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dean4america Donating Member (390 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-03-03 04:34 PM
Original message
I don't get Kerry's comment today
In the article that has been mentioned already (the one about him crying in NH), it closed with Kerry stating that "Howard Dean's opposition to the war was wrong."

http://www.washingtonpost.com/ac2/wp-dyn/A20608-2003Sep3?language=printer

Can someone please unpack this quote and make any fucking sense out of it? All along I thought that Kerry's position/war vote was that he didn't support the way, and was therefore voting for the resolution to go the UN, etc.

But, if he outright says Dean was wrong to oppose the war, isn't that Kerry just being another damn politician trying to have it both ways?

I really WANT to understand his statement.
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virtualobserver Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-03-03 04:39 PM
Response to Original message
1. "quagmire" Kerry enabled Bush
and people are getting their legs blown off by the dozens every week.

Thanks for courageously giving Bush a blank check for war, Mr. Kerry.
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sandnsea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-03-03 04:42 PM
Response to Original message
2. Tough call
This is when I like to go hunt down the 'whole' interview when possible. I hate relying on articles to tell me what really happened, no matter what newspaper does the reporting.

Best I can say is he is referring back to 2002, when Dean came out against the war right away. It seems he is saying that holding Saddam accountable, even if war was necessary to do it, was the right thing. It's one quote among many, where he has said repeatedly that he wouldn't have gone in at that time, he would have let the inspections continue, he would have handled the whole Iraq situation differently. Always allowing war as a last resort. That's his consistent position.

Of course Howard Dean said that on occasion too, but he's painted himself as permanently anti-war on Iraq, no way to hold Saddam accountable, so he has to live with that. Not having any means to hold Saddam accountable seems to be what Kerry is criticizing.

But I'm sure everybody else will say Kerry is just a warmonger.
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DJcairo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-03-03 04:50 PM
Response to Original message
3. This is what Kerry believes
He's said in reference to Howard Dean's stance before, "Saying I told you so is not a policy." He wants Dean to explain what he would have done to confront Saddam's rejection of the UN inspectors for over four years.
The crying thing is very touching...it was not that Kerry was crying in the face of attacks on him or his family, it was that he was showing sympathy with the woman who was telling him. Clintonesque no doubt.
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Egnever Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-03-03 04:53 PM
Response to Reply #3
5. well then hes trying to have it both ways
Dean suported Biden lugar. Clearly a bill holding saddam acountable.
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Fabio Donating Member (929 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-04-03 01:57 PM
Response to Reply #5
24. Response
Senator Kerry also supported Biden Lugar, but that bill never made it to the Senate Floor, because certain leadership on the democratic side undercut the effort to tighten up the joint Senate House resolution. With respect to this argument, I think Professor Plum (a HD supporter) was very succint today. The link to that thread is:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/discuss/duboard.php?az=show_mesg&forum=108&topic_id=33125&mesg_id=33125

Another thing to keep in mind is that both Sens. Lugar and Biden voted for the IWR.
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w13rd0 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-03-03 04:52 PM
Response to Original message
4. Kerry is in many ways an acceptable candidate...
...but Kerry is wrong. Dean did not advocate "walking away" from Iraq. He emphasized that without proof (a trully credible case) for there being an imminent threat, we should have worked thru the UN. Thus, Kerry is wrong. Furthermore, he's as guilty of misrepresenting the position of others as many of his supporters have accused others of doing.
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DrFunkenstein Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-03-03 04:53 PM
Response to Original message
6. Why Don't You Use The Whole Quote?
"Howard Dean's opposition to the war was wrong," Kerry told reporters. "You can't just walk away. All along I said you had to hold Saddam Hussein accountable but do it right."

This is still chopped up, but it's a little easier to see what it means. At the time of the vote, Dean supported the idea of containment - that Iraq was already under enough scrutiny and was too weak to prove a threat. It wasn't until after UNMOVIC was on the ground more than a month later, that Dean came to see the need for vigorous disarmament with the threat of force.

I'm assuming that's what Kerry meant, but it'd be nice to have the whole thing.

PS - I was annoyed that the writer compared him to Edward Muskie, who cried from media scrutiny, instead of Clinton, who shed copious tears when feeling people's pain on the campaign trail.
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cherryperry Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-03-03 05:00 PM
Response to Reply #6
7. Has anyone told you that you're wonderful? ...
I mean today, that is!

(please don't flame me; I'll just wither and blow away if you do)

:hi:
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DrFunkenstein Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-03-03 05:03 PM
Response to Reply #7
8. Not Today! (lol)
Even if you're being sarcastic, I'll take it where I can get it.

:pals:

Gosh, I just love the hugging smilies!
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XanaDUer Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-03-03 05:22 PM
Response to Reply #7
10. I second that, DrF!
Edited on Wed Sep-03-03 05:23 PM by LibertyChick
No sarcasm.

