkin of Iowa is third with 12 percent. Virginia Gov. E. Douglas Wilder has 7 percent, and both Arkansas Gov. William Clinton and former California Gov. Jerry Brown come in at 6 percent.

[lancdem]

6. Wow!

[AP]

7. That doesn't tell you what the head to heads might have been like for

those candidates. It's conceivable that Tsongas could lead all Democrats, but that Kerry or Harkin would have done better than Tsongas vs Bush (presuming their awareness numbers were all in the same ballpark).

[alexwcovington]

11. Concievable yes

But you try find something better in two minutes of Googling!

[madison]

5. many America voters have never even heard of Howard Dean

Most Americans are not as up on things as DUers are, and many America voters have never even heard of Howard Dean - or if they have, all they know is his name, not his policies, plans and proposals.

[AP]

8. Actually, I believe that Dean's name recognition numbers are now very high

Of course, they're going to be much lower than the eventual nominees numbers (whether Dean or someone else) next Aug-Nov, but they're still higher than almost anyone else's running right now.

He gets a LOT of media coverage.

[Philosophy]

12. Probably they only know him from conservative talk radio

Rush, Hannity, O'Reilly, and Savage all hate him and at least one of them talks about him every day calling him names like communist, liberal, elitist, etc. They probably spend at least 20 times the total amount of time whining about how evil he he is than he gets coverage by the news media at this point. So I would bet the only information most people even know anything about him so far is through negative conservative propaganda.

[wtmusic]

13. And that's a good thing for Dean

RW radio realizes Dean is the threat

[Renew Deal]

9. I'd like to see the percentage with Confederate flags on their trucks.

That would be fascinating.

[retyred]

10. Now that would be funny

They probably couldn't spell dean!


retyred in fla
“good night paul, wherever you are”
read the book