Oscar Prediction Thread

[bigwillq]

**********DISCLAIMER***********************

This is not the official thread, as I have yet to e-mail an admin, but it could very well turn out to be the official one....so participate. It's fun! :bounce:

All you have to do is select the winner in each category. I forget how it was done in years past. I am not sure if you need to copy and paste the list and then write in your predicition in each category or if you just need to go:

Best Picture-Atonement


Tie-breaker questions is: What time will the ceremony end, EST.

Have fun and Good Luck!

BEST PICTURE
Atonement
Juno
Michael Clayton
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

BEST ACTOR
George Clooney, Michael Clayton
Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood
Johnny Depp, Sweeney Todd
Tommy Lee Jones, In the Valley of Elah
Viggo Mortensen, Eastern Promises

BEST ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett, Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Julie Christie, Away From Her
Marion Cotillard, La Vie en Rose
Laura Linney, The Savages
Ellen Page, Juno

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Casey Affleck, The Assassination of Jesse James by the Coward Robert Ford
Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men
Philip Seymour Hoffman, Charlie Wilson's War
Hal Holbrook, Into the Wild
Tom Wilkinson, Michael Clayton

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett, I'm Not There
Ruby Dee, American Gangster
Saoirse Ronan, Atonement
Amy Ryan, Gone Baby Gone
Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton

BEST DIRECTOR
Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood
Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
Tony Gilroy, Michael Clayton
Jason Reitman, Juno
Julian Schnabel, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Brad Bird, Ratatouille
Diablo Cody, Juno
Tony Gilroy, Michael Clayton
Tamara Jenkins, The Savages
Nancy Oliver, Lars and the Real Girl

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood
Joel Coen and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men
Christopher Hampton, Atonement
Ronald Harwood, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Sarah Polley, Away From Her

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Persepolis
Ratatouille
Surf's Up

BEST ART DIRECTION
American Gangster
Atonement
The Golden Compass
Sweeney Todd
There Will Be Blood

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
The Assassination of Jesse James…
Atonement
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Across the Universe
Atonement
Elizabeth: The Golden Age
La Vie en Rose
Sweeney Todd

BEST DOCUMENTARY
No End in Sight
Operation Homecoming: Writing the Wartime Experience
Sicko
Taxi to the Dark Side
War/Dance

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT
Freeheld
La Corona (The Crown)
Salim Baba
Sari’s Mother

BEST EDITING
The Bourne Ultimatum
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into the Wild
No Country for Old Men
There Will Be Blood

BEST FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM
Beaufort (Israel)
The Counterfeiters (Austria)
Katyn (Poland)
Mongol (Kazakhstan)
12 (Russia)

BEST MAKEUP
La Vie en Rose
Norbit
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Atonement
The Kite Runner
Michael Clayton
Ratatouille
3:10 to Yuma

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
''Falling Slowly,'' Once
''Happy Working Song,'' Enchanted
''Raise It Up,'' August Rush
''So Close,'' Enchanted
''That's How You Know,'' Enchanted

BEST SOUND EDITING
The Bourne Ultimatum
No Country for Old Men
Ratatouille
There Will Be Blood
Transformers

BEST SOUND MIXING
The Bourne Ultimatum
No Country for Old Men
Ratatouille
3:10 to Yuma
Transformers

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
The Golden Compass
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End
Transformers

BEST ANIMATED SHORT
I Met the Walrus
Madame Tutli-Putli
Même Les Pigeons Vont au Paradis (Even Pigeons Go to Heaven)
My Love (Moya Lyubov)
Peter & the Wolf

BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT
At Night
Il Supplente (The Substitute)
Le Mozart des Pickpockets (The Mozart of Pickpockets)
Tanghi Argentini
The Tonto Woman

[PassingFair]

1. Jeez, if we need the tiebreaker...we've got some PRO's here!

Best Motion Picture of the Year

Atonement (2007): Tim Bevan, Eric Fellner, Paul Webster


Best Performance by an Actor in a Leading Role

Tommy Lee Jones for In the Valley of Elah (2007)


Best Performance by an Actress in a Leading Role

Julie Christie for Away from Her (2006)


Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role

Javier Bardem for No Country for Old Men (2007)


Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role

Cate Blanchett for I'm Not There. (2007)


Best Achievement in Directing

Ethan Coen, Joel Coen for No Country for Old Men (2007)


Best Writing, Screenplay Written Directly for the Screen

Juno (2007): Diablo Cody


Best Writing, Screenplay Based on Material Previously Produced or Published

Atonement (2007): Christopher Hampton


Best Achievement in Cinematography

Atonement (2007): Seamus McGarvey


Best Achievement in Editing

Into the Wild (2007): Jay Cassidy


Best Achievement in Art Direction

Atonement (2007): Sarah Greenwood, Katie Spencer


Best Achievement in Costume Design

Atonement (2007): Jacqueline Durran


Best Achievement in Makeup

Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (2007)


Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures, Original Score

3:10 to Yuma (2007): Marco Beltrami


Best Achievement in Music Written for Motion Pictures, Original Song

Enchanted (2007): Alan Menken, Stephen Schwartz("That's How You Know")


Best Achievement in Sound

3:10 to Yuma (2007): Paul Massey, David Giammarco, Jim Stuebe


Best Achievement in Sound Editing

Transformers (2007): Mike Hopkins, Ethan Van der Ryn


Best Achievement in Visual Effects

The Golden Compass (2007): Michael L. Fink, Bill Westenhofer, Ben Morris, Trevor Wood


Best Animated Feature Film of the Year

Ratatouille (2007): Brad Bird


Best Foreign Language Film of the Year

12 (2007)(Russia)


Best Documentary, Features

Sicko (2007): Michael Moore, Meghan O'Hara


Best Documentary, Short Subjects

Salim Baba (2008): Tim Sternberg, Francisco Bello


Best Short Film, Animated

I Met the Walrus (2007): Josh Raskin


Best Short Film, Live Action

Mozart des pickpockets, Le (2006): Philippe Pollet-Villard


TIEBREAKER: # of minutes the Oscar Ceremony will run over the scheduled time: 1


Thanks, BigWill, I'm printing this out so I can
follow along tomorrow night as my picks go down
in flames.

[Mike03]

2. My Predictions

BEST PICTURE

No Country for Old Men

BEST ACTOR

Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood


BEST ACTRESS

Julie Christie, Away From Her


BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men


BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Cate Blanchett, I'm Not There


BEST DIRECTOR

Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men


BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Tony Gilroy, Michael Clayton

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Joel Coen and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

Ratatouille

BEST ART DIRECTION

Sweeney Todd


BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

No Country for Old Men


BEST COSTUME DESIGN

Elizabeth: The Golden Age

BEST DOCUMENTARY

Sicko

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT

Freeheld
La Corona (The Crown)
Salim Baba
Sari’s Mother

BEST EDITING

There Will Be Blood

BEST FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM

Beaufort (Israel)

BEST MAKEUP

Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

Atonement
The Kite Runner
Michael Clayton
Ratatouille
3:10 to Yuma

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

''Falling Slowly,'' Once
''Happy Working Song,'' Enchanted
''Raise It Up,'' August Rush
''So Close,'' Enchanted
''That's How You Know,'' Enchanted

BEST SOUND EDITING

There Will Be Blood

BEST SOUND MIXING

No Country for Old Men


BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End

[Mike03]

3. I usually do pretty well at this. Is this the official thread or not? NT

[terrya]

4. My predictions:

"No Country for Old Men" will do VERY well tomorrow night. And I'm sticking with my choice for Best Documentary...Michael Moore will take home another Oscar.

Tie breaker: The telecast will end at 11:32PM EST.

BEST PICTURE
No Country for Old Men

BEST ACTOR
Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood

BEST ACTRESS
Julie Christie, Away From Her

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Ruby Dee, American Gangster

BEST DIRECTOR
Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Tony Gilroy, Michael Clayton

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Joel Coen and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Persepolis

BEST ART DIRECTION
Sweeney Todd

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
No Country for Old Men

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Sweeney Todd

BEST DOCUMENTARY
Sicko

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT
Freeheld

BEST EDITING
No Country for Old Men

BEST FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM
12 (Russia)

BEST MAKEUP
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Atonement

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
''That's How You Know,'' Enchanted

BEST SOUND EDITING
No Country for Old Men

BEST SOUND MIXING
No Country for Old Men

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
The Golden Compass

BEST ANIMATED SHORT
Peter & the Wolf

BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT
The Tonto Woman

[PassingFair]

5. kick n/t

[TheMightyFavog]

6. My Entries...

Tie-breaker questions is: What time will the ceremony end, EST -- 11:39 pm.

Have fun and Good Luck!

BEST PICTURE -- No Country for Old men

BEST ACTOR -- Daniel Day-Lewis

BEST ACTRESS -- Ellen Page

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR -- Javier Bardem

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS -- Cate Blanchett

BEST DIRECTOR -- Joel and Ethan Coen

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY -- Juno

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY -- There Will Be Blood

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE -- Persepolis

BEST ART DIRECTION -- Sweeney Todd

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY -- There Will Be Blood

BEST COSTUME DESIGN -- Sweeney Todd

BEST DOCUMENTARY -- Sicko

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT -- Freeheld

BEST EDITING -- No Country for Old Men

BEST FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM -- The Counterfeiters

BEST MAKEUP -- Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE -- Ratatouille

BEST ORIGINAL SONG -- ''Happy Working Song,'' Enchanted

BEST SOUND EDITING -- There Will Be Blood

BEST SOUND MIXING -- Raratouille

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS -- Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End

BEST ANIMATED SHORT -- Peter & the Wolf

BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT -- Le Mozart des Pickpockets

[Orsino]

7. Good Lord.

We've got a contested primary this year to go with our Oscars and march Madness.