Aren't things interesting when placed in context/fully quoted?
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Egnever Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-03-03 05:17 PM
Response to Reply #6
9. Hmmm
Sry Doc dean was damn consistent all the way through. And when unmovic hit the ground there was allready a credible threat of force in place.

Dean suported an invasion providing the proof was there to justify it, and screamed out that the proof wasnt there.

Kerry on the other hand thought the proof was there so he accepted the invasion.

Dean has never shifted.

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Cha Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-03-03 05:56 PM
Response to Reply #9
11. "Dean has never shifted"...but things are really getting Shifty
now! Amazing how it's being spun that Dean stance on Iraq was Wrong!

I guess we'll let the voters decide!
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polpilot Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-03-03 06:32 PM
Response to Reply #11
12. Polpilot's opposition to the 'sheperd bombing' was wrong. Anyone who
was intelligent enough to recognize that bombing innocents 10,000 miles from the U.S. after starving them to death for 11 years is wrong. John Kerry was right to promote the bombing and killing in Iraq. He's a warrior, he's a 'good man who wants to do good things'...and so is Chimpola!!

Dean '04...Smart enough not to kill
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DrFunkenstein Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-03-03 09:03 PM
Response to Reply #12
17. Kerry Was Calling For Ending Sanctions A Long Time Ago
Except for military aid.

PS - The "good man" comment was a response to a quote calling Bush a stupid frat boy.
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DrFunkenstein Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-03-03 09:05 PM
Response to Reply #9
18. How Many Dean People Think UNMOVIC Preceded The Vote?
"And when unmovic hit the ground there was allready a credible threat of force in place."

Yes, because Congress voted for the IWR!

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Egnever Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-04-03 03:04 AM
Response to Reply #18
20. Were you even paying atention?
Edited on Thu Sep-04-03 03:05 AM by Egnever
I am starting to think you were asleep when all this went down.

There were allready cariers in the region before the IWR with more on the way wich is why we had the vote in the first place. Bush was going ahead without even going to congress. The buildup was allready in motion before the vote ever came to the table.

Welcome to the ranks of revisionist history though.
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DrFunkenstein Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-04-03 02:40 PM
Response to Reply #20
28. You Didn't Answer My Question
US Military Builds Up Huge Attack Force

http://www.commondreams.org/headlines02/0913-01.htm

Now can you tell me when Hans Blix and UNMOVIC hit the ground? Let me give you a little reminder.

November 16, 2002

BAGHDAD - President Saddam Hussein told Iraq's parliament in a message broadcast on Saturday that he had decided to accept the terms of a harsh U.N. resolution to disarm to avert a U.S. attack.

In a letter addressed to parliament, Saddam said he had mulled the MPs' recommendation that Baghdad reject the resolution, but had chosen to allow the weapons inspectors back to undermine the United States and foil its plans for war.

Chief U.N. weapons inspector Hans Blix said in Paris on Saturday that the inspections will begin on November 27, and warned Saddam to disclose all his weapons of mass destruction.

http://www.commondreams.org/headlines02/1116-06.htm
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Egnever Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-04-03 03:19 PM
Response to Reply #28
30. thanks for making my point!
from your article

"The establishment of command posts and the pre-positioning of heavy equipment in the region over the past year have put central command (CENTCOM) in a position to launch a strike on Baghdad within a fortnight of the order being given, if it is decided to mount the operation with a fast and light force of 50,000. There are about 30,000 American troops in the region already."

Yet according to you all of that didnt start till after the inspectors were on the ground.

This president was telegraphing his intent to go to war long before the IWR or any inspectors ever got there.

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Devils Advocate NZ Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-03-03 07:11 PM
Response to Reply #6
14. Hmm... that makes sense...
Howard Dean's opposition to the war was wrong... You can't just walk away

means

At the time of the vote, Dean supported the idea of containment - that Iraq was already under enough scrutiny and was too weak to prove a threat. It wasn't until after UNMOVIC was on the ground more than a month later, that Dean came to see the need for vigorous disarmament with the threat of force

Yep, I see. "You can't just walk away" is code for "advocating containment until a clear threat is proven was wrong".

Why would I think anything different? Silly me.
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DrFunkenstein Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-03-03 08:59 PM
Response to Reply #14
16. How Are You Going To Prove There's No Threat Without Inspectors?
n/t
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ProfessorPlum Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-04-03 06:45 AM
Response to Reply #6
21. I don't think that either Kerry or Dean
would oppose actually finding out what the real threat is before they invade.

Slice it as Kerry will, though, we invaded without proof, and that is what Dean objected to. Without proof, what keeps us from demonizing and invading/occupying any country?

I really wish Kerry would back off of Iraq. The issue is a loser for him until he admits that his support of the invasion was a mistake and moves on from there. As the situation becomes more and more costly in lives and money, and as people wake up to realize that the only "benefit" is that Saddam is not officialy in power (the only benefit that isn't one to Halliburton or Bechtel), they are going to have more and more buyer's remorse.

