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displacedyankeedem Donating Member (538 posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-12-03 05:32 PM
Original message
Redistricting In Our Favor????
There may be a way that Democrats could take back the House fairly quickly. The way it could happen is that the SCOTUS has a redistricting case in it's hands right now concerning the US House Districts that were drawn in Pennsylvania. It gives the Republicans a 12-7 advantage when in reality it should be roughly 10-9 Democratic at least. If the SC was to rule that the partisan balance of House seats should be representative of that state, then it could be a bonanza for Deomcrats in the following states.

Pennsylvania (+ 3-4 seats)
Michigan (+ 2-3 seats)
Ohio (+ 2-3 seats)
Florida (+ 4-5 seats)
Illinois (+ 2-3 seats)

More than enough to vault us back in.....can you say House Speaker Pelosi??????

Plus the CO and TX plans would be thrown out(bye by Bob Beauprez!).
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Noordam Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-12-03 05:37 PM
Response to Original message
1. INteresting but I do not think
the SCOTUS would be that nice to the Dems...
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goobergunch Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-12-03 06:08 PM
Response to Reply #1
3. They accepted the case...
that means at least 4 judges must have wanted to take it. Since this case (Vieth vs. Jubilerer) in effect revisits the Bandemer standard, it stands to reason that at least 4 judges want to take a serious look at Bandemer.
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mndemocrat_29 Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-12-03 06:07 PM
Response to Original message
2. It would be a really great idea
But I doubt the Supreme Court would do that for us.

We should all have districts like Iowa's.

Also, we'd probably pick up some seats in New Mexico and possibly New York.
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NewJerseyDem Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-12-03 06:32 PM
Response to Original message
4. That will never happen
That doesn't make any sense. Why would the plan have to represent the parties. That is just a ridiculous argument. That is the argument of the REPUBLICANS. The Texas plan would have to be supported by the court if they supported the Democrats in Pennsylvania. The Supreme Court isn't going to overturn any redistricting plan. It is very reluctant to do that.
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Frodo Donating Member (1000+ posts) Send PM | Profile | Ignore Wed Nov-12-03 07:18 PM
Response to Reply #4
5. Absolutely correct.
Edited on Wed Nov-12-03 07:20 PM by Frodo
Just as importantly, do we really think the SC would just order that states with Democratic majorities would get redrawn? Right now (at best) this nation is 50/50. An equal number of districts would probably get redrawn for them as for us.

Weren't the lines in PA drawn with a Repuglican house, senate and Governor? I'm not sure we can claim it is so clearly a Democratic state quite yet.


Anyway. The reading of the case before them is wrong. There is no possible way that the Supreme Court could rule "that the partisan balance of House seats should be representative of that state".
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