Captain Credit Crunch: Homes Sales, GSE Love, and Neverland.
You know someone loves you when you post a $3.6 billion quarterly loss and you end the day up 1 percent. We are talking about the mortgage giant Fannie Mae. Incredibly, the action on the stock today was breathtaking. At a point, it was up 10+ percent on the OFHEO announcement of relaxing capital requirements but again, unless Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac get into the business of no income and no documentation loans, there may only be a slight relief in the housing markets. I think the markets realized this by the end of the day thus the 1 percent gain.
We also got more news that housing sales are in the absolute dumps. A few people are starting a market bottom whisper campaign but this won’t last once they realize that the amount of bad mortgages floating out there is simply breathtaking. You can understand the positions of banks if you really force yourself for a second. They realize that if they are made to mark to market many of their toxic mortgage products, they are going to face tough times and large amounts of write downs. Make no mistake about it, the bailout of the monoline insurers is more to ensure that the continue cover up continues and the day of reckoning is pushed a bit further into the future. If you have any doubts, do you think that any of these Real Homes of Genius will actually reach their peak value anytime in the next 10 years? If we use the rating agencies guidelines, these homes are rated AAAAA+++++ and will soon bounce off the current market lows.
I know many of you are bewildered by the market action. Home prices are tanking yet the market is up 500+ points in the last few days. We have so many bailout options on the table it is hard to keep track of them all. Let us put a list of some of the genius ideas to stop the housing correction:
FHASecure
Hope Now Alliance
Project Lifeline
Negative Equity Certificates
Lifting Mortgages Caps to $729,500
Wal-Mart Vouchers at $600 per person
Fed Funds Rates at Historical Lows
Foreclosure Moratoriums
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