Any non-political predictions on F 9/11's opening weekend take?

[NewJeffCT]

I did a quick bit of research at boxofficeguru.com and boxofficemojo.com - "Dodgeball" averaged $11,162 per screen to become #1 this past weekend. Earlier this month, "Harry Potter" averaged a very high $24,303 per screen on 3,855 screens for a whopping $93.7 million on its opening weekend.

I'm guessing F 9/11 will come in between the pretty good $11,162 and huge $24,303 per screen, or about $17,733 per screen. (I'm fairly conservative with numbers, I'm a rare liberal accountant). So, at $17,733 for almost 900 screens, that comes out to almost $16 million for the opening weekend. However, I think it could very well do better on a per screen basis due to all the talk of sell-outs I've heard.

[terrya]

1. That sounds about right.

"Fahrenheit 09/11", I think, is going to end more making more than "Bowling for Columbine". Which is remarkable..these are documentaries, after all.

[LastKnight]

2. id say youll be pretty close

if i were gonna be generous, id say 20 mil... but i donno, im gonna see it at least twice that weekend. (ill take different people, dont worry)

-LK

[Screaming Lord Byron]

3. The Sex Pistols released 'God Save the Queen' during Jubilee week

(the Queen's 25th jubilee)
It outsold every other record that week, but due to 'technical glitches', Rod Stewart's 'I don't want to talk about it' ended up #1.
Bear that in mind.

[Nevernose]

4. The real question is: Will it have legs?

With the Moveon push to have everyone go see it on opening weekend, how many folks will want to see it the second or third week? All blockbuster movies -- Titanic, Star Wars, Shrek, et ct. -- have only done so well because they had good legs, with many people seeing the film multiple times in addition to good wrod of mouth, inspiring new people to see it.

The second or third week, btw, is the soonest theater owners start showing any real profits on movies, because of the distribution. Most places, on first run movies, have a 90/10 distributor/therater owner split on ticket sales, progressing to 80/20 the next week, then 70/30. Then it progresses to $2,000 a print or 50% of sales; discount theaters, usally the last people to have the film before it hits video, usually are at a $250 or 25% of tickets deal.

[sus]

5. I saw a trailer last night on tv and it said "this film has not been rated

[NewJeffCT]

6. I believe it is now an R, but

But, how many kids are going to see a documentary?