OK, when will one of the 10 candidates have 1700+ delegates locked in?

[ed_vadem]

this IMHO this could (or should)) be the first brokered Democratic National Convention since whenever.

I.E there might not be a nominee on the 1st ballot in July 2004 at the Fleet Center on Wedneday night. If a 2nd ballot is held, it will be one of the most interesting nights in a long time

What is YOUR choice of the following

NOTE My guess is there will be 3500 voting delegates and 1700 will be needed on the fist ballot.

[arcos]

1. huh?

[burr]

2. I pick the top three and the bottom two...

was this a recall poll? :wtf:

[ed_vadem]

3. i was editing replies

..

[burr]

5. I see...

if we don't have a likely nominee by March, we will certainly have one by June!

[blackcat77]

4. I think it will be resolved at the convention

Between Gephardt, Dean and Clark. Two of them will get together and oust the other for a majority, but I'm not sure which two yet, let alone who the nominee will be.

[tsipple]

6. I Believe The Magic Number is 2149

That's 50% plus 1 of the voting delegates, if I'm not mistaken.

[Brucey]

7. I think we will have a nominee by June.

Earlier than that will be difficult with so many in the field.

[tsipple]

8. Media Climate Not Favorable to That

Enormous pressure for trailing candidate to drop out, and the money dries up fast. June is way too late, IMHO.

[Brucey]

10. Yes, you might be right afterall.

[RUMMYisFROSTED]

9. Middle of March.

• 3/02: Super Tuesday (Much of the NE, New York, and California)
• 3/09: Super Tuesday, (Florida, Texas, and the South)

[goobergunch]

11. After Super Tuesday

If we don't have one by after 9 March, then it'll be a brokered convention.