When listening to the typical, television-based, Wall Street cheerleader work themselves up into a bull market frenzy, one is tempted to wonder if they ever bother to compare the movie that is rolling along in their heads to the one that is occurring in the outside world. Perhaps for those living in a media bubble, the only reality that matters is the one reflected in the camera lens.
Over the past nine months, we have seen increasing signs of economic contraction and falling corporate earnings in America. Although the financials, airlines, auto manufacturers, and retailers have grabbed the headlines, few American sectors are immune from the pain. Meanwhile, the cheerleaders and market pundits have advised that recession fears are overblown and that investors should buy ”unnecessarily” beaten down American stocks. Their advice is founded on some shallow mantras.
We have all heard the droning:
“If you exclude the sub-prime, or the financials, things look good.”
“If you strip out food and energy, inflation is not a problem.”
“You can never underestimate the resilience of the American consumer.”
“The earnings are way down, but the earnings are above Wall Street estimates!”
The cry that “stocks are cheap” has been repeated almost daily. But surely, the price of any item is only cheap when the outlook is for the price to rise, not just because it has eroded. Investors who heeded such advice to buy the financials have been crucified.
Euro Pacific CapitalIMHO, the cheerleaders are paid to entice, if there are investors making financial decisions based on the cheerleader's 'advice', they need the reality check.