It's the perfect storm on DU. We've hit *'s trifecta.

[NYdemocrat089]

8. My predictions:

BEST PICTURE
No Country for Old Men


BEST ACTOR
Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood


BEST ACTRESS
Ellen Page, Juno

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men


BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett, I'm Not There


BEST DIRECTOR
Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men


BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Diablo Cody, Juno


BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Joel Coen and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men


BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Ratatouille


BEST ART DIRECTION
Sweeney Todd


BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
No Country for Old Men


BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Elizabeth: The Golden Age


BEST DOCUMENTARY
No End in Sight


BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT
Sari’s Mother

BEST EDITING
There Will Be Blood

BEST FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM
12 (Russia)

BEST MAKEUP
La Vie en Rose


BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Atonement


BEST ORIGINAL SONG
''Raise It Up,'' August Rush


BEST SOUND EDITING
No Country for Old Men


BEST SOUND MIXING
No Country for Old Men


BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End


BEST ANIMATED SHORT
Peter & the Wolf

BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT
Le Mozart des Pickpockets (The Mozart of Pickpockets)

Tie: 11:03pm

[Scooter24]

9. My Predictions...

This isn't a tough year as others have been in the past, but nonetheless I finally settled on the following list of winners:


Tie breaker: The telecast will end at 10:42CST.

BEST PICTURE
No Country for Old Men

BEST ACTOR
Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood

BEST ACTRESS
Marion Cotillard, La Vie en Rose

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett, I'm Not There

BEST DIRECTOR
Joel and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Diablo Cody, Juno

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Joel Coen and Ethan Coen, No Country for Old Men

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Ratatouille

BEST ART DIRECTION
Atonement

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
There Will Be Blood

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Atonement

BEST DOCUMENTARY
No End In Sight

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT
Freeheld

BEST EDITING
The Bourne Ultimatum

BEST FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM
The Counterfeiters (Austria)

BEST MAKEUP
La Vie en Rose

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Atonement

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
"Falling Slowly" Once

BEST SOUND EDITING
The Bourne Ultimatum

BEST SOUND MIXING
The Bourne Ultimatum

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Transformers

BEST ANIMATED SHORT
I Met the Walrus

BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT
The Tonto Woman


There are a few "unsures"- Cate and Ruby for Best Supporting Actress is a nail-biter, but there is a lot of talk about Cate taking it.

If anyone has seen Atonement, then you know that it will win Best Costume Design. As is Piaf with the makeup in La Vie en Rose, great work all around.

[PassingFair]

10. kick n/t

[NashVegas]

11. okies

end time 11:08 EST.


BEST PICTURE
Juno

BEST ACTOR
Daniel Day-Lewis, There Will Be Blood


BEST ACTRESS
Marion Cotillard, La Vie en Rose

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Javier Bardem, No Country for Old Men

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Tilda Swinton, Michael Clayton

BEST DIRECTOR
Paul Thomas Anderson, There Will Be Blood

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Diablo Cody, Juno


BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Christopher Hampton, Atonement

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Persepolis

BEST ART DIRECTION
Sweeney Todd

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Atonement

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Elizabeth: The Golden Age

BEST DOCUMENTARY
Sicko

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT
Sari’s Mother

BEST EDITING
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly

BEST FOREIGN-LANGUAGE FILM
Beaufort (Israel)

BEST MAKEUP
Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Atonement

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
''Falling Slowly,'' Once

BEST SOUND EDITING
The Bourne Ultimatum

BEST SOUND MIXING
Transformers

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
The Golden Compass

BEST ANIMATED SHORT
My Love (Moya Lyubov)

BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT
Il Supplente (The Substitute)

[NashVegas]

12. A Kick for the Scragglers

..

[nytemare]

13. I predict a tie for Supporting Actress

Cate Blanchett and Tilda Swinton.

BP - No Country
Best Director - Coen Bros
Best Actor - Day Lewis
Actress - Marion Cotillard
Supporting Actor - Bardem
Orig. Screenplay - Tony Gilroy
Adapted Screenplay - Coens

[Scooter24]

14. My Scores---

I guessed 17 correctly, 7 incorrectly.

Correct:

Best Actor
Best Supporting Actor
Best Actress
Best Animated Feature Film
Best Cinematography
Best Director
Best Documentary Short Subject
Best Film Editing
Best Foreign Language Film
Best Makeup
Best Musical Score
Best Original Song
Best Sound Editing
Best Sound Mixing
Best Adapted Screenplay
Best Original Screenplay
Best Picture

Incorrect:

Best Supporting Actress
Best Art Direction
Best Costume Design
Best Documentary Feature
Best Animated Short Film
Best Live Action Short Film
Best Visual Effects

Not a bad year

And I was off by 8 minutes for the tie-braker :)