I wrote this last fall after the Kay report came out:
Dr. Kay's Big Garage
"It is important to keep in mind that even the bulkiest materials we are searching for, in the quantities we would expect to find, can be concealed in spaces not much larger than a two car garage."
- Dr. David Kay,
Iraq Survey Group
October 2, 2003
Let's look at that statement.
In Bush's 2003 State of the Union address, we were told Iraq had "upwards of 30,000 munitions capable of delivering chemical agents" - we're not told what these munitions are, and assuming they're small, like a 88mm mortar round, 30,000, when placed well would rise a few feet off of the floor of a two car carage. Also in his State of the union address, President Bush told us of "25,000 liters of anthrax" and "38,000 liters of botulinum toxin". This is 63,000 liters, or 630,000 cubic centimeters. A large garage could accomodate this volume if the Iraqis chose to store them all in snuggly fitting tanks.
President Bush also told us Iraq had "materials to produce as much as 500 tons of sarin, mustard and VX nerve agent." I'm not sure about the materials needed to produce the gasses mentioned, but one can assume they would amount to at least 500 tons. A typical 40 foot semi trailer is built to carry a payload of no more than 30 tons. Dr Kay's garage would also have to hold 16 semi trailers to carry the 500 tons of material President Bush spoke of in his State of the Union address.
It was also revealed by President Bush that there were "thousands of Iraqi security personnel ... at work hiding documents and materials from the U.N. inspectors." Two-thousand people qualifies as "thousands." A greyhound bus has a capacity of 55 persons. So we'd need to fit 36 Greyound busses in the garage as well.
So, it seems that when Dr. Kay said "two car garage", he likely misspoke. What he meant was a garage large enough to hold a couple cars, 16 semi-trailers, nine Ford Explorers, and 36 Greyhound busses.
References:
http://www.cnn.com/2003/ALLPOLITICS/10/02/kay.report/http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2003/01/20030128-19.htmlhttp://google.com/search?q=semi+trailer+net+payload+weight+standard+containerhttp://www.greyhound.com/company/fleet.shtml