Kerry can distinguish himself from Dean on a number of other fronts - it is a strategic mistake to still cling to support of Bush's war as a way to knock Dean. Kerry stepped through the minefield of IWR and the war with political nimbleness, ready to attack Bush's approach to war and the actual war on the other side. It was a different strategy from Dean's, but played intelligently could still work. Attacking Dean for wanting proof of the threat is not smart.
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Nicholas_J Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-04-03 12:55 PM
Response to Reply #21
22. This issue is a winner
As very late polls show that the swing vote totally supports what has and is happening in Iraq, and the largest percentage of this swing vote comes from Hispanic, Black, and Blue Collar voters, and this is a segment of the population that Kerry is stronger in attracting than Dean. Kerry is going to make Deans early label as the Anti-War candidate stick with this group, which is again, why Dean supporters are stating it is a loser. They want attention diverrted gfron Denas shifting record on the issue. No matter what Deans supporters state about hsi support of Biden-Lugar and such, it is easy to remind the public of Deans label as "ANTI-WAR" and Dean allowed that label to be held while it was convenient to him. Kerry is simply going to do everything to keep Dean from shaking it off.
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ProfessorPlum Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-04-03 12:57 PM
Response to Reply #22
23. _MORE_ demographic fantasies from you?
Link, please.

and being anti-this-war is going to be seen as wiser and wiser every day.
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Nicholas_J Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-03-03 06:41 PM
Response to Original message
13. Dean has changed his statements about the war
Edited on Wed Sep-03-03 06:51 PM by Nicholas_J
A number of times.

While it was inporttant to be considered the Anti-War candidate, he said one thing, but as ity was becoming apparent that most Americans supported the war, Dean had to shift his stance and make statements like this:

Salon: On the campaign trail with the un-Bush
Salon (possibly in its death throes) pulls out a terrific profile of Howard Dean, the horse I'm backing for the Democratic nomination.

I have been concerned about his foreign policy stance. He's distinguished himself as the most anti-war candidate extant. But let's see how he says he would do it:

"s I've said about eight times today," he says, annoyed -- that Saddam must be disarmed, but with a multilateral force under the auspices of the United Nations. If the U.N. in the end chooses not to enforce its own resolutions, then the U.S. should give Saddam 30 to 60 days to disarm, and if he doesn't, unilateral action is a regrettable, but unavoidable, choice.
Easy to say at this late date, but imagine if we'd gone to the UN in September with a timetable, backed with a clear threat of unilateral action. I think things would have gone rather differently.

Posted by howard at February 20, 2003 11:45 PM

http://www.howardsmusings.com/2003/02/20/salon_on_the_campaign_trail_with_the_unbush.html

Though it comes from National Review, a conservative journal founded by William F. Buckley, and noted for its intellectual honesty due o Buckleys influence this is a list of Deans changes in his statements on the war in Iraq by Dean over a mere four day period:

What's up with Howard Dean?
Let me start by saying that I would not be criticizing Dean if he had not publicly criticized John Edwards and other Democratic candidates by name. However, given that he's started it, I think we need to drive Dean out of the primaries by showing him that the game goes both way. If you can give it, you can take it.

It seems I'm not the only one who's starting to wonder what Howard Dean is thinking. First he starts right off negative campaigning against the other Democratic candidates, something the rest have tried hard to avoid. Then he keeps shifting his own positions on issues depending on who he's talking to, and at the same time publicly accuses other candidates of doing the same thing, when they are not. He later apologizes for these accusations, admitting he did not actually hear what they said, and was merely speculating what he thought they might say. Then he keeps right on accusing them of the same thing.

I would not normally cite the National Review, as they are definitely not known for fair and balanced reporting, but Jim Geraghty has the most complete list of Dean's recent statements on Iraq, and why some describe him as incoherent:



On January 31, Dean told Ron Brownstein of the Los Angeles Times that "if Bush presents what he considered to be persuasive evidence that Iraq still had weapons of mass destruction, he would support military action, even without U.N. authorization."

And then on Feb. 20, Dean told Salon.com that "if the U.N. in the end chooses not to enforce its own resolutions, then the U.S. should give Saddam 30 to 60 days to disarm, and if he doesn't, unilateral action is a regrettable, but unavoidable, choice."

But a day later, he told the Associated Press that he would not support sending U.S. troops to Iraq unless the United Nations specifically approves the move and backs it with action of its own. "They have to send troops," he said.

Four days later on PBS's News Hour with Jim Lehrer, Dean said United Nations authorization was a prerequisite for war. "We need to respect the legal rights that are involved here," Dean said. "Unless they are an imminent threat, we do not have a legal right, in my view, to attack them."

One Democrat, who is already supporting another candidate, is baffled that Dean is attempting to earn a reputation for principled views, labeling the former governor as "incoherent."

"Here's a guy posing as a McCainiac, but talking out of both sides of his mouth," the Democrat said.


http://www.topdog04.com/000071.html

The real problem with Dean is that he is beginning to finally appear to the media to be the political opportunist that most people in Vermont know he is:



Vermonters have been know to chuckle at the presentation of Dean in the media as a liberal for months and months but they also refer to being used to Dean playing that way:




Many back in Vermont have shrugged their shoulders as they’ve watched Dean allow himself to be cast as a liberal. They know it’s not the first time politicians have miscalculated his political leanings.

Dean served in the Vermont House for four years and was in the midst of his third term as lieutenant governor in 1991 when the incumbent governor, a Republican, died.

The state was in a fiscal crisis at the time, working its way out of the biggest budget deficit in its history. Then-Gov. Richard Snelling had pushed a series of temporary tax increases and budget cuts through the Legislature and Dean took up that austerity plan as his own.

To the anger of more liberal members of his own party, he insisted that the tax increases be rolled back on schedule and then went on to work for additional tax cuts later in his tenure.

http://premium1.fosters.com/2003/news/may%5F03/may%5F19/news/reg%5Fvt0519a.asp



State residents see a new Dean in presidential race

Auditor: He was a moderate as governor
By ELIZABETH MEHREN and MARK Z. BARABAK
Los Angeles Times



SOUTH BURLINGTON, Vt. - As Vermont governor, Howard Dean was known as a buttoned-down and bottom-line chief executive. He fought higher taxes, cut programs over the cries of fellow Democrats and often sided with business when the choice was jobs versus the environment.

Which explains why many people back home scarcely recognize Howard Dean the presidential candidate, who has stirred liberals across the country with his blunt talk and passionate antiwar speeches.

"A lot of us laugh and say, 'Howard, we hardly knew you,' " said Elizabeth Ready, the state auditor and a liberal Democrat. Added Bob Sherman, a Democratic lobbyist, "The Howard Dean I see running for president is a lot different than the Howard Dean who . . . governed Vermont. He was a moderate."

http://www.cmonitor.com/stories/news/recent2003/0713%5Fdeanvermont%5F2003.shtml


Howard Dean: the Progressive Anti-War Candidate?
Some Vermonters Give Their Views
By DONNA BISTER, MARC ESTRIN
and RON JACOBS

Howard Dean the liberal, anti-war candidate? The laughter rings most loudly in Vermont.

As Dean's candidacy caught fire over the summer, a number of articles have appeared on the net examining his history and current stance on important national and international issues. They all point to a Clintonesque Republicrat whose stances are not far from that of the current administration....

I know that a lot of you are going to vote for Dean -- he talks a good game; he can be charismatic and charming. But I'm warning you. This man will tell you what you want to hear, or at least tell you something that has some little kernel of something that you can interpret as support for the things that are important to you. But when the time comes to stand up and lead on the issue, to take on the money interests and backsliders in his own party, that stiff little spine will turn into a slinky.

If you vote for him, it's your job to stand behind him with a poker and keep him headed in the right direction. Don't give him any honeymoon period, either--keep the pressure on from the second you drop that ballot in the box. The minute you relax, he's going to turn right back into what he really is...a privileged, arrogant, middle of the road republican. Put your political energy into getting some truly progressive folks into the House and Senate, and into State legislatures around the country so that there will be more pressure from more directions. We need to get together our sophisticated progressive thinkers to develop policy ideas in every area, so that we're ready with real, well-thought out counter-proposals for the incremental changes a Dean administration might put forth. If you feel you must, support Dean, do--but then go do the work necessary to make real change.

Ron Jacobs, Donna Bister and Marc Estrin comprise the OLD NORTH END RAG collective. The RAG is an agitational community newspaper serving the Old North End of Burlington, Vermont. This neighborhood is a primarily working class section of Vermonts largest city that has a history of political activism.


http://www.counterpunch.org/jacobs08292003.html



He is champing at the bit to go after Dean at ths point, but must wait until other events occur, which will be unfloded until latre in this month or early October. That is what is behind Kerry's statements about the war in Iraq. The latest Ipsos/Cook polls show that most Americans swing voters support the war with Iraq, and now only fault Bush for the economy.

Ipsos/Cook Political Report Poll: Swing Voters For 2004 Presidential Election Believe Iraq Was Worth Fighting, But Doubt Bush’s Evidence About Weapons Of Mass Destruction And Doubt Bush’s Economic Plan

Democratic Presidential Candidates Succeed In Raising Doubts About U.S. Political Leadership


Category: US Public Opinion
Location: United States
© Ipsos-Reid
Public Release Date: July 28, 2003

Between July 8-10, 2003, and July 22-24, 2003, Ipsos-Public Affairs interviewed for the Cook Political Report a representative sample of 2,000 adult Americans nationwide, including 1,520 registered voters. The margin of error for the combined surveys is ± 2.2% for all adults, ± 2.5% for registered voters.

Washington, D.C. — In interviews with 1,520 registered voters conducted July 8-10, 2003, and July 22-24, 2003, the Ipsos-Public Affairs/Cook Political Report Poll finds the 2004 Presidential election taking shape as a key group of swing voters emerge. These swing voters:


Believe that the war with Iraq was worth fighting;
Believe the Bush Administration intentionally exaggerated its evidence that Iraq has weapons of mass destruction; and,
Are extremely negative about Bush’s handling of the economy and other domestic issues.

http://www.ipsos-reid.com/media/dsp_displaypr_us.cfm?id_to_view=1873

The closer to the primaries that Dean can be hit with something really dirty, the more likely the public will be to remember it when they go into the voting booths.

So Kerry now must go back and keep repeating that Dean opposed the war in Iraq, and keep repeating it, and make it stick, that Dean originally opposed the war and that later coming out to try to modify that view was an after thought based on political opportunism...

You will hear Kerry repeat angrily, Dean was wrong to oppose the war, as most Americans being polled believe it was worth fighting and only
are bothered by the exageration on WMDs and the economy. What Kerry will begin to do is prevent Dean from trying to worm his way out of the ANTI-WAR candidate status he so eagerly sought to wear while the war protesters were out and swinging.

It is necessary to keep reminding people that Dean opposed the war, Dean opposed the war, to a bunch of people who beleive that the war should have been fought. This is a relatively large poll, with a very small margin of error.
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sandnsea Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-03-03 07:17 PM
Response to Reply #13
15. You're a real fighter!
I'll just leave it at that. ;)
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RevolutionStartsNow Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-04-03 02:17 PM
Response to Reply #13
26. Dean was right about the war
But then if you are right and Dean just changes his stance to get votes, surely he will read this Ipsos-Reid poll and change his stance again! Can't wait for that!

<can't do a sarcasm smiley on my sidekick, but you get the idea>

Also, enough with the "Donna, Mark and Ron" article. A Green, a non-voter, and third who thinks Dean is a Republican. Hardly mainstream.
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Nicholas_J Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-05-03 12:25 AM
Response to Reply #26
38. Actually
Dean is in a dilemma now. If he changes his stance again, on either repealing the tax cuts, which since Kerry announced his full ecoomic plans has been floating around in Dean La La land, the media ids going to jump hi as a political opportunist.

All of us who oppose Dean are just waiting for him to start waffling on his Iraq stance as it becomes more apparent that to get the swing vote he is going to have to do so.

If he "evolves one more time" the press are goin to turn him into an evolutionary dead-end.
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Nicholas_J Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-05-03 12:36 AM
Response to Reply #26
39. How about
Edited on Fri Sep-05-03 12:38 AM by Nicholas_J
Indeed, as Norman Solomon observes, there's a real disconnect between Dean's media image and his record.


"But the Democratic Leadership Council need not despair. Most of the nation's political journalists, including pro-Democrat pundits, insist that the party should not nominate someone too far 'left' -- which usually means anybody who's appreciably more progressive than the DLC. That bias helps to account for the frequent mislabeling of Howard Dean, the former Vermont governor who has risen to the top tier of contenders for the 2004 Democratic presidential nomination.
After Dean officially announced his campaign on June 23, some news stories identified him with the left. It's a case of mistaken identity. 'He's really a classic Rockefeller Republican -- a fiscal conservative and social liberal,' according to University of Vermont political scientist Garrison Nelson."

http://www.motherjones.com/news/dailymojo/2003/27/we_473_02.html#one

Dean isnt even mainstream..he is plain vanilla conservative, both socially and fiscally.


As the media lets out more and more of Deans record in Vermont which was highly conservative, especially as they are more likely to talk to Vermont Dem leaders about him than Vermont Republican leaders, Deans less then sterling democratic credentials will work against him among those people who are NOT among the Internet or College crowd, Deans largest group of supporters. Deans bringing in of Large Agribusiness and resultant loss of 36 percent of small family farms is know by journalists in Iowa, but they always wait until later in the campaign season to report such stuff and that will KILL Dean in Iowa.

Dean record as a fiscal conservative and social liberal will gain him little support among average latinos who the annual Hispanic polls show Liberman with 4 time the suport and Kerry 3 times the support among latino's over Dean. Late polls report that this is exactly the latino swing vote profile which is fiscally progressive, socially conservative.

Dean can only get away with so much waffling during the last few months before the promaries when the 70 percent of the population who cannot name a candidatecstart paying attention. The media is fully prepared to reming them of all of the changes Dean has made during his campaign. And they will.

The swing voters OVERWHELMINGLY support the war, according to most polls. and the swing vote is what democrat must get in 2004 in order to win.

Deans early campaigning is ging to haunt him for the next five months.
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RevolutionStartsNow Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-05-03 01:24 AM
Response to Reply #39
40. Funny, that...
you've said numerous times that Dean is finished, Dean is plummeting, Dean is done...Meanwhile his support continues to grow.

So whatever. I guess time will tell.

I certainly don't think Dean has anything locked up, not with so many undecided and so many people not even recognizing any of the candidates, but Dean is going up, not down. He may lose a few (to Kucinich, not Kerry, IMO) who thought he was a liberal savior, but at the same time he keeps gaining new supporters and new endorsements.

It's early, but it does look like this will come down to Dean and Kerry.

Kerry did well in the debate tonight, I thought. He's very articulate.
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burr Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Sep-03-03 10:09 PM
Response to Original message
19. Much of his statement was nice...
but the part on Dean was off...
<snip>
Kerry, who voted in the U.S. Senate for the war in Iraq but has since criticized Bush's handling of it, has taken political heat for trying to have it both ways, especially from Dean, who was against the war from the start.

"Howard Dean's opposition to the war was wrong," Kerry told reporters. "You can't just walk away. All along I said you had to hold Saddam Hussein accountable but do it right."
<snip>


Dean's opposition to the war isn't about holding Hussein accountable, but holding this adminstration accountable. Unlike Kerry, Dean did not walk away...because he never supported the invasion of Iraq to begin with. It is Kerry who must either justify his support for not holding this adminstration accountable when going to war, or now walking away from his original support of this adminstration in war.
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Fabio Donating Member (929 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-04-03 02:11 PM
Response to Original message
25. JK calling "opposing the war was wrong"
In my opinion, JK is saying that HD publicly offered no solution (at least early on) on how to hold Saddam Hussein accountable. As a leader who has spent many years trying to reinforce the strength of multinational institutions like the UN, JK believes that not holding Saddam Hussein accountable for kicking out inspectors was undermining the validity of the UN and its various resolutions - the very institutions the Bush seeks to undermine. In his mind, I believe, this is a threat to world stability.

Many of us know that, in fact, Howard Dean offers roughly the same solution as Senator Kerry -- Agreeing with the thrust of Biden Lugar, and that he basically wanted to draw out the process of inspections and build up an international coalition. Again, like Kerry.

So, conversely, I think JK might also be saying that HD was being intellectually dishonest when he leveraged the mantle of anti-war in Feb thru July -- there by implying no accountability for Saddam, because his "prescription" for Iraq's ills included the possible use of force. Certainly, saying that Kerry supported Bush's 'unilateralist' war is wrong at best. Read JK's Oct 9 speech to be sure.

At the end of the day, JK and HD have views on the war as similar as Gephardt and Lieberman have with each other.

My final point is this, which has been echoed on this board many times: The IWR vote was designed by GOP to be a political WMD for the democratics - and it has done just that -- divided the party. Anyone who reads DU sees that every day. And everyone knows, or should know, the President of the United States, as commander in chief, has the inherent authority to go to war -- indeed, we have been bombing Iraq weekly for over 12 years. For better or worse.
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ProfessorPlum Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-04-03 02:51 PM
Response to Reply #25
29. Kerry disagrees with you
"Certainly, saying that Kerry supported Bush's 'unilateralist' war is wrong at best."

From the May 4th Democratic convention:

GEORGE STEPHANOPOULOS:
. . . On March 19th, President Bush ordered General Tommy Franks to execute the invasion of Iraq. Was that the right decision at the right time?

SENATOR JOHN KERRY:
George, I said at the time I would have preferred if we had given diplomacy a greater opportunity, but I think it was the right decision to disarm Saddam Hussein, and when the President made the decision, I supported him, and I support the fact that we did disarm him.
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Egnever Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-04-03 03:21 PM
Response to Reply #29
31. Hahahah!
"I support the fact that we did disarm him"


Oh we did? What exactly did we disarm? unless hes talking about maybe tearing his arms off I have no clue what hes talking about.
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Fabio Donating Member (929 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-04-03 03:30 PM
Response to Reply #29
32. Sorry, I disagree.

1) JK saying he supports the president at a time of war is standard fair, especially for a veteran.

2) Kerry has supported disarmenant of Saddam Hussein since 1998 (actually before). But to suggest that he agreed with the president's approach to war/disarmenant is a mischaracterization.
Kerry here is agreeing with the ends, but not the means.

From the October 9th Speech on the Senate Floor, on the eve of his vote.

{snip}

Mr. President, I will be voting to give the President of the United States the authority to use force - if necessary - to disarm Saddam Hussein because I believe that a deadly arsenal of weapons of mass destruction in his hands is a real and grave threat to our security and that of our allies in the Persian Gulf region. And I will vote "yes" because on the question of how best to hold Saddam Hussein accountable, the Administration, including the President, recognizes that war must be our last option to address this threat, not the first, and that we should be acting in concert with allies around the globe to make the world's case against Saddam Hussein. As the President made clear earlier this week, "Approving this resolution does not mean that military action is imminent or unavoidable." It means that "America speaks with one voice."

Let me be clear: I am voting to give this authority to the President for one reason and one reason only: to disarm Iraq of weapons of mass destruction if we cannot accomplish that objective through new tough weapons inspections. In giving the President this authority, I expect him to fulfill the commitments he has made to the American people in recent days - to work with the United Nations Security Council to adopt a new resolution setting out "tough, immediate" inspections requirements and to "act with our allies at our side" if we have to disarm Saddam Hussein by force.

If he fails to do so, I will be the first to speak out.

..End..

From Georgetown Foreign Policy Speech, Feb 2003.

The debate over how the United States should conduct itself in the world is not new.

After all, what is today's unilateralism but the right's old isolationist impulse in modern guise? At its core is a familiar and beguiling illusion: that America can escape an entangling world...that we can wield our enormous power without incurring obligations to others...and that we can pursue our national interests in arrogant ways that make a mockery of our nation's ideals.

I am here today to reject the narrow vision of those who would build walls to keep the world out, or who would prefer to strike out on our own instead of forging coalitions and step by step creating a new world of law and mutual security.

I believe the Bush Administration's blustering unilateralism is wrong, and even dangerous, for our country. In practice, it has meant alienating our long-time friends and allies, alarming potential foes and spreading anti-Americanism around the world.

{snip}

The Bush Administration has a plan for waging war but no plan for winning the peace. It has invested mightily in the tools of destruction but meagerly in the tools of peaceful construction. It offers the peoples in the greater Middle East retribution and war but little hope for liberty and prosperity.

{snip}

I have no doubt of the outcome of war itself should it be necessary. We will win. But what matters is not just what we win but what we lose. We need to make certain that we have not unnecessarily twisted so many arms, created so many reluctant partners, abused the trust of Congress, or strained so many relations, that the longer term and more immediate vital war on terror is made more difficult. And we should be particularly concerned that we do not go alone or essentially alone if we can avoid it, because the complications and costs of post-war Iraq would be far better managed and shared with United Nation's participation. And, while American security must never be ceded to any institution or to another institution's decision, I say to the President, show respect for the process of international diplomacy because it is not only right, it can make America stronger - and show the world some appropriate patience in building a genuine coalition. Mr. President, do not rush to war.

..End..

Hard as I try, when I look at the words that JK has spoken on Iraq, from October, February, and more recently, I find JK's position not only to be incredibly consistent, but also incredibly precient.
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ProfessorPlum Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-04-03 04:04 PM
Response to Reply #32
33. I've been studying Kerry's statement on Iraq too
and if he was really consistent with what he said in October, he would have demanded that Bush stop the invasion based on what we knew when the invasion started. Instead, he criticized the way Bush got us into the war, but not the war itself.

He's got to find a way to get himself out of this issue before he digs himself a deeper and deeper hole.
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Fabio Donating Member (929 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-04-03 06:01 PM
Response to Reply #33
34. I think we agree...
JK is criticizing the means but not the specific "end result" of no saddam hussein, which is consistent with his 1998 stance.

Still, on this board, I often get the feeling that naysayers believe that JK was on board with the Bush Administration and not an advocate of controlling it. In fact, that is totally wrong. Many democrats in Senate, by defination in a position of weakness because of their minority position, fought hard to get what restrictions on IWR we did (ie a promise to go to the UN for a new resolution) It also pains me to hear people say he had no conscience about it -- it was a heartwrenching decision for him. I know this.

Nonetheless, i appreciate the discourse we are having and agree that, at least in the primary season, its a losing issue for him. What's frustrating is that I truly believe his judgements on the war reflect the feelings of the vast majority of americans -- ie we needed to hold SH accountable, with a credible use of force, and if we do go to war, and international coalition and burden sharing was a must. But parliamentary procedure and the simplistic nature of our media doesn't allow for a man to feel torn by his decision.

Certainly, John Kerry could have be the "phoenix rising" anti-war candidate in this cycle and Howard Dean would have most likely never taken off. But I believe JK was acting in accordance with what he thought were the long term interests of the US.
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renie408 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-05-03 11:54 AM
Response to Reply #33
43. Stop justifying his decision
He has to shut up. That's the way out. The more he talks, the more trouble he gets himself into. He needs to say, "I voted for an authorization for the President to use force at his discretion based on the wording of the authorization and the information I was given at the time. The manner in which that authorization was put into action was premature and poorly planned. Now we must do our best to insure a positive outcome both for Iraq and for the US." Then he needs to outline how to GO FORWARD. He needs to stop trying to mitigate his vote and get on with it. If he gets questioned about fleshing out the above quote, he should sigh, look weary and say, "I have answered this many times, it is now time to move FORWARD." Bush (and not much of anybody else that I can tell) has a real good idea about how to dig us out of the hole we are in in Iraq. How we got there is of interest, but how the hell we get out without getting anybody else killed or leaving behind another Afghanistan is a little more to the point.
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Fabio Donating Member (929 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-05-03 12:20 PM
Response to Reply #43
46. Why?
I agree with his decision. But I also agree that it's almost impossible to explain through the media.
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renie408 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-05-03 01:36 PM
Response to Reply #46
47. The more he 'expains' it,
the more he is giving fuel to the accusation that he is hedging his bets. And the more time he spends explaining his choice, the more credence he lends to the view that he did something wrong and sort of knows it and feels he needs to explain it. It seems to support the opinion that he is trying to have it both ways. And even if, when given the full scope of his comments on the war, an unbiased person would realize that he is NOT trying to have it both ways, there are damn few unbiased people out there. He isn't explaining this stuff to the people who already believe in him, but to the ones that don't. Amongst them are going to be both pro-Iraq and anti-war feelings. For the people who are anti-war, no explanation is going to satisfy them and any attempt appears smarmy and weak. For people who feel the action was justified, his comments can be interpreted as weak and compromising.
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Dhalgren Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-04-03 02:28 PM
Response to Original message
27. Sorry, but if Kerry thinks
that he can somehow make a case that supporting Bush's oil war was the right thing to do, then he is going nowhere. He had the right angle early on with the "I was lied to" bit, but this "spin" of saying we somehow had to hold Saddam accountable for weapons that he didn't have just doesn't work - makes no sense.
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jbw121 Donating Member (14 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-04-03 06:07 PM
Response to Reply #27
35. iraq
At least John Kerry has a clear and sophisticated position.

I also think it's clear that if there is one thing that Bush and Dean are running on it's the past. This election ought to be about the future.
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jbw121 Donating Member (14 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-04-03 06:07 PM
Response to Reply #27
36. iraq
At least John Kerry has a clear and sophisticated position.

I also think it's clear that if there is one thing that Bush and Dean are running on it's the past. This election ought to be about the future.
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copithorne Donating Member (551 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Thu Sep-04-03 07:14 PM
Response to Reply #36
37. Kerry thinks my opposition to the war is wrong too, I suppose.
I don't get it and I don't like it.

Kerry says we went to war to eliminate the threat from Saddam's WMD.

Uh, John, in order for that position to be validated Saddam would need to have had WMD. It turns out he didn't.

I took the time to watch Kerry's announcement speech. Great stuff -- I thought he did a good job, would make a good president and had good policy proposals. But I won't support him in the primaries because I still can't figure out his position on this war.

Or, I can figure out his position: he supports the war but believes it should have been done it better. I flatly disagree. This war is an obvious disaster with no redeeming virtue. I would prefer a president with better judgment.

Clearly "walking away" would have been a far better option for us.
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ProfessorPlum Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-05-03 06:25 AM
Response to Reply #37
41. that summarizes my feelings exactly
thanks .
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NewYorkerfromMass Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-05-03 11:34 AM
Response to Reply #37
42. Kerry and McCain are very close in their views on Iraq
to simplify, McCain wanted, no matter the outcome of a shooting war vs "not a shot fired" standoff, McCain wanted a solid, united, stand against Iraq/Hussein. He wanted disarmament, he wanted inspections. McCain didn't want soldiers sent into harms way anymore than Kerry.
McCain didn't get what he wanted- just like Kerry.
I don't know what Dean wanted, but "walking away" was NOT an option.
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ProfessorPlum Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-05-03 11:58 AM
Response to Reply #42
44. First of all, walking away would have apparently been just as smart
an option, since Hussein was, from all evidence, just as harmless to us as he could be. So, leaving sleeping dogs lie would have been just fine (and less of a danger, actually, since now we have beaten the Islamic hornet's nest with a stick). Another apt analogy? "Don't stir the shit".

Secondly, that was never Dean's position anyway - his position prior to the war was essentially the same as Kerry's (and if what you say is true, McCain's). Only once the war started (with no more proof of threat then we had before) did Dean oppose the invasion, while Kerry supported it, albeit with reservations on how it was brought about.

Don't bring that tired "walking away" garbage around here.
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killbotfactory Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Fri Sep-05-03 12:11 PM
Response to Original message
45. Kerry is wrong.
Invading a country without proof of a threat is wrong.
Invaidng a country without any plan on how to leave is wrong.
You do not invade countries on a fucking hunch that they are up to no good. Right now I'm cursing like a sailor at Kerry. Screw him.
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