Democratic Underground Latest Greatest Lobby Journals Search Options Help Login
Google

The Damped Sinusoidal Bush Ratings Bounce...

Printer-friendly format Printer-friendly format
Printer-friendly format Email this thread to a friend
Printer-friendly format Bookmark this thread
This topic is archived.
Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion (Through 2005) Donate to DU
 
TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-29-03 03:22 PM
Original message
The Damped Sinusoidal Bush Ratings Bounce...
Edited on Mon Dec-29-03 03:42 PM by TruthIsAll
.....Date....Bush Bounce
1: Sep '01...40%..9/11, but did we get Osama? NO
2: May '03...20%..Iraq invasion - mission accomplished? NO
3: Dec '03....7%..Saddam captured - insurgents defeated? NO

Three strikes and you're out, Chimp.

Like a damped sine wave, Bush has seen his ratings bounce approach zero. That's an asymptotic fact. His next bounce will be a last gasp 2% (or maybe less).

With the ongoing 9/11 coverup, Plame leak, madcowGate, plunging dollar, jobless recovery, exploding deficits, disgruntled troops, Bush can no longer expect a ratings bounce of any significance.

Even another LIHOP won't do it for him. But Diebold might. Or maybe we will see Martial Law. You say you want a revolution?

We are about to see the final descent of the BushCo roller coaster, bringing him and his cohorts to a final, screeching stop.

We will then have to pull him out of his seat, kicking and screaming, if need be.




Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
On the Road Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-29-03 03:24 PM
Response to Original message
1. There are Fewer Undecideds
I saw that Bush has fewer supporters among Democrats now that Bill Clinton ever had among Republicans. Fewer and fewer people are willing to give him the benefit of the doubt. That is very good news.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
jfxgillis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-29-03 03:28 PM
Response to Original message
2. Very nice point.
I judge public opinion based on metrics plus my own intuition and I've been wondering for weeks if there was a technical term for the phenomena you mentioned.

"Sinusoidal dampening" it's called?

I'd go a little further, actually. If there's another major incident, terrorist or combat-related or whatever, unless it's absolutely without question good news (capturing bin Laden is the only thing I can think of), Bush's next "bounce" is NEGATIVE.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
grasswire Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-29-03 03:49 PM
Response to Reply #2
3. a negative bounce....
...is a dip.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
jfxgillis Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-29-03 03:57 PM
Response to Reply #3
4. Unless
you're standing on the ceiling.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
Must_B_Free Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-29-03 04:17 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. he's saying it's like a ball bouncing
evey bounce, potential energy is lost and never regained. The ball bounces lower and lower each bounce and eventually stops.
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
rasputin1952 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-29-03 04:32 PM
Response to Original message
6. I'm out here in Nebraska...
and the most telling thing I have noticed is NO ONE is talking bush up. In fact, the silence is deafening in the GOP court.

If NE is no longer openly supporting bush, you can bet that the rest of the nation is pretty well disgusted with him too.

:bounce:
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-29-03 04:55 PM
Response to Original message
7. A graph of the Bush damping effect
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
TruthIsAll Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-29-03 05:22 PM
Response to Original message
8. Pollkatz has Bush average bounces of 34%,13%,7%, respectively..n/t
..
Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
sable302 Donating Member (597 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Mon Dec-29-03 05:38 PM
Response to Original message
9. But, bounces aren't as powerful
as the general trend, which still seems to be pointing down.

Printer Friendly | Permalink |  | Top
 
DU AdBot (1000+ posts) Click to send private message to this author Click to view 
this author's profile Click to add 
this author to your buddy list Click to add 
this author to your Ignore list Mon Apr 29th 2024, 12:03 PM
Response to Original message
Advertisements [?]
 Top

Home » Discuss » Archives » General Discussion (Through 2005) Donate to DU

Powered by DCForum+ Version 1.1 Copyright 1997-2002 DCScripts.com
Software has been extensively modified by the DU administrators


Important Notices: By participating on this discussion board, visitors agree to abide by the rules outlined on our Rules page. Messages posted on the Democratic Underground Discussion Forums are the opinions of the individuals who post them, and do not necessarily represent the opinions of Democratic Underground, LLC.

Home  |  Discussion Forums  |  Journals |  Store  |  Donate

About DU  |  Contact Us  |  Privacy Policy

Got a message for Democratic Underground? Click here to send us a message.

© 2001 - 2011 Democratic Underground, LLC