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What does this GDP graph seem to be trying to tell us?

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underpants Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-27-04 09:08 AM
Original message
What does this GDP graph seem to be trying to tell us?
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NoMoreRedInk Donating Member (237 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-27-04 09:10 AM
Response to Original message
1. That Q303 was an anomaly in an upward trending GDP curve?
Did I get it right?
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underpants Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-27-04 09:13 AM
Response to Reply #1
3. Bigger picture
Yes of course Q3 was an anomaly. There is growth sure but that was outside of the norm.

No I am looking for something on what the WHOLE graph looks like.
_|_
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Mika Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-27-04 09:12 AM
Response to Original message
2. That we should check our parachute straps?
n/t
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underpants Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-27-04 09:14 AM
Response to Reply #2
6. If that means what I think it does .....
as in "you are screwed" or "screw you" yes that is what I was going for.
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displacedtexan Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-27-04 09:13 AM
Response to Original message
4. Looks like they cheated.
That's what it looks like to me.
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sadiesworld Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-27-04 09:13 AM
Response to Original message
5. Even so...
isn't alot of the growth being spurred by government borrowing and military spending?
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trotsky Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-27-04 09:17 AM
Response to Reply #5
11. And all the people who refinanced.
Because of the rates being so low, a lot of people "cashed out" some equity to make purchases. You can be sure that contributed.
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Gman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-27-04 09:14 AM
Response to Original message
7. That there was an extremely excessive amount of military spending
in the 3rd q.
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sadiesworld Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-27-04 09:17 AM
Response to Reply #7
10. It is also my understanding (misunderstanding perhaps)...
that government borrowing is economic activity that registers as growth. No?
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Gman Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-27-04 09:42 AM
Response to Reply #10
18. I don't know but it wouldn't make a lot of sense to do that
since GDP is a measure of the total output of the country.
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Jackpine Radical Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-27-04 09:15 AM
Response to Original message
8. Too little data.
I suspect you think you see a peak at Q303 and the beginning of a slide thereafter. Well, maybe. On the other hand, all the data points except Q303 (a clear outlier) line up as a linear growth trend with a "beta" of about 0.6%.

I think in the long term the economy is unsustainable and we're in for rough times in maybe 1 to 3 years (and probably regardless of who's elected), but these data are irrelevant to that forecast.
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htuttle Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-27-04 09:16 AM
Response to Original message
9. The chart appears to be 'flipping us the bird'
How appropriate...
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underpants Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-27-04 09:25 AM
Response to Reply #9
14. Ding Ding Ding
We have a winner. The other responses are on the mark too.
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Jose Diablo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-27-04 09:22 AM
Response to Original message
12. Looks like debt masking as growth n/t
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kmla Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-27-04 09:23 AM
Response to Original message
13. Ummmm.... The economy got a shot of Viagra during Q3...
...due to the increase in whorish defense spending due this questionable war we are ensconced in...

That's just my take on it...
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Lefta Dissenter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-27-04 09:26 AM
Response to Original message
15. Well, it appears to be telling us
that we're f*cked!
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underpants Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-27-04 09:31 AM
Response to Reply #15
16. Love the smiley


Yes indeed it does.
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Lefta Dissenter Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Feb-27-04 09:34 AM
Response to Reply #16
17. and if bush is elected in November,
we're double-f*cked...
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