Republicans cut taxes to stimulate the economy ->
The Federal Reserve keeps raising interest rates to slow the economy down to a point where inflation doesn't get too bad ->
Net result: tax cuts (without spending cuts) cause interest rates to rise! So recent home-owners (and those with ARMS) are screwed. And student loan interest rates have gone way up. And small businesses and large suffer from increased debt costs.
Tax cuts = higher interest rates and more debt!
Anyway, the only reason tax cuts stimulate the U.S. economy (in the short run) is because most of the new money to buy the resulting Treasury securities that fund the increased debt comes from overseas (East Asia mostly). So we are "stimulating" ourselves with borrowed money from overseas.
I wish when some rightie says that tax cuts are needed to stimulate the economy, Dems should respond by asking how can it stimulate the economy if the Federal Reserve is raising interest rates to slow it back down? But I never hear Dems make that argument. Why not? Is this rocket science? I don't think so.
Sure tax cuts help when the economy is in the doldrums like in 2001-3 and the Fed is cutting interest rates -- then the two policies are working together. But when economic growth and inflation reaches a point where the Fed has to raise interest rates to slow the economy, then it makes no sense. Alls we end up with is higher interest rates and higher debt.
(And tax cuts matched with spending cuts make economic sense too).
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The economy is "strong" in a GDP sense only because of unsustainable run-away federal spending and federal and private borrowing from overseas. The current account deficit for 2005 was not only a staggering record dollar amount ($805 Billion), but also a record percentage of the nation's economy (6.4% of GDP).
In just 5 years, federal spending has increased 42% ( 1.821,374 Trillion dollars was spent in the 12 months ending 3/31/01. 2.578,774 Trillion dollars was spent in the 12 months ending 3/31/06. That's about a 42% increase.).
The federal government debt has grown by 45% between March 31, 2001 and March 31, 2006. Relative to the size of the economy, it has grown from 58% of GDP to 64% of GDP during this period. It now stands at over $8.3 Trillion. See:
http://www.bea.gov/bea/dn/gdplev.xls http://www.publicdebt.treas.gov/cgi-bin/cgiwrap/~www/opdpen.cgi14% (one seventh) of the US budget now goes just to paying interest on this debt.
Its not tax cuts that are stimulating the economy so much as a massive federal spending increase. Here again, why, when a Repug talks about how well the economy is doing (in a GDP sense) and saying that Bush's tax cuts are causing it, why don't Dems ask, "how do you know it isn't the 42% increase in federal spending in just 5 years that is stimulating the economy?"