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but there are too many houses on the market at too high a price, fewer investors, and fewer buyers with means and motivation to buy. Lenders are overcompensating for past mistakes by clamping down on existing borrowers and new applicants. However, houses are still selling and it is still possible to get a loan with good credit.
The situation with the bailout can be summarized as:
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- Less than half the mortgages written are kept by the bank or lender. The rest are sold in the secondary market. FNMA and FRMC hold approximately half the mortgages the country. - Like other lenders, FNMA and FRMC depend on a certain percentage of people paying their mortgages to pay their own obligations. - Since more borrowers are missing payments, FNMA and FRMC are at risk of defaulting on their own obligations, which normally means they would file for bankruptcy. - Bankruptcy could proceed to the point where FNMA and FRMC would cease operations or stop buying new mortgages. - In this event, banks and mortgage companies would have to cut the mortgages they write by about half. - This would make it much more difficult to buy a house and lead to a further drop in sales, home prices, foreclosures (because owners have no one to sell to), and generally make all the current problems much worse. - This could easily lead to a complete collapse in housing, lending, and the economy -- in other words, lead to a new depression. This is a very alarming possibility. - The real possibility of this scenario had led to panic in the financial industry, which in itself makes things worse.
- To prevent this, the federal government has promised to guarantee that FNMA and FRMC will be able to keep paying their own obligations and keep their operations running. - If FNMA and FRMC do not fail, the government will pay nothing. - The theory is that if these institutions can keep running, the housing and financial markets will eventually work through the high prices and excessive stock and the economy will recover.
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Personally, I think this is a reasonable idea, and something that absolutely has to be done. I do think the government should benefit from a bailout, for example by receiving stock in the bailed out companies. (This may be part of the plan; I haven't followed that closely.)
What's in it for you is that your house retains most of its value, the economy doesn't' collapse, and that if you ever need to sell, you will be able to.
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