http://sports.espn.go.com/espn/page2/story?page=second/guessingThis is the night the dynasty died. The mother of all choke jobs completed with a trouncing on their home stadium, with Joe D, the Mick (birthdate: October 20!) and the Babe watching on from center field. Yes, I know they're not buried there, but you can bury the 1996-2004 Yankees there.
This is an old team with a payroll that even Donald Trump can't carry in his wallet. Bernie is declining, Giambi may be washed up (with $75 million left on his contract), Posada is an old catcher ready for a rapid fall and while Mo is still tough to beat, he CAN be beat and they don't have the starting pitchers to get him the ball anymore.
Eric: You're right; the future is a big question mark for this club. Remember, they couldn't close the Randy Johnson deal this summer because their minor-league cupboard was so bare they couldn't entice the lowly D-Backs to make a deal.
David: Here's another area where I think George's greed backfired: Despite that $185 million payroll, he didn't have one good left-handed pitcher on the staff. Everyone knows to beat the Red Sox -- with Ortiz, Nixon, Damon and Mueller all worse against lefties -- you need a lefty starter and at least one lefty killer in the pen. But he was greedy and wanted Brown and Vazquez and Loaiza and Gordon -- oh, and lineup that went about 10 deep in All-Stars.
Eric: Right, and let's not forget the money spent on A-Rod. That's, at base, just a vanity pick-up, just a we-can-do-it-and-you-can't move, meant to crush Boston spirits. One player, one offensive player, even one as great as Rodriguez is, just doesn't make that big a difference. The money, as you say, would have much better spent on left-handed pitching.
The A-Rod signing was pure hubris, a perfect match for his taking their money instead of Boston's, a perfect match for his unadulterated greed.
And speaking of hubris, the Yanks invited this with having Bucky Dent throw out the first pitch ...
David: Look, I know Yankee fans can say they were a couple outs away from a sweep. But know this: the Red Sox scored more runs than the Yankees this season and allowed fewer. They were the better team.
Eric: Right. I wrote some time in midsummer, when everyone was saying that the Sox were dead, that the run differential suggested, records be damned, that the Sox were the better offensive team, and might only be victims of some bad luck.
Is it too much to wonder, too much to hope for, that the 2005 Yankees will look like the 2004 Mariners?
David: Well, they won't be the 2004 Mariners, but they have to be concerned.
They already have $170 million committed in payroll in 2005. Essentially, every starting player except Lieber (who has a team option) is back under contract for next year. But none of them are tradeable and all of them are a year older. Logic says they'll go big after Beltran for center field and move Bernie to DH and George will want a first baseman to replace Giambi, if his career is over.
But that means, shoot, if you figure $17M for Beltran and, say, $11 million for someone like Sexson, a $200M+ payroll.
Eric: And notice that nowhere in all that math, do you have a solution to their biggest problem: pitching.
David: Exactly, which means they can't go after Beltran. It makes no sense. They're stuck with no-range Bernie in center for another year, $25 million worth of mediocrity in Brown and Vazquez, plus Mussina, who didn't exactly pitch like an ace this season. They're in trouble....